SCP-8824 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-8824
Expected annual
$3.3M
One-time setup
$280K
Annual recurring
$3.3M
Personnel
8
Initial one-time setup is modest (~$280k) for secure storage, monitoring development and equipment; annual recurring costs are dominated by staff wages, misinformation operations, program overhead and incident reserves (~$3.22M/yr). Main cost drivers are personnel, continuous influence operations, and incident/response reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $280K
Equipment $125K
[#1, #4, #15] On-prem NAS/SAN hardware, racks and chassis; one-time cybersecurity stack/setup; field equipment procurement (cameras, drones, forensic drives).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $115K
[#6] Development/integration of continuous monitoring/interception infrastructure (web crawlers, ingestion pipelines) one-time development costs.
Facilities $25K
[#3] Physical secure evidence room, controlled access, CCTV, tamper alarms, evidence lockers, small Safe-class containment suite.
Training And Sops Setup $15K
[#14] Initial training, SOPs and OPSEC setup (one-time).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.3M/yr
Staff Wages $720K/yr
[#7, #8] Salaries and benefits for analysts (4 FTE) and OSINT/investigative team (2 FTE).
Contingency Reserve $537K/yr
[#27] Recommended contingency reserve (~20% of baseline recurring operating budget) to cover unforeseen escalation and expansion.
Misinformation Campaign $400K/yr
[#9] Ongoing targeted misinformation / influence operations (Protocol Oubliée) budget for content, placements, translations and operations.
Cover Story And Legal $275K/yr
[#11] PR/legal cover, takedown activities, counsel, settlements and platform negotiations.
Research And Monitoring $261K/yr
[#5, #6, #22] Digital forensics & media-analysis software licenses; monitoring infrastructure O&M; specialized attribution/source-tracing contracts.
Program Management And Overhead $210K/yr
[#25] Senior program manager, administrative support, HR/finance and general overhead.
Platform Partnerships $200K/yr
[#24] Covert platform payments or insider payments for expedited removals / information (high-risk programmatic budget).
Incident Response Reserve $150K/yr
[#17] Budget/reserve for emergency removal of leaked material, forensic response and crisis PR remediation.
Covert Account Maintenance $120K/yr
[#10] Covert account creation and synthetic presence maintenance costs.
Logistics And Transport $110K/yr
[#16] Travel, stakeouts, safehouse logistics, per-diem, vehicle rental and fuel.
Monitoring Infrastructure $66K/yr
[#6] Recurring server, maintenance and hosting costs for crawlers/scrapers and ingestion pipelines.
Third Party Moderation $50K/yr
[#12] Outsourced moderation, transcription and translation services.
Cybersecurity Managed Services $36K/yr
[#4] Managed security services, IDS/IPS, endpoint protection, encryption key management, penetration testing (recurring).
External Audit And Oversight $35K/yr
[#26] Independent ethics/legal review and external oversight.
Insurance And Liability $28K/yr
[#19] Cyber and liability insurance for handling explicit content and breach coverage.
Field Equipment Maintenance $18K/yr
[#15] Maintenance, replacement and consumables for field cameras, drones and electronics.
Compliance And Audit $18K/yr
[#18] Data retention compliance checks and periodic audits.
Psychological Support $15K/yr
[#13] Counseling, debriefing, staff-rotation and safety programs.
Offsite Backup And Archival $13K/yr
[#2] Off-site/cloud backup and cold archive + hot replica storage costs.
Hardware Lifecycle And Refresh $10K/yr
[#23] Annualized hardware refresh costs for servers, workstations and field electronics.
Communications Subscriptions $8K/yr
[#21] Encrypted communications subscriptions and secure comms for field teams.
Training And Sops Refresh $6K/yr
[#14] Recurring refresher training and OPSEC updates.
Secure Disposal $6K/yr
[#20] Certified media destruction and documented chain-of-custody destruction services.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
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Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
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Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.3M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year of observation, monitoring, takedown and routine operations with no major breaches or escalations.
routine monitoring standard takedown flow regular analysis
🚨 Minor Incident $3.4M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$84K vs baseline
Localized leak or partial repository compromise requiring emergency takedowns, extra legal action and short-term surge in analysis.
small-scale leak sudden viral spread of an instance platform refusal to cooperate
🚨 Major Breach $4.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.4M vs baseline
Significant public data breach or exposure with wide dissemination requiring large-scale remediation, legal settlements and expanded influence operations.
full repository compromise mass public exposure multijurisdictional legal action
👥 Personnel 8 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Media Analyst 4 [#7] Full-time analysts for content review, metadata tagging and prioritization (4 FTE).
OSINT Investigator / Field Agent 2 [#8] Field and online investigators for location verification and attribution (2 FTE).
Program Manager / Administrative Staff 1 [#25] Senior program manager (covered in program management & overhead).
Administrative Staff 1 [#25] Administrative/HR/finance support (covered in program management & overhead).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges allowing a reasoned budget, but SCP unpredictability (anomalous dissemination, breach probability) and wide cost ranges produce moderate confidence in point estimates.
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