SCP-8654 — SCP-8654 | Cost Breakdown

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $9.6B

Comms Constellation Capital $2.5B

[#14] Capital to deploy a hardened satellite/ground communications constellation (representative mid-construction cost for small constellation).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.2B

[#10, #11] Includes Project TOPSIDE capital (research facilities, test chambers) and high-security anomalous labs outfitting (BSL‑4 style subterranean labs).

Regional Subterranean Complex $2.0B

[#3] Capital for a large long‑term subterranean complex (midpoint choice within $300M–$5B range per 1k–10k people).

Smr Capital $1.1B

[#4] Capital installation cost for a small modular reactor (SMR) to power subterranean sites.

Infrastructure Replacement Local $500.0M

[#27] Localized replacement of lost infrastructure for Foundation operational regions (representative single-region rebuild).

Transport Fleet Capital $300.0M

[#15] Capital for regional heavy air/ground transport fleet (helicopters/airlift/armored vehicles).

Robotics Fleet Capital $200.0M

[#8] Initial regional robotics/automation fleet (midpoint of $50M–$500M for 10k population support).

Genetic Preservation Capital $200.0M

[#29] Capital for a long-term genetic preservation and IVF/breeding program (program-scale midrange).

Manufacturing Facility $100.0M

[#9] Field manufacturing/fabrication facility (3D metal printing, foundry) — midrange capability.

Medical Facility Capital $100.0M

[#12] Capital to build a regional trauma/hospital facility (midpoint in $10M–$200M range).

Stockpile Manufacturing Initial $100.0M

[#24] Initial manufacturing/stockpile of PPE, medical consumables, synthetic nutrients and spare parts (regional strategic stockpile).

Structural Engineering $100.0M

[#20] Engineering to anchor/reinforce critical structures and install fail-safe mechanical locks (program estimate for ~100 buildings).

Fuel Stockpiles Initial $50.0M

[#16] Initial regional fuel/energy stockpiles for mobile assets/generators.

Decommissioning Costs $50.0M

[#30] Decommissioning/mothballing costs for failed large projects (representative project-level estimate).

Bunker Retrofit $25.0M

[#2] Mid-range retrofit/repair estimate per preexisting Foundation or government bunker site (assessment, clearance, reinforcement, decontamination, stocking).

Hydroponics Capital $20.0M

[#5] Capital to set up hydroponic/vertical farm capacity for ~1,000 people (midpoint of $10M–$30M).

Mass Disposal Fleet Setup $20.0M

[#13] Setup for mass-casualty removal/drone fleet/incineration infrastructure (fleet setup estimate).

Emergency Hab Modules $15.0M

[#1] Cost for one 100-person reinforced underground modular sealed shelter (design/excavation/HVAC/life support).

Harness Systems $5.0M

[#6] Mass-produced tether/harness systems; assumed procurement for a 1,000-person pilot (approx $5k/person assumed).

Seed Biobank Capital $5.0M

[#23] Capital to build/stock a regional seed/biobank vault (representative small vault).

Decontamination Taskforce Capital $5.0M

[#25] Fielding a regional decontamination/biohazard response task force (mobile autoclaves/incinerators/PPE procurement).

Ballast Hardware $2.5M

[#7] Bulk ballast/containment hardware for animals/experimental subjects; example program sized to ~100 pens at ~$25k each (representative).

Water Systems Capital $1.0M

[#17] Water and wastewater treatment setup sized for 1,000 people (midpoint $0.5M–$2M).

Facilities $0

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Equipment $0

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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.3B/yr

Staff Wages $200.0M/yr

[#10, #12, #19, #26] Base salaries for research staff, engineers, medical personnel and administrators (excludes explicit security contingent costs and hazard premiums).

Topside Project Om $200.0M/yr

[#10] Recurring funding for Project TOPSIDE research teams, experiments, global coordination and long-term campaigns (speculative/high-uncertainty).

Contingency Reserve $168.0M/yr

[#28] Contingency reserve estimated at 15% of recurring budget to cover emergent buys, bribes, evacuations and equipment losses.

Facilities Maintenance $100.0M/yr

[#1, #3, #11, #17] Ongoing maintenance, structural repairs, life‑support servicing for subterranean habitats and labs.

Comms Ops $100.0M/yr

[#14] Satellite constellation and ground-station recurring operations, launches, replacements and hardened ops (~$50–200M/yr).

Security Forces Cost $80.0M/yr

[#19] Salaries, equipment and rotations for a ~1,000-person security contingent (midpoint $40–120k/yr per person).

Fuel Ops Per Year $72.0M/yr

[#16] Ongoing fuel procurement/distribution for mobile assets and generators (representative regional monthly consumption scaled annually).

