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SCP-8630 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-8630
Expected annual
$423K
One-time setup
$288K
Annual recurring
$416K
Personnel
3
One-time setup costs are moderate due to secure storage, testing rigs, IT and cover-story establishment (~$288k). Main recurring drivers are research/medical/test operations, staff wages, MTF readiness and cover-story maintenance (~$416k/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $288K
Liability Reserve $100K
[#18] One-time contingency reserve for property damage / third-party claims.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $84K
[#3, #8, #21, #22] Ballistics/testing rigs and instrumentation, initial preservation supplies, SOP/training development, ethical/IRB setup.
Equipment $43K
[#1, #2, #4, #17] Equipment: secure cabinet, biometric/CCTV install, transport canister, hardened servers.
Cover Story Establishment $40K
[#12] One-time establishment of Operation 8630/1 ('Dazzling Rubies') provenance materials and initial legal/setup costs.
Psych Screening Initial $15K
[#14] Initial psychological screening for cleared personnel (assumes ~10 personnel).
Background Checks Initial $6K
[#15] Initial enhanced background checks for cleared personnel (assumes ~10 personnel).
Facilities $0
[]
Security Upgrade Contingency $0
[#19] Conditional one-time upgrade (reinforced containment) — costed only in adverse scenarios, not in baseline one-time.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $416K/yr
Staff Wages $150K/yr
[#5, #7] Allocated security oversight (partial FTE) and research staff salaries (lead researcher + tech support).
Research And Monitoring $141K/yr
[#6, #8, #9, #10, #22, #23, #25] On-call test security costs, equipment calibration, consumables (see supplies), medical standby/contracted medic coverage, human-subject test costs, documentation, annual reassessments.
Logistics And Transport $50K/yr
[#11, #4] MTF readiness/training maintenance and general secure-transport readiness budget.
Cover Story And Legal $25K/yr
[#12, #20] Ongoing Operation 8630/1 maintenance, PR/monitoring and legal fees to sustain cover story and respond to leaks.
Administrative Overhead $25K/yr
[#16] Site administrative time, approvals, sponsor reviews, legal experiment reviews and logs.
Facilities Maintenance $6K/yr
[#2, #8, #17, #24] CCTV/storage/server maintenance, minor HVAC/electricity marginal costs, instrumentation upkeep/calibration support.
Supplies And Consumables $6K/yr
[#3, #4, #9] Archival replacements (acid-free tissue), transfer packaging, darts/projectiles/PPE and expendables.
Psych Monitoring $6K/yr
[#14] Ongoing psychological monitoring for cleared personnel (assumes ~10 personnel).
Training And Sop Refresh $3K/yr
[#21] Annual refresher training and SOP updates for 'dart-game' interpretation and safe testing procedures.
Background Rechecks $2K/yr
[#15] Periodic rechecks for cleared personnel (assumes ~10 personnel).
Witness Management Reserve $0/yr
[#13] Per-incident witness management/payments/memory-modification — treated as contingency in scenarios, not baseline recurring.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $416K/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine testing, maintenance, and cover-story upkeep; no major incidents or reclassification.
routine_testing no_theft_or_public_use cover_story_maintained
🚨 Minor Incident $431K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$15K vs baseline
Small-scale accident or medical incident during testing requiring emergency treatment and limited witness management.
testing_injury limited_medical_evacuations minor_witness_payments
🚨 Mtf Activation $601K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$185K vs baseline
Theft or public-use event requiring MTF deployment to retrieve SCP-8630 and conduct containment operations and accelerated cover-up.
theft public_exposure rapid_response_deployment
🚨 Weaponization Reclassification $841K/yr
0.5% probability / year +$425K vs baseline
Testing reveals weaponization risk; containment is upgraded (one-time) and ongoing staffing/maintenance requirements rise.
weaponization_risk_confirmed reclassification upgraded_containment
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 1 [#7] Lead researcher (0.5–1.0 FTE) responsible for experiment design, oversight and anomalous behavior assessment.
Lab Technician 1 [#7, #8] Technical support for testing range, instrumentation, sample prep and data capture.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 1 [#5, #6, #11] Partial-FTE security oversight for storage/transfers and on-call armed detail for tests; MTF available for activations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges, allowing moderate confidence in mapping; however many items are scenario-dependent with wide ranges (e.g., MTF activations, liability reserve, upgrade costs), so estimates and probabilities retain uncertainty.
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