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SCP-8963 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-8963
Expected annual
$6.9M
One-time setup
$12.6M
Annual recurring
$6.7M
Personnel
15
One-time capital and contingency costs are dominated by site-level temporal hardening and a contingency reserve (~$10–12.6M total). Recurring annual costs (~$6.7M baseline) are driven primarily by dedicated 24/7 staffing, per-arrival processing, long-term care for non-returnable individuals, research/testing, and site overhead.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $12.6M
Site Temporal Hardening $5.0M
[#3] Site-level temporal hardening / failsafe upgrades (redundant control systems, remote kill-switches, hardened control room, synchronization hardware) — planning allocation $5,000,000 (speculative).
Contingency Reserve $5.0M
[#12] Incident contingency & breach reserve for high-impact/low-probability events (evacuation, emergency retrofits, contractors, indemnities) — recommended reserve $5,000,000.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.0M
[#4] Quarantine / medical screening lab (BSL-2+ build/upgrade, upgradeable to BSL-3 procedures) — recommended $2,000,000 one-time.
Facilities $350K
[#2] Build/fit-out of a dedicated containment/reception chamber (3 m radius, airlock, CCTV, non-lethal restraint, sanitary facilities, observation windows, soft-furnishings) — recommended $350,000.
Backup Power $100K
[#13] Backup power, UPS, generator purchase and install sized for critical loads — recommended $100,000 one-time.
Archival Locker $75K
[#1] Secure archival locker upgrade including tamper-resistant/vault-style locker, environmental monitoring, intrusion detection, access-control logs, RF/EM shielding and remote-seal capability — recommended $75,000.
It Hardened Server $25K
[#15] Hardened server and air-gapped backups for data logging/archival integrity — recommended $25,000 one-time.
Equipment $0
[]
Projection And Sensitivity $0
[#20] Projection and sensitivity assumptions summarizing totals and scenario bands; no direct cost associated.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.7M/yr
Staff Wages $2.1M/yr
[#5] Dedicated 24/7 operational team (12–18 FTEs recommended). Fully-loaded payroll incl. benefits planning = $2,100,000/yr.
Facilities Maintenance $1.0M/yr
[#19] Site-level overhead / pro-rated facilities maintenance, utilities, waste disposal, janitorial, security oversight and administrative support (~25% of direct recurring costs) — $1,000,000/yr.
Research And Monitoring $750K/yr
[#8] Research & controlled testing budget for temporal trigger characterization, ethical oversight, and associated staff time — recommended baseline $750,000/yr.
Long Term Care $720K/yr
[#7] Long-term care for non-returnable individuals (baseline 5% retention ≈ 18 people × $40,000/person/yr = $720,000/yr).
Per Arrival Processing $548K/yr
[#6] Per-arrival processing (triage, testing, clothing, food, temporary housing) — $1,500/person × 365 ≈ $547,500/yr.
Supplies And Consumables $500K/yr
[#4, #17] Recurring operating consumables for quarantine (reagents, disposables) and misc lab/sterile supplies (syringes, vials, disinfectants, replacement clothing) — $400,000 + $100,000 = $500,000/yr.
Cover Story And Legal $500K/yr
[#10] Legal, cover-up, and public-affairs baseline budget for potential exposures, settlements, PR and government liaison — recommended baseline $500,000/yr.
Consultants And Specialists $200K/yr
[#9] Anthropological, linguistic, and cultural specialists (contracts and training) — recommended $200,000/yr.
Insurance Audits $150K/yr
[#18] Insurance, external audits, and regulatory compliance costs — recommended $150,000/yr.
Amnestic And Psych Services $100K/yr
[#11] Amnestic / memory-management analogue: emergency psychopharmacological stock, psychological care and stabilization services — recommended $100,000/yr.
Training And Drills $50K/yr
[#16] Training, drills, PPE replacement, memetic/temporal safety briefings and SOP maintenance — recommended $50,000/yr.
Logistics And Transport $40K/yr
[#14] Transport & secure movement budget (armored transport/medical transfers) — budget $40,000/yr (1–3 significant moves assumed).
Backup Power Maintenance $30K/yr
[#13] Fuel, maintenance and service contract for generator/UPS — recommended $30,000/yr.
It Maintenance $8K/yr
[#15] Ongoing maintenance and media replacement for hardened logging/archival IT — recommended $7,500/yr.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.7M/yr
84.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; recurring costs at planned baseline (5% long-term retention).
steady arrival rate no public exposure no major containment incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $7.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Localized incident or limited public exposure requiring legal/PR response, additional medical/psych services, and short-term contractor support.
limited leak or local media exposure isolated containment incident requiring contractors
🚨 High Nonreturn Rate $7.4M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$720K vs baseline
Higher fraction of arrivals require long-term care (approx. 10% retention), increasing annual housing/medical/security costs.
increase in non-returnable individuals policy decision to retain more subjects long-term
🚨 Major Breach $13.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$7.0M vs baseline
Major containment failure or facility-wide temporal event requiring emergency operations, use of contingency reserves and large-scale contractor/relocation expenses.
facility-wide temporal isolation large-scale breach or civil exposure
👥 Personnel 15 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#5] Shift coverage for 24/7 security presence (1 per shift → 3 FTE).
Medical Officer 3 [#5] Triage/medic/clinical coverage across 3 shifts.
Containment Technician / Researcher 3 [#5] Containment and technical operations across shifts.
Research Scientist (supervisory) 4 [#5] Supervisory scientists and principal investigators (2–4 recommended; used 4).
Administrative Staff / Support Techs 2 [#5] Administrative, logistics, and support technicians on standard schedules.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates draw directly from analyst notes and recommended planning figures for most line items (medium confidence). Major uncertainty remains around site-level temporal hardening (speculative) and the long-term retention fraction of arrivals, which can materially change recurring costs (low confidence on those subitems).
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