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SCP-893 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-893
Expected annual
$3.7M
One-time setup
$1.8M
Annual recurring
$3.5M
Personnel
14
Initial capital costs are approximately $1.82M one-time to build BSL-3 nursery capability, incineration and support equipment; steady-state operations are ~ $3.49M/year driven primarily by personnel, contingency/reserve funds and recurring research/monitoring costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.8M
Facilities $1.5M
[#1, #2, #3] BSL-3 containment upgrade, dedicated nursery construction/fit-out, and onsite medical incinerator (includes installation and structural work).
Equipment $315K
[#4, #5, #6, #13, #14, #21, #24, #28] -80°C freezers/LN2 setup, rapid containment kits (initial purchase), autoclave, surveillance/CCTV install, secure transport vehicle purchase, secure data setup (one-time), specialized excision/restraint equipment, and miscellaneous capital spares/stockpile.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.5M/yr
Staff Wages $1.8M/yr
[#7, #8, #9] Security staffing (2 handlers + 4 guards, shift coverage, hazard pay), onsite medical team (physician + nurses/med techs and on-call premiums), and research staff (3 researchers + 2 lab techs).
Outbreak Scaling Planning Fund $500K/yr
[#27] Initial planning/reserve fund for scaling in case of multi-instance outbreak; analyst listed as a recurring planning/reserve allocation.
Research And Monitoring $337K/yr
[#10, #13, #21, #22, #25, #26, #4] Genomics/histology/assay budget, surveillance/CCTV monitoring and analytics, data/security maintenance (annual), IT operations/cybersecurity, external consulting support for specialized analyses, records retention/archival, and freezer monitoring service.
Contingency Reserve $250K/yr
[#17] Emergency response and containment breach contingency fund; replenished as used to maintain rapid-response capability.
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#18] Legal retainers, cover-story operations, liaison and administrative overhead for plausible deniability and incident management.
Autopsy Per Instance $175K/yr
[#16] Autopsy/pathology costs when performed. Assumes ~50 in-depth autopsies/year at an average $3,500 each (mid-range).
Per Instance Termination $100K/yr
[#15] Per-instance termination costs (drugs, staff time, incineration). Baseline assumes ~200 terminations/year at ~$500 each.
Supplies And Consumables $55K/yr
[#11, #5, #28] PPE, disinfectants, medical disposables and high-turnover consumables; replenishment for rapid containment kits; annual replenishment of small capital stockpile.
Logistics And Transport $40K/yr
[#12, #14] Biohazard waste/offsite disposal contract and recurring vehicle costs (fuel/maintenance/driver) for secure transport.
Ethics Psych Care $40K/yr
[#19] Ethics board operations, psychological care and personnel screening/counseling for exposed staff.
Training And Drills $20K/yr
[#20] Recurring containment drills and five-minute extraction/surgical practice simulations.
Facilities Maintenance $18K/yr
[#23] Energy and basic facility HVAC/negative-pressure maintenance costs (continuous climate control, freezers, HVAC loads).
Equipment Maintenance $8K/yr
[#6, #24] Scheduled maintenance for autoclave and specialized excision/restraint equipment (autoclave maintenance ~$3k/yr; specialized equipment maintenance ~$5k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.5M/yr
91.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine monitoring, research, staffing, and replenishment.
routine_operations occasional_single-instance_terminations
🚨 Minor Incident $3.6M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized escape or small-scale fragmentation event requiring extra overtime, emergency response and additional disposals/autopsies.
localized_escape small-scale_fragmentation temporary_staff_overtime
🚨 Major Outbreak $21.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$17.5M vs baseline
Mass instance production / multi-appendage separations requiring rapid scale-up of beds, staff, disposal and decontamination (planned x5 scaling scenario).
mass_production_event multiple_simultaneous_separations facility_overcapacity
👥 Personnel 14 total
Role Count Notes
Site Specialist Handler 2 [#7] Dedicated handlers to supervise SCP-893 and perform rapid extractions.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#7] Three-shift guard coverage plus backups; includes overtime and hazard premiums.
Research Scientist 3 [#9] Molecular biology/pathology researchers studying regenerative mechanism.
Lab Technician 2 [#9] Laboratory technicians supporting assays, sequencing, and sample handling.
Medical Officer 1 [#8] FTE physician for surgical/ER-capable procedures and oversight.
Nurse / Med Tech 2 [#8] Nursing/med tech coverage for procedures, sedation and on-call care.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide itemized estimates and realistic ranges for many line items, but several per-instance quantities (annual termination/autopsy counts, outbreak frequency) are assumptions; contingency/planning allocations add further variance.
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