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SCP-862 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-862
Expected annual
$3.7M
One-time setup
$4.4M
Annual recurring
$3.6M
Personnel
19
One-time capital of approximately $4.39M for site acquisition, bunker construction, robotics and labs; recurring annual costs ~ $3.64M dominated by MTF readiness/staff wages, research staff, and insurance/contingency.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.4M
Facilities $1.4M
[#1, #2, #18] Site acquisition/lease and construction of reinforced 6×6 m bunker; urban relocation/compensation estimated as a one-time expense.
Decommissioning Reserve $1.1M
[#27] Reserve for worst-case permanent entombment, demolition or long-term entombment operations.
Equipment $1.0M
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #7, #8, #11, #12, #13, #14, #21] CCTV & NVR setup, HVAC, redundant power installation, sensor network, robotic manipulators, initial concrete stockpile & pumps, tactical vehicle purchases, destructive tools, disposal/incineration setup, secure magazine, and initial data archival hardware.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $618K
[#15, #16] Forensic/biological containment area and laboratory instrumentation for material analysis and remote research.
Legal And Cover Initial $262K
[#17] Initial legal/cover-story setup, permits, suppression/legal fees and initial PR budget.
Note 28 Summary $0
[#28] Analyst order-of-magnitude summary; no additional discrete one-time cost assigned here.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.6M/yr
Staff Wages $2.2M/yr
[#10, #20] Mobile Task Force Beta-23 operational readiness/salaries (~8–12 personnel) and daily inspection/security guards plus administrative staffing.
Research And Monitoring $578K/yr
[#16, #15, #23] Salaries and consumables for 2–6 research staff (analysis, monitoring), forensic testing/consumables, and training/drills/psychological support related to research teams.
Insurance And Contingency $275K/yr
[#19] Insurance, liability reserve and contingency fund for anomalous risks and uninsured events.
Medical Support And Trauma Fund $275K/yr
[#24] Medical support, medevac, surgeries, rehabilitation reserve and trauma care for injuries sustained during containment or response.
Cover Story And Legal $138K/yr
[#17] Ongoing legal, government liaison, PR/cover-story maintenance and permit/legal upkeep.
Facilities Maintenance $130K/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #11, #21, #25, #26] Camera/storage retention & maintenance, HVAC energy/maintenance, generator/UPS maintenance, sensor upkeep, vehicle maintenance, data archival operations, environmental monitoring, and periodic structural/concrete maintenance.
Logistics And Transport $55K/yr
[#9, #13, #14] Rapid-response contractor retainers for sealing/repair, contracted disposal/incineration services, and EOD access/contract costs (annual retainer).
Supplies And Consumables $32K/yr
[#22, #8, #12] Replacement consumables (batteries, lenses, PPE), replenishment of concrete/sealant stocks, and per-use consumables for destructive equipment.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.6M/yr
81.5% probability / year
Routine year with no major breaches; normal operations, monitoring, training and scheduled maintenance.
no_breach routine_maintenance scheduled_training
🚨 Minor Incident $3.7M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$37K vs baseline
Single localized bunker breach or small escaped instance requiring immediate sealing, one MTF deployment and limited repairs/consumables use.
small_bunker_rupture single_mtf_deployment contracted_pumping_and_consumables
🚨 Major Breach $4.4M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Significant breach with multiple escaped solid instances (metal/concrete), multiple MTF deployments, heavy disposal and major repair/relocation costs.
multiple_escaped_instances extended_field_operations heavy_disposal_and_repair
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $6.6M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Uncontrolled mass escape or failure requiring permanent entombment/decommissioning, large-scale demolition, long-term relocation and sustained operations.
multiple_simultaneous_breaches permanent_site_decommissioning major_public_exposure
👥 Personnel 19 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 10 [#10] On-call Mobile Task Force Beta-23 operational team (8–12 personnel) responsible for tracking and destroying escaped instances.
Security Guard (daily inspection) 2 [#20] Two-person daily inspection team that physically checks the bunker and validates sensors.
Administrative Staff 1 [#20] Scheduling/incident desk and administrative coordination.
Research Scientist 4 [#16] Research staff (2–6 suggested) performing remote analysis, instrumentation operation and containment research.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#4, #5, #6, #26] Facilities engineer/technician for HVAC, power, sensors and periodic maintenance.
Medical Officer 1 [#24] Medical support/trauma officer for emergency care and coordination with medevac services.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes are detailed and cover most categories, enabling a mid-confidence estimate; wide urban cost ranges and uncertain breach frequency/mechanisms produce remaining uncertainty.
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