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SCP-8645 Safe ✓ high confidence
SCP-8645
Expected annual
$380K
One-time setup
$187K
Annual recurring
$376K
Personnel
1
One-time setup dominated by research program and security upgrades (~$186.7k). Recurring costs driven by medical readiness, liability reserves and contingency planning (~$376.35k/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $187K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $135K
[#5, #6, #17] Initial controlled test campaign ($25,000), IRB/ethics & legal approvals ($10,000), and initial formal research program instrumentation/personnel ($100,000).
Facilities $36K
[#1, #21] Secure containment locker purchase/installation ($6,000) and conditional vault-level containment upgrade ($30,000).
Equipment $8K
[#3, #11, #12] Access control/CCTV hardware & install ($3,500), initial hazardous-item containment kit ($1,200), evidence/chain-of-custody DB setup ($3,000).
Policy Development And Initial Training $5K
[#4] Administrative two-person+ protocol development and initial staff training ($5,000).
Conservation Treatment $3K
[#2] Initial conservation/stabilization and archival packing for 1918 tin ($3,000).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $376K/yr
Medical Readiness Reserve $150K/yr
[#7] Annual medical readiness / emergency care reserve for potential ingestion incidents (~$150,000/yr).
Misuse Contingency Reserve $100K/yr
[#19] Planning/reserve for deliberate-spread/misuse response (~$100,000/yr allocation).
Liability Reserve $75K/yr
[#14] Internal liability reserve allocation to cover incidents before insurance payout (~$75,000/yr allocation).
Staff Wages $10K/yr
[#18] Fractional curator/curatorial allocation (0.1–0.25 FTE) salary allocation.
On Call Medical Contracts $10K/yr
[#8] Retainers/contracted on-call gastroenterology/ENT/dental specialists (~$10,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $6K/yr
[#15] Legal & PR retainer for cover-story readiness (~$6,000/yr retainer).
Research And Monitoring $4K/yr
[#2, #16] Annual conservation inspections and ongoing monitoring/periodic re-testing (~$350 + $4,000 = $4,350/yr).
Psychological Support $4K/yr
[#9] Counseling/debriefing and witness support (~$4,000/yr).
Hazardous Disposal Contract $4K/yr
[#10] Contract access to licensed hazardous-waste disposal/incineration (~$4,000/yr setup/contract).
Artifact Insurance Premium $4K/yr
[#14] Annual insurance premium for small-item coverage (~$4,000/yr).
Logistics And Transport $2K/yr
[#13] Secure courier / tamper-evident transport for tin (assumed ~1–2 transports/yr, ~$2,000/yr).
Record Retention $2K/yr
[#20] Record retention, FOIA response readiness and legal audits (~$2,000/yr).
Training Refreshers $2K/yr
[#4] Annual retraining and SOP refreshers (~$1,500/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $1K/yr
[#1, #3] Routine maintenance for storage cabinet and access-control/CCTV upkeep ($1,000/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $1K/yr
[#11] Consumable PPE, sharps containers and replacement kit items (~$1,000/yr).
Evidence Db Maintenance $1K/yr
[#12] Digital evidence/chain-of-custody database maintenance and backups (~$1,000/yr).
Hazardous Consumables $500/yr
[#11] Yearly replacement of consumables for hazardous-item containment (~$500/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $376K/yr
94.5% probability / year
Uneventful year with routine monitoring, maintenance, and reserve allocations; no ingestion or public incidents.
routine inspections no ingestion incidents no public exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $416K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$40K vs baseline
Single isolated ingestion event requiring ER/endoscopy, disposal of one item, small legal/PR response and counseling.
single ingestion requiring medical intervention hazardous-item disposal targeted legal/PR response
🚨 Major Incident $676K/yr
0.5% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Significant public misuse or multiple serious ingestion cases requiring hospitalizations, large legal action, mass disposal and investigation.
mass ingestion/public misuse multiple hospitalizations major PR/legal crisis
👥 Personnel 1 total
Role Count Notes
Curator / Custodian 1 0.1–0.25 FTE fractional allocation to manage paperwork, access approvals and routine checks; salary allocation included in staff_wages ($10,000/yr).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges for most costs; estimates are mid-range choices and include discretionary reserves which drive variance.
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