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SCP-8982 Thaumiel ~ medium confidence
SCP-8982
Expected annual
$5.9M
One-time setup
$11.8M
Annual recurring
$5.6M
Personnel
5
One-time setup costs are modest relative to contingency reserves (≈$11.8M one-time driven primarily by a seed contingency and insurance). Recurring annual costs are driven by emergency readiness, senior researcher salaries, research/analysis, and contingency replenishment (~$5.64M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $11.8M
Contingency Reserve Seed $10.0M
[#18] One-time seed contingency reserve for catastrophic/K-class mitigation (seed fund).
Insurance Indemnity Seed $1.0M
[#26] One-time insurance / indemnity seed fund to cover accidental harm or restitution.
Equipment $652K
[#5, #12, #16, #22, #23] CCTV/audio installation, initial cybersecurity setup hardware, mobile command/portable comms equipment, secure transport vehicle (van) purchase, and backup power generator/UPS hardware.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $50K
[#13] Initial modeling / compute hardware for research and analysis.
Facilities $40K
[#1, #21] Dedicated living‑quarter fit-out (audio/video-capable room, childproofing, secure storage) and secure archival vault fit/fit-out.
Initial Cover Creation $30K
[#19] Initial legal/cover-story creation and associated setup costs.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.6M/yr
Emergency Response Readiness $1.8M/yr
[#15] Dedicated rapid-response force readiness, training, retention and equipment (MTF-level readiness costs).
Administrative Overhead $941K/yr
[#25] Administrative overhead (20% of direct recurring costs). Calculated as 20% of recurring direct costs before overhead.
Staff Wages $870K/yr
[#3, #4] Salaries + benefits for 1 full-time caretaker/attendant and 3–4 (modeled as 4) senior L3+ researchers on rotation (primary assigned staff wages).
Contingency Replenishment $500K/yr
[#18] Annual replenishment target for the catastrophic contingency reserve if used.
Research And Monitoring $365K/yr
[#6, #13, #14] Data storage/processing, real-time transcription and backups (staff+storage), ongoing research & analysis budget, and translation/consultant fees for interpreting visions.
Per Incident Mitigation Reserve $250K/yr
[#17] Annual budgeted reserve for per-incident mitigation, evacuations, temporary shelters and contracting specialists (funds for incidents as they occur).
Insurance Replenishment $250K/yr
[#26] Annual allocation to replenish insurance/indemnity funds as used.
Cover Story And Legal $175K/yr
[#19, #20] Ongoing legal, ethics, cover-story maintenance and baseline public-relations program costs.
Personnel Security Opsec $138K/yr
[#11] Enhanced vetting, periodic polygraphs, CI monitoring, and anti-leak measures for staff interacting with SCP.
Long Term Care $90K/yr
[#28] Long-term care and succession planning costs if SCP requires permanent housing/guardianship in future.
Medical Care $80K/yr
[#7] Ongoing pediatric, forensic, physiotherapy and psychiatric care (routine and emergency medical access).
Public Relations Incident Reserve $50K/yr
[#20] Per-incident PR/disinformation response reserve for managing leaks or significant incidents.
Mental Health Services $45K/yr
[#8] Regular sessions with child psychologists/trauma specialists and developmental assessments for SCP.
Staff Resilience Program $40K/yr
[#24] Psychological support, counseling and resilience programs for staff exposed to traumatic visions.
Cybersecurity Maintenance $38K/yr
[#12] Ongoing cybersecurity, intrusion detection, audits, key management and secure deletion policies (recurring maintenance).
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#22] Operational costs for secure transport (per-trip operational costs, maintenance and occasional charters).
Supplies And Consumables $20K/yr
[#10, #27] Consumables for SCP (food, clothing, toiletries) and misc consumables/equipment replacements (batteries, PPE, test materials).
Facilities Maintenance $13K/yr
[#2, #21, #23] Utilities, custodial service, small repairs for living quarters and archival vault maintenance; backup power fuel/maintenance.
Perception Benefit Offset $0/yr
[#29] Contextual item: operational savings from prevented events (not a direct recurring cost; tracked as avoided-loss estimates).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.6M/yr
69.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations and no major incidents.
no significant visions requiring large mitigation routine medical/research operations
🚨 Minor Incident $5.8M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized vision triggers a small-scale mitigation (evacuation of a building, targeted repair, limited MTF deployment).
short-notice vision of localized hazard small-scale evacuation or contractor deployment
🚨 Major Incident $7.6M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Vision predicts a large facility- or city-level event requiring substantial mitigation and multi-organization coordination.
vision indicating large infrastructure failure or mass-casualty risk city-level mitigations and extended MTF operations
🚨 Catastrophic K Class Event $30.6M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Vision corresponds to an imminent K-class or similarly catastrophic event requiring emergency use of contingency reserves and large-scale mobilization.
vision indicating K-class-level catastrophe nationwide or multi-site mass mobilization
👥 Personnel 5 total
Role Count Notes
Caretaker / Attendant 1 Full-time assigned caretaker responsible for day-to-day supervision and childcare duties. [#3]
Senior Researcher (L3+) / Oversight 4 Rotating on-call senior researchers providing approvals and interpretation of visions (3–4 modeled as 4). [#4]
Systems Operator / Data Staff (included in research budget) 0 Systems operator headcount and compensation are budgeted inside research_and_monitoring (costs not double-counted in staff_wages). Research staff FTEs are provided via the research budget. [#6, #13]
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates compile explicit line-item ranges from analyst notes; staffing and recurring program costs are fairly well-defined, but incident-driven costs and contingency sizing are highly uncertain, yielding medium confidence.
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