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SCP-8932 Safe ? low confidence
SCP-8932
Expected annual
$16.6M
One-time setup
$18.8M
Annual recurring
$15.6M
Personnel
56
One-time containment and infrastructure costs are dominated by site retrofits, property acquisition and contingency reserves (~$18.8M). Annual recurring costs are driven by long-term patient care, security, research staffing and cover-story operations (~$15.6M/year).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $18.8M
Facilities $12.4M
[#1, #3, #14, #25] Physical construction and property acquisition: perimeter barriers/permits, Site-259 humanoid wing retrofit/expansion, partial property buyouts/conversions and optional full-zone purchase for permanent containment.
Contingency Initial $2.0M
[#24] Initial contingency and escalation reserve for unplanned costs, litigation, rapid-capex and unexpected anomalous behaviors.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.1M
[#8] Neuroimaging and lab buildout for Project Unchaperoned (EEG rigs, biobank, MRI access/purchase alternatives, PET/access fees, histology and lab instrumentation).
Equipment $850K
[#6, #7, #11, #20] Vehicle purchases and fleets, high-speed camera rigs and timestamp hardware, secure server hardware and initial high-bandwidth/communications equipment.
Redundant Life Safety One Time $550K
[#19] One-time purchase of redundant generators/UPS, spare ventilators and redundant patient-monitoring hardware to tolerate brief disappearances/reappearances.
Removal Attempt $500K
[#25] One-time budgeted cost for a cautious attempted removal / heavy-lift operation and associated research/mitigation (if attempted).
Ai Development $300K
[#12] One-time development/licensing and initial deployment of automated high-frequency event detection and redaction tooling.
Initial Extraction Operation $275K
[#5] One-time extraction/rescue operation costs: armored ambulances/containment transport, sedation stockpiles, immediate mortuary services for initial recoveries.
Medical Stockpile $275K
[#10] Initial one-time pharmaceutical and consumables stockpile (sedatives, antipsychotics, IV supplies, PPE).
Cover Company Setup $250K
[#13] One-time front-company setup: shell company filings, vehicles/uniforms, website and initial PR materials to establish the radioactive-spill cover story.
Training Initial $110K
[#18] Initial specialized training curriculum and first-round training (nonlethal extraction, sedation/memetic safety).
Mortuary $100K
[#16] One-time mortuary/forensic handling and record-falsification preparations for initial fatalities.
Amnestic Initial $100K
[#15] Initial one-time amnestic/aftercare setup costs for nearby civilians (operators, initial chemicals/devices and legal paperwork).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $15.6M/yr
Staff Wages $5.6M/yr
[#2, #9] Ongoing salaries, benefits and training for security forces, core research staff, site leadership, IT and administrative support needed to operate containment and Project Unchaperoned.
Long Term Care $4.0M/yr
[#4] Recurring costs for maintaining SCP-8932-A patients in drug-induced coma: nursing ratios, physician oversight, sedatives, ventilator support, imaging and labs (assumes ~20 long-term patients at ~$200k/patient-year).
Research And Monitoring $1.2M/yr
[#7, #8, #11, #12] Recurring costs for high-speed data storage/processing, outsourced MRI/PET sessions, scan fees, reagent replenishment, secure hosting and ongoing AI/analysis compute and maintenance.
Cover Story And Legal $1.2M/yr
[#13, #17, #21] Front-company payroll, PR/claims handling, ongoing legal/compliance and Ethics Committee/oversight support budgets and legal reserves.
Contingency Replenish $1.0M/yr
[#24] Annual replenishment of contingency / escalation fund to prepare for lawsuits, unrest, equipment failures or unforeseen anomalous escalation.
Facilities Maintenance $600K/yr
[#1, #3, #19, #25, #14] Recurring upkeep of perimeter barriers/permits, Site-259 wing systems, life-safety system maintenance and ongoing property/site maintenance/taxes for controlled zone.
Logistics And Transport $600K/yr
[#6] Ongoing vehicle maintenance, fuel, drivers and escorted transport operations between the quarantine zone and Site-259.
Supplies And Consumables $500K/yr
[#10] Annual replenishment of medical consumables, PPE, sedatives, reagents and general operational consumables not included in per-patient care budgets.
Amnestic And Aftercare $250K/yr
[#15] Recurring amnestic treatments, counseling and legal aftercare for nearby civilians and ongoing staged settlements/compensation.
Decommissioning Maintenance $250K/yr
[#25] If long-term quarantine is maintained or land is converted to Foundation property, ongoing site upkeep, security, and tax/administrative costs.
Surveys And Epidemiology $175K/yr
[#23] Longitudinal sociological and epidemiological fieldwork and analysis of the quarantine's societal impact.
Staff Psychological Support $100K/yr
[#22] Counseling, rotational leave coverage and psychological damage-control for staff exposed to flicker events and anomalous stressors.
Redundant Life Safety Maintenance $80K/yr
[#19] Annual maintenance, fuel and periodic replacement for redundant generators, UPS systems and spare ventilators.
Secure Comms $50K/yr
[#20] Recurring costs for encrypted liaison channels, leased secure links and comms personnel to coordinate with regional authorities under cover.
Training Refresher $40K/yr
[#18] Annual refresher courses on extraction, sedation protocols and memetic safety.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $15.6M/yr
81.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with ongoing containment, research, security, care and cover-story expenses; no major incidents or exposures.
standard containment operations ongoing research activity no breach or public exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $17.1M/yr
14.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Localized breach, discovery of a small number of SCP-8932-A outside containment, emergency medical treatment, limited PR/litigation and equipment repair.
small-scale containment breach limited civilian exposure emergency repairs and targeted PR response
🚨 Major Breach $25.6M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or failure of perimeter leading to multiple public exposures, large medical/resettlement costs, expanded security and major legal/PR response.
multiple SCP-8932-A escaping quarantine substantial media attention mass medical/resettlement and legal action
🚨 Political Exposure $45.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$30.0M vs baseline
Public/unanticipated political exposure of the cover story requiring large-scale buyouts, prolonged litigation, congressional investigation or forced decommissioning.
major leak or investigative journalism local or national political intervention forced property acquisition or disclosure litigation
👥 Personnel 56 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 28 Armed perimeter checkpoints, mobile patrol shifts and vehicle crews; mapped to recurring security costs [#2].
Research Scientist 10 PI and neuroscience/psychiatry senior researchers for Project Unchaperoned; mapped to staff and research salaries [#9].
Data Scientist 3 ML engineers / analysts supporting high-frequency event analysis and AI tooling [#12].
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 Overall site/program leadership and liaison duties, included in staff wages [#9].
Engineer / Maintenance 4 Facilities, generator and life-safety systems maintenance tied to redundant systems and facility upkeep [#19].
Administrative Staff 3 Front-company administration, logistics coordination and records management included in recurring staff costs [#13].
IT / Sysadmin 2 Secure servers, CCTV storage and encrypted comms maintenance [#11].
Logistics Driver 5 Drivers and escorts for patient and supply movement between quarantine and Site-259 [#6].
📋 Confidence Notes
Substantial uncertainty in these estimates due to unknown number of affected civilians within the 1.7 km radius, legal/political willingness to purchase or condemn property, and the as-yet-unresolved success of deprogramming research; ranges in the analyst notes are wide and scenario-driven.
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