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SCP-8869 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-8869
Expected annual
$2.5M
One-time setup
$1.7M
Annual recurring
$2.4M
Personnel
10
One-time development and infrastructure for FLOORBOARDS.aic and secure hosting (~$1.74M) are the main upfront costs; annual operations are dominated by staffing, legal/liaison, cybersecurity, and field-response reserves (~$2.39M/year), with scenario-driven spikes possible when anomalous evidence is discovered.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.7M
Anomalous Contingency Reserve $500K
[#21] Reserve fund for emergency anomalous containment, specialist hires, and secure transport (held available).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $400K
[#1] FLOORBOARDS.aic initial development & integration (model development, annotation, validation, deployment integration; 6-month small dev team).
Equipment $250K
[#3] Dedicated on-prem AI compute cluster (GPU nodes, storage, rack networking, air-gapped provisioning).
Vehicles And Equipment One Time $180K
[#14] Procurement of 1–2 SUVs configured for field response and evidence transport (2 vehicles midpoint).
Facilities $125K
[#6] Secure server room & physical security upgrades (biometric access, cameras, tamper sensors, EMP/UPS protections).
Clearance Initial $120K
[#9] Initial high-level background investigations for 10 personnel (4/BLUE ROSE level; ~$12k/person assumed).
Cybersecurity One Time $80K
[#16] Initial cybersecurity hardening, SIEM deployment, secure transfer gateways, and penetration testing setup.
Secure Storage One Time $50K
[#5] Secure SAN/NAS procurement, tape/cold-storage hardware and initial encrypted off-site backup provisioning.
Records Ingestion One Time $35K
[#11] Initial bulk records ingestion and digitization (OCR, cleaning, metadata tagging, human verification).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.4M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#7, #8] Salaries fully loaded for Site-433 research team (1 PI, 4 analysts, 1 devops/admin, 1 RAISA liaison) and incremental security staffing (3 guards); typical fully-loaded FTE ~$100–200k.
Administrative Overhead $300K/yr
[#22] Pro-rated site overhead (utilities, janitorial, HR, IT admin) attributable to housing the team and servers at Site-433.
Ai Model Maintenance $180K/yr
[#2] Ongoing model maintenance, retraining, drift mitigation, feature work and audits (0.5–1 FTE + cloud/ops costs).
Cybersecurity Recurring $150K/yr
[#16] Ongoing IDS/SIEM monitoring, incident response retainer, pen-tests, red-team exercises, and logging retention.
Data Acquisition And Legal $125K/yr
[#10] MOUs, data-sharing agreements, reimbursements to external agencies, legal counsel time, and secure transfer maintenance.
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#15] Ongoing legal/cover-management, counsel time, discreet administrative actions and contingency allocations for routine cover maintenance.
Forensic Response Reserve $100K/yr
[#12] Annual contingency for reactive forensic testing and field investigations (travel, lab submissions; covers occasional cases).
Red Team Research $80K/yr
[#19] Specialized contracting and research to mitigate false positives and bias in cross-jurisdictional matching.
Supplies And Consumables $60K/yr
[#13] Laboratory analysis consumables, sample storage, chain-of-custody supplies, instrument reservation time.
Audit Compliance $40K/yr
[#17] Internal/external audits, compliance and ethics review processes, and AI decision reviews.
Compute Electricity $35K/yr
[#4] Power, cooling, maintenance contracts, and occasional hardware replacement for on-prem cluster (5–20 kW continuous draw).
Clearance Reinvestigation $30K/yr
[#9] Periodic reinvestigation and audits for 10 personnel (~$3k/person/year assumed).
Training $30K/yr
[#18] Ongoing training for analysts, AI operators, and response teams; workshops and materials.
Vehicles Maintenance $20K/yr
[#14] Annual maintenance, fuel, and minor equipment upkeep for field vehicles.
Records Ingestion Recurring $18K/yr
[#11] Ongoing OCR, redaction, human verification, and ingestion for new materials.
Secure Storage Recurring $12K/yr
[#5] Yearly storage hosting, media rotation, and encrypted off-site backup hosting.
Long Term Archival $6K/yr
[#20] Legal retention, cryptographic key maintenance, and archival storage for core files and derivatives.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
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Research And Monitoring $0/yr
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Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.4M/yr
65.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, no major incidents; ongoing model maintenance, staffing, legal liaison, and scheduled audits only.
routine_operations no_major_field_responses
🚨 Minor Incident $2.5M/yr
30.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
AI produces several high-priority leads that trigger multiple field investigations and extended forensic work.
AI_flag_triggers_field_investigation multiple_high_priority_leads
🚨 Major Anomalous Discovery $3.6M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Investigations uncover anomalous evidence requiring emergency containment, specialist hires, and major legal/cover actions.
anomalous_evidence_discovered containment_required external_agency_exposure
👥 Personnel 10 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / PI 1 [#7] Lead researcher responsible for oversight of FLOORBOARDS outputs and investigative priorities.
Research Analyst 4 [#7] Cold-case investigators / forensic analysts (2–4 listed; midpoint used).
DevOps / Sysadmin 1 [#7] Devops/admin to maintain AI integration and on-prem cluster operations.
RAISA Liaison / Administrative 1 [#7, #10] RAISA-style liaison and admin for interagency coordination and MOU management.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#8] Incremental site security staffing (2–4 extra guards; midpoint used) for escorting analysts and protecting assets.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges and staffing assumptions, allowing a reasonable mid-range estimate; uncertainty remains in incident-driven contingency usage and staff-grade salary bands, so confidence is medium.
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