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SCP-8845 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-8845
Expected annual
$2.3M
One-time setup
$4.4M
Annual recurring
$2.2M
Personnel
17
Initial one-time setup (secure enclosure, perimeter works, legal contingency and memorialization) is large (~$4.44M). Ongoing annual costs are dominated by staffing (security, mental-health) and liability/insurance, totaling about $2.23M/year.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.4M
Legal Settlement Reserve $1.8M
[#15] One-time legal/settlement reserve for potential compensation and contingency (contingent large reserve).
Program Winddown Escalation Reserve $1.1M
[#25] Planning reserve for rapid expansion or secure decommissioning if phenomenon escalates (one-time contingency).
Facilities $800K
[#1, #2] Durable perimeter fencing, bridge rail modifications, anti-suicide netting, locked access gates; enclosed weatherproofed containment structure beneath the bridge.
Equipment $295K
[#5, #11, #12] High-resolution CCTV/infrared/commms/bodycams/UPS (initial), PPE and rescue equipment initial purchase, retrieval equipment purchase (crane/hydraulic lift) if owned.
Memorialization And Family Compensation $150K
[#18] Outreach, cultural liaison, funerary or confidential family services and settlements (one-time).
Initial Legal And Liaison $125K
[#14] Permits, land-use agreements, translation and liaison setup (initial permitting/legal fees).
Cover Story Campaign $100K
[#15] Initial public-facing cover-story and PR campaign costs (e.g., bridge maintenance/renovation narrative, signage).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $98K
[#6, #13, #10] Secure servers/encrypted backups/archival setup, forensic/non-invasive monitoring equipment initial purchase, initial training program setup costs.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.2M/yr
Staff Wages $745K/yr
[#3, #9, #8, #24] 24/7 on-site security staffing (8 guards), on-site mental health staffing (1 FTE + part-time counselors), specialized/hazard pay supplements for research team, local Korean-language staff wages.
Staff Casualty Reserve $600K/yr
[#21] Recurring contingency/reserve for staff casualty compensation, severance, replacement hiring and benefits continuation.
Cover Story And Legal $305K/yr
[#14, #16] Ongoing legal/permit liaison and increased liability insurance/legal defense reserve (annual premiums and counsel).
Logistics And Transport $280K/yr
[#4, #12, #20] Rapid-response tactical/medical on-call team costs and contracted deployment, retrieval contracted standby/events reserve, transportation/lodging/per-diem for visiting staff.
Incident Investigation And Oversight $100K/yr
[#17] Routine oversight, audits and budget for incident investigations and independent review panels.
Community Suicide Prevention $75K/yr
[#19] Ongoing community prevention services, hotline support, partnership funding and signage program.
Facilities Maintenance $35K/yr
[#22] Routine maintenance and utilities for site operations (power for cameras, heating/cooling, generator/UPS fuel, grounds maintenance).
Psychological Screening And Evaluations $25K/yr
[#7] Recurring comprehensive psychological screening and baseline evaluations for assigned personnel.
Supplies And Consumables $18K/yr
[#11, #23] PPE replacements, batteries, storage media, consumables, evidence bags, cleaning/small tools.
Research And Monitoring $16K/yr
[#6, #13] IT hosting/secure backups and maintenance, forensic/monitoring equipment maintenance and calibration.
Training And Drills $14K/yr
[#10] Recurring suicide-intervention training, scenario drills and refreshers.
Surveillance And It Maintenance $12K/yr
[#5] Annual maintenance, data storage and server UPS maintenance for surveillance and communications hardware.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.2M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations and no major incidents.
no incidents routine maintenance and staffing only
🚨 Minor Incident $2.4M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$140K vs baseline
Localized incident (attempted jump, small retrieval, limited vandalism) requiring retrieval, investigation and PR response.
single retrieval/event short investigation minor PR/legal action
🚨 Major Breach $4.5M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$2.3M vs baseline
Major staff incident or public exposure leading to large legal settlements, extended investigation and expanded containment needs.
staff suicide / high-profile death public leak or litigation large settlement and containment escalation
👥 Personnel 17 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#3] Continuous two-person minimum presence with rotation; estimate assumes 8 full-time guards.
Clinical Psychologist / Psychiatrist 1 [#9] At least one full-time clinical mental-health lead for monitoring and emergency intervention.
Counselor / Part-time mental health staff 2 [#9] Part-time counselors for mandatory counseling program and debriefs.
Research Scientist 4 [#8] Small research team (2–8 possible); count reflects those for whom hazard pay was budgeted (hazard pay component only).
Local Staff / Translators / Community Liaison 2 [#24] Korean-language staff, translators and community relations officers included in local wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line-items have explicit ranges and institution-standard items (security, insurance) so mid-range estimates are reasonable; large contingency/settlement reserves and behavioral unpredictability create material uncertainty, so confidence is medium.
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