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SCP-8799 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-8799
Expected annual
$825K
One-time setup
$1.6M
Annual recurring
$773K
Personnel
7
One-time setup costs for secure housing, digitization, and contingency reserves are approximately $1,584,000; ongoing annual operations are approximately $772,700, driven primarily by security staffing, counterintelligence, and rapid-response readiness.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.6M
Catastrophic Reserve $1.2M
[#21] Rare-event / catastrophic loss reserve (one-time set-aside; median of $500k–$2M range).
Equipment $216K
[#2, #3, #7, #11, #15] Alarm integration/tamper sensors, CCTV and recording hardware, digitization imaging equipment and storage hardware, rapid-response kitting, communications hardware/integration.
Facilities $85K
[#1, #4] Secure storage locker upgrade and climate-controlled archival housing (vault/cabinet purchase or buildout).
Training Program Setup $18K
[#16] Initial protocol roll-out / training setup costs (one-time curriculum/development and initial exercises).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $15K
[#5] Conservation assessment and stabilization treatment (professional conservator work, one-time).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $773K/yr
Staff Wages $382K/yr
[#9, #10] Dedicated curatorial/conservation staff (pro-rated FTE) and heightened security staffing (Kappa-12 guard presence).
Counterintelligence Monitoring $125K/yr
[#12] HUMINT/SIGINT monitoring, threat analysis and liaison work focused on ORIA activity.
Rapid Response Readiness $100K/yr
[#11] Ongoing training, equipment maintenance, armored transport readiness and refresher training for tactical response.
Covert Recovery Contingency Fund $60K/yr
[#13] Annualized contingency (expected drawdown) for covert recovery operations; annualized from per-event $100k–$500k range.
Cover Story And Legal $30K/yr
[#19] Recordkeeping, legal counsel, and cover-story maintenance for provenance and incident secrecy.
Incident Investigation Response $25K/yr
[#14] Investigative personnel time, travel, debriefings, and ad-hoc recovery support per-incident (annualized budget).
Research And Monitoring $12K/yr
[#8] Ongoing research, pigment/XRF/campaign analyses and specialized subcontracted testing.
Personnel Vetting And Psychological $10K/yr
[#22] Ongoing psych support, rotation costs, vetting and monitoring for staff with access.
Training Recurring $6K/yr
[#16] Recurring tabletop exercises, drills, and refresher training for Kappa-12 and handling protocols.
Logistics And Transport $6K/yr
[#17] Armored courier / specialized transfer (annualized estimated transfers).
Communications Security $6K/yr
[#15] Ongoing maintenance and audits for secure communication channels and chain-of-custody logging.
Digital Preservation And Migration $3K/yr
[#20] Long-term digital preservation, periodic migration, integrity checks and offsite replication.
Facilities Maintenance $2K/yr
[#2, #3] Annual maintenance for alarm integration and CCTV/storage audits/maintenance.
Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr
[#6] Archival enclosures, Mylar sleeves, gloves, handling consumables and annual replacement.
Digital Backups And Storage $2K/yr
[#7] Recurring backups/cloud/tape rotation and secure onsite/offsite storage maintenance for digitized masters/imaging campaigns.
Energy And Overhead $1K/yr
[#4, #18] Incremental electricity and calibration/energy for environmental cabinet and sensors/HVAC.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $773K/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine security posture (Kappa-12) in place, regular research and maintenance.
routine_operations no_theft_attempts scheduled_research_and_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $923K/yr
15.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Attempted theft or ORIA probe that is detected and contained quickly, requiring covert recovery, investigation and limited damage control.
failed_theft_attempt ORIA_probe limited_recovery_operation
🚨 Major Breach $2.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Successful theft, significant damage, or multi-site escalation requiring large recovery operations, legal/PR mitigation, and partial drawdown of catastrophic reserve.
successful_theft catastrophic_damage multi-site_recovery
👥 Personnel 7 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 6 additional guards dedicated to the Secure Containment Wing 600 under Kappa-12; aggregate cost accounted in staff_wages (~$350,000/yr).
Conservator / Curator 1 Partial FTE (shared) conservator/curator to manage access, condition checks and research coordination; pro-rated cost accounted in staff_wages (~$32,500/yr).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, allowing reasonable aggregation, but many values are ranges and some contingency/per-event costs are annualized by assumption; threat frequency (ORIA activity) and probability of major breaches are uncertain.
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