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SCP-8840 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-8840
Expected annual
$12.3M
One-time setup
$20.1M
Annual recurring
$11.2M
Personnel
19
Initial stand-up and contingency reserves require ~ $20.1M one-time largely driven by insurance/reserve and public-safety buildouts; steady-state operations are dominated by skilled staffing, MTF readiness, R&D and opportunity costs at ~ $11.1M/yr.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $20.1M
Insurance Reserve $5.0M
[#19] Staged contingency/reserve for major third-party damages or regulatory penalties in case of large declassification events.
Public Safety Reserve $5.0M
[#26] Emergency budget to coordinate public mitigation and infrastructure patching in case of mass leak.
Equipment $2.7M
[#1, #3, #9, #10, #11, #12, #27] RPR spare parts/upgrades, UPS/generator redundancy, backup hardware, network/sandbox licensing (initial), replacement endpoints/disposal, secure comms hardware, and decommission/replacement costs for RPR engine.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.5M
[#2, #25] Dedicated air-gapped compute cluster and seed funding / initial instrument purchases for a multi-year neutralizer R&D program.
Facilities $2.1M
[#4, #21] Physical containment upgrades (Faraday shielding, hardened rooms) and secure off-site lab buildout: combined structural and buildout costs.
Incident Response Reserve $1.0M
[#7] Immediate rapid-response reserve to establish emergency isolation, forensics and accelerated containment.
Vetting Push $750K
[#16] One-time heightened employee vetting push (background checks, polygraphs, initial monitoring deployment).
Public Relations Major Leak Fund $500K
[#15] One-time fund for major leak cover-up / large disinformation or PR operations.
Legal Case Fund $250K
[#14] One-time case-specific legal/coordination costs for major incidents.
Remediation Campaign Reserve $100K
[#23] One-time reserve to remediate affected stakeholders in a moderate campaign.
Large Purge Fund $50K
[#18] One-time budget for a large forensic purge / secure destruction operation (initial staging).
Bounty Payout Reserve $50K
[#22] One-time reserve for major bounty payouts to contractors discovering emergent vectors.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $11.2M/yr
Staff Wages $2.5M/yr
[#5, #8] 24/7 AIS operations staffing (senior/mid/operators) plus in-house forensic/reverse-engineering team salaries (includes applicable overhead).
Mtf Kappa10 $2.0M/yr
[#6] MTF Kappa-10 operational readiness: staffing, training, equipment and ongoing deployments (steady-state average).
Opportunity Cost $2.0M/yr
[#24] Estimated annual lost productivity/value due to deep network isolation and research disruption.
Research And Monitoring $1.5M/yr
[#8, #13, #17, #25] Ongoing forensic/reverse-engineering research, cyber-threat intelligence feeds and tooling, training/simulations, and annual R&D funding for neutralizer efforts.
Facilities Maintenance $830K/yr
[#2, #3, #4, #9, #12, #21, #10] Power/cooling and electricity; compute/cluster maintenance and ventilation (CRAC/HVAC); certification/testing for shielding; backup rotation/storage maintenance; secure comms maintenance; off-site lab operations; recurring network/sandbox subscriptions.
Incident Response Replenish $500K/yr
[#7] Annual replenish for the rapid-response fund depending on incident frequency.
Insurance Premiums $500K/yr
[#19] Cyber-insurance and classified-asset premiums.
Logistics And Transport $300K/yr
[#20] Travel, secure transport of hardware and temporary lodging for specialists during containment rotations.
Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr
[#14, #15] Legal retainer and recurring small-scale cover-story / disinformation standby budgeting.
Forensic External Contractors $200K/yr
[#8] Budgeted baseline for occasional contracted specialists and contingency engagements.
Employee Monitoring $200K/yr
[#16] Ongoing insider-threat monitoring, HUMINT and continuous vetting costs.
Red Team $150K/yr
[#22] Annual red-team compensation and smaller bounty/testing programs.
Compute Cluster Maintenance $125K/yr
[#2] Electricity and maintenance for dedicated air-gapped GPU/CPU research cluster.
Rpr Hardware Maintenance $100K/yr
[#1] Lifecycle replacements and periodic maintenance/upgrades for bespoke RPR engine hardware.
Supplies And Consumables $25K/yr
[#18] Routine secure destruction and consumable media handling costs (annual baseline).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $11.2M/yr
69.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine operations, no major breaches or large remediation efforts.
no large leak regular maintenance planned training cycles
🚨 Minor Incident $12.6M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$1.4M vs baseline
Localized containment breach or adaptation that requires endpoint replacement, targeted forensics, PR, and remediation campaigns.
small-scale escape compromised endpoints targeted public disclosure
🚨 Major Breach $19.1M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$7.9M vs baseline
Significant leak or adaptive event requiring public mitigation, large remediation campaign, major MTF operations and increased legal/PR actions.
site-wide declassification multi-site infection major external agency impact
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $41.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$29.9M vs baseline
Widespread mass leak affecting external infrastructure/national services, requiring national-scale mitigation and long-term recovery.
mass declassification national infrastructure compromise extended multi-site cascade
👥 Personnel 19 total
Role Count Notes
Anomalous Information Systems Engineer (Senior) 2 [#5] Senior AIS engineers as in the staffing example; salary assumptions per analyst notes.
Anomalous Information Systems Engineer (Mid-level) 4 [#5] Mid-level AIS engineering staff from the example staffing complement.
SOC Operator 6 [#5] Rotating operators for 24/7 monitoring as in analyst notes.
Research Scientist / Forensics Lead 1 [#8] Lead for crypto/malware analysis and coordination of reverse-engineering efforts.
Research Scientist 3 [#8] In-house researchers for reverse-engineering and ML analysis.
ML Researcher / Engineer 2 [#8] Specialists for simulation, adaptive-modeling and sandbox analysis.
Cryptographer / Malware Analyst 1 [#8] Specialist roles for deep cryptographic and malware analysis.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, so category-level mapping is medium confidence; however wide ranges for incident and reserve sizing, uncertain breach frequency/adaptation dynamics, and site-scale choices create material uncertainty.
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