Cover Story And Legal $70.0M/yr

[#21, #22] Combined propaganda/cover-story information operations and legal/regulatory/diplomatic staffing and operations.

Research And Monitoring $50.0M/yr

[#10, #11] Ongoing non-TOPSIDE research, monitoring of anomalous effects and experimental campaigns (excludes major TOPSIDE funding).

Transport Ops $50.0M/yr

[#15] Operational costs for air/ground transport fleet (fuel, maintenance, crew hours).

Robotics Om $40.0M/yr

[#8] Maintenance/parts and operations for regional robotics/automation fleet (~20%/yr assumed).

Smr Om $35.0M/yr

[#4] SMR annual O&M, staffing, fuel handling and maintenance (midpoint $20–50M/yr).

Personnel Premium $30.0M/yr

[#26] Recruitment, retention and hazard pay premiums (representative added cost for key staff pool).

Mental Health Programs $25.0M/yr

[#18] Mental health, counseling and social stabilization programs (program for ~10k survivors scale assumed).

Stockpile Replenishment $20.0M/yr

[#24] Recurring replenishment of PPE, medical consumables and spare parts (regional replenishment program).

Genetic Preservation Om $20.0M/yr

[#29] Recurring costs for IVF/genetic program staff, storage and neonatal care components.

Medical Facility Om $12.5M/yr

[#12] Recurring staff and consumables for regional trauma/medical facilities (midpoint ~$5–20M/yr).

Supplies And Consumables $10.0M/yr

[#13, #24, #25] Consumables, PPE rotation, small-scale disposal consumables and routine supplies.

Hydroponics Om $3.0M/yr

[#5] Recurring consumables, nutrients, energy for hydroponic farms (~$2–4M/yr per 1k capacity).

Mass Disposal Ops $1.0M/yr

[#13] Per‑incident/disposal program recurring costs and operations support (variable by scale).

Decontamination Ops $1.0M/yr

[#25] Recurring decontamination/biohazard response team operations and consumables.

Biobank Ops $200K/yr

[#23] Recurring costs for seed/biobank maintenance, environment control and rotation.

Water Systems Om $125K/yr

[#17] O&M for a 1,000-person water/wastewater system (midpoint $50–200k/yr).

Logistics And Transport $0/yr

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⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.3B/yr

87.5% probability / year

Normal year with planned operations, maintenance, research funding and contingency but no major incidents.

scheduled_operations routine_research infrastructure_maintenance

🚨 Minor Incident $1.3B/yr

10.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline

Localized settlement collapse or infrastructure failure requiring emergency repairs, limited casualties and disposal operations.

localized_ceiling_fissure small_settlement_collapse limited_mass_casualties

🚨 Major Breach $1.8B/yr

2.0% probability / year +$500.0M vs baseline

Major settlement collapse or coordinated infrastructure loss requiring large-scale rebuilding and emergency relocation.

major_settlement_collapse regional_infrastructure_failure

🚨 Catastrophic Breach $6.3B/yr

0.5% probability / year +$5.0B vs baseline

Catastrophic multi-settlement failure or large-scale attempt to activate a world‑scale project (e.g., emergency TOPSIDE/SCP-2000 activation) requiring multi-billion dollar emergency spending.

multi_settlement_collapse attempted_SCP-2000_activation national_infrastructure_loss

👥 Personnel 2260 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	1000	[#19] Security contingent to protect sites, transport and infrastructure; count aligns with 1,000-person example from notes.
Research Scientist	150	[#10] Physicists and researchers for TOPSIDE and ongoing anomalous research.
Engineer / Maintenance	300	[#4, #20, #9] Engineers for SMR, structural anchoring, manufacturing and site maintenance.
Medical Officer	100	[#12] Medical staff for trauma centers, chronic care and prosthetics programs.
Administrative Staff	100	[#21, #22] Administrative, legal, diplomatic and cover-story support personnel.
Technician / Field Operator	200	[#8, #13] Robotics/operators, disposal teams and field technicians.
Robotics/Automation Specialist	50	[#8] Specialists to operate and maintain automation fleets.
Agricultural / Hydroponics Staff	100	[#5] Agronomists and farm staff for hydroponic food production.
Logistics / Transport Crew	200	[#15] Crews for air/ground transport, convoy operations and supply distribution.
Biobank / Genetic Specialist	10	[#23, #29] Staff for seed/biobank and genetic preservation programs.
Communications / IT staff	50	[#14] Satellite and ground-station operations and cybersecurity staff.

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates are built from wide ranges in analyst notes and planetary-scale uncertainty; many items (TOPSIDE, SMRs, population scale) have deep uncertainty and some costs are speculative, so confidence is low.