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SCP-8946 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-8946
Expected annual
$22.4M
One-time setup
$19.9M
Annual recurring
$21.3M
Personnel
80
Estimated one-time capital of roughly $19.9M for site retrofits, containment hardware and staff severance; recurring annual costs ~ $21.3M driven primarily by staff wages (security, specialists, replacement hires), a contingency/reserve for incidents, and retention/life-support for confined personnel.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $19.9M
Long Term Compensation $4.4M
[#23] One-time potential severance/buyouts/long-term compensation if containment becomes indefinite (midline for ~80 affected personnel).
Equipment $3.9M
[#9, #10] Specialized containment hardware (temporal dampeners, EM shielding, sensor arrays) and secure data hardware (hardened servers, air-gapped backups, tape archives).
Cover Operations Initial $2.8M
[#14] Initial covert cover/OPSEC/strategic communications one-time spend (fake records, initial campaign setup, liaison costs).
Facilities $2.0M
[#1] Site perimeter fortification and physical lockdown retrofits for both sites (fences, airlocks, hardening, lockable internal zones). Midline combined estimate for two sites.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.8M
[#8] Lab equipment for geological and temporal forensics (mass specs, SEM/TEM, sample prep and temporal diagnostics).
Decommissioning $1.6M
[#24] One-time decommissioning, environmental remediation and site closure costs (end-state disposal/asset write-offs).
Software Project $1.0M
[#11] One-time software engineering/database reconciliation project (3–6 FTEs for 6–12 months; tools, QA, chain-of-custody systems).
Transport Vehicles $600K
[#16] One-time purchase of armored/EMP-hardened vehicles and possible hoist/helicopter procurement contingency.
External Contractors $600K
[#26] One-time external contractor/consultant specialist hires (memetics, chronology, archival historians) for initial reconciliation.
Backup Power Systems $400K
[#18] One-time robust backup power / generator systems beyond baseline (stockpile capacity and testing setup).
Power Generator Contingency $300K
[#17] One-time generator/UPS contingency and installation (power/cooling contingency for labs and servers).
Communication Hardening $300K
[#27] One-time secure communications and classification upgrades (hardware, compartmentalization, vetting upgrades).
Data Integrity Initial $175K
[#25] Initial data integrity insurance / archival redundancy (cold offline copies, cross-site mirrors) setup.
Initial Training Sop $150K
[#22] One-time SOP development, initial training and tabletop exercises for novel dual-history, memetic-risk procedures.
Large Scale Cover Operations $0
[#30] Large-scale cover operations are scenario-contingent; baseline allocation set to $0 here and modeled in scenarios (see cost_scenarios).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $21.3M/yr
Staff Wages $12.0M/yr
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #7, #19] Salaries for 24/7 security rotations, RCT-Δt/time-science specialists, retention/hazard pay, base salaries for additional staff, clinicians and CCTV reviewer wages. Includes benefits/premiums.
Incident Response Reserve $2.5M/yr
[#20] Annual reserve for rapid procurement, emergency containment response and contingency hardware; set as a recurring budgeted reserve (15–30% guidance reflected).
Research And Monitoring $1.3M/yr
[#10, #11, #19, #25, #29, #27] Ongoing data infrastructure maintenance, software auditing/reconciliation staffing, CCTV/audio storage costs, archival rotation, long-term RCT analytics and comms maintenance.
Facilities Maintenance $1.2M/yr
[#17, #18] Ongoing power & cooling bills, generator testing and fuel maintenance, HVAC and perimeter/structural upkeep.
Opportunity Costs $1.1M/yr
[#28] Management-estimated economic opportunity costs from halted projects and lost external grants (budgetary impact; non-cash insofar as operational allocation).
Supplies And Consumables $1.1M/yr
[#6, #15] On-site life support (food, lodging, laundry, hygiene, recreation) and routine lab consumables (reagents, PPE, filters, replacement sensor parts).
Cover Story And Legal $1.0M/yr
[#13, #14] Legal counsel, internal investigations and ongoing covert/OPSEC maintenance (press management, liaison, small covert actions).
Amnestic Programs $550K/yr
[#12] Recurring costs for amnestic production/administration, memetic countermeasures and related medical administration for internal staff exposure.
Deconfliction Coordination $250K/yr
[#21] Recurring coordination overhead with other Foundation departments (admin FTEs, time cost, meetings).
Logistics And Transport $225K/yr
[#16] Recurring ops for secure transport (fuel, vehicle maintenance), courier operations and occasional emergency airlifts/rotors.
Training Refreshers $60K/yr
[#22] Recurring refresher training and tabletop exercise costs.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $21.3M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; containment maintained, routine monitoring and recurring programs continue.
no breach no public exposure normal staffing/turnover
🚨 Minor Incident $23.8M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Localized containment complication or equipment failure requiring rapid procurement, overtime, temporary hires, limited amnestic campaign and repairs.
localized equipment failure small civilian exposure short-term containment complication
🚨 Major Disclosure $53.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$32.0M vs baseline
Significant leak or government/public awareness that requires large-scale cover operations, mass amnestics, cross-government negotiations and major one-time expenditures.
public leak sovereign/state involvement widespread evidence of anomaly
👥 Personnel 80 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 30 [#2] 24/7 armed guard rotations, perimeter patrols and control room staff.
Research Scientist 20 [#5, #6, #8] On-site geologists and research staff conducting RCT-Δt investigations, supported by lab facilities.
RCT Specialist (Temporal Specialist) 10 [#3] Time-science and containment specialists with premium pay.
Administrative Staff 5 [#11, #21, #13] Admin, records, legal liaisons and coordination personnel.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#9, #17, #18] Facility, containment hardware and power/infrastructure maintenance.
Medical Officer 3 [#7, #12] Clinicians for physical and memetic/amnestic administration and monitoring.
Software Engineer / IT 3 [#10, #11, #27] Data infra, sync tools, hardened servers and ongoing reconciliations.
CCTV / Monitoring Reviewers 5 [#19] Continuous audio/video/memetic monitoring review and automated system oversight.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are order-of-magnitude based on the analyst's ranges and midline staffing assumptions (two locked-down sites, ~80 affected personnel). Large uncertainties remain due to unknown object-class behaviors, potential for mass amnestic requirement or sovereign response, and local cost variation.
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