SCP-8984 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-8984
Expected annual
$158.4M
One-time setup
$2.1B
Annual recurring
$152.2M
Personnel
80
One-time capital program for expanded monitoring and contingency funding is large (≈$2.05B); ongoing annual operations dominated by flagship telescope operations, research staffing, OPSEC/cover-story activity and infrastructure ops (~$152M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.1B
Equipment $840.0M
[#2, #3, #5, #6, #7, #13, #29] Smallsat constellation and telescope hardware procurement, launch program costs, instrument procurement/R&D, HPC hardware, storage hardware and one-time cybersecurity enclaves; includes equipment portion of capital program.
Facilities $752.0M
[#4, #14, #29] Ground observatory construction and upgrades, perimeter/secure rooms and major facility construction portion of a capital program to build new flagship/ground array.
Capex Overhead And Insurance $342.4M
[#24] Contingency / procurement overhead and insurance applied to capital programs (approx. 20% of capex).
Long Range Contingency $100.0M
[#25] Large one-off budget line for major public-exposure mitigation or international emergency scientific campaigns.
Secure Backup Contingency Fund $20.0M
[#15, #11] One-time reserve for emergency PR buys, counter-evidence fabrication, rapid retasking and legal injunction funding.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $200K
[#19] Initial personnel security/clearance processing and minimal lab on-boarding/setup costs (vetting, polygraph infrastructure initial spend).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $152.2M/yr
Research And Monitoring $114.5M/yr
[#1, #2, #6, #7, #9, #27, #28] Flagship telescope operations, smallsat ops (recurring), HPC operations, data storage operations, theoretical research funding and cross-disciplinary liaison; includes the core continuous monitoring program.
Operational Contingency $13.8M/yr
[#24] Recurring operational contingency/reserve (budgetary buffer for unexpected recurring costs and minor incidents).
Staff Wages $12.0M/yr
[#8, #10] Salaries for data analysis/research staff and the salary portion of MTF Gamma-5 personnel (data scientists, postdocs, core research staff and MTF salaries).
Cover Story And Legal $5.8M/yr
[#11, #12, #16, #17, #18, #22, #23] Covert information operations, legal/diplomatic retainers and routine cover-story budgets (infiltration of civilian resources, bribes/black funds, controlled dissemination and archival deception staffing).
Facilities Maintenance $2.3M/yr
[#4, #14, #21] Maintenance and security-related facility costs for ground observatories, data centers and instrument sites (includes physical security recurring costs and energy-related site maintenance).
Mtf Gamma5 Ops $2.0M/yr
[#10] Operational budget for MTF Gamma-5 (travel, equipment, covert ops funds) excluding salary portion included under staff_wages.
Cybersecurity Ops $1.2M/yr
[#13] Ongoing cybersecurity, OPSEC and secure-communications maintenance costs.
Training And Exercises $200K/yr
[#20] Regular training, simulation exercises for research and MTF staff focused on leak scenarios and special observation protocols.
Personnel Healthcare And Retention $200K/yr
[#26] Healthcare, psychological support and retention bonuses for lead scientists and key staff.
Personnel Clearance And Monitoring $150K/yr
[#19] Recurring insider-threat monitoring, ongoing polygraph/monitoring subscriptions and clearance renewals.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
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Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $152.2M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, research, OPSEC and no major public incidents.
routine_operations no_major_leaks
🚨 Minor Incident $167.2M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Localized leak or contested civilian claim requiring emergency PR/legal action, quick retasking and modest surge of covert activity.
moderate_public_leak civilian_research_challenge
🚨 Major Public Exposure $402.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$250.0M vs baseline
Significant public exposure or proof that requires large-scale mitigation, international coordination and major emergency scientific campaigns.
widespread_public_exposure international_scientific_response
👥 Personnel 80 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 40 [#8, #9, #27] Astrophysicists, instrument scientists and theoretical researchers (data analysis and publication-controlled work).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 30 [#10] MTF Gamma-5 operational personnel (salary portion included in staff_wages; ops in mtf_gamma5_ops).
Data Engineer / Analyst 6 [#6, #7, #8] HPC and data pipeline engineers for storage, archiving and analysis.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#4, #6] Facility and instrument maintainers (ground observatory and HPC upkeep).
Administrative Staff 1 [#12, #18] Administrative and program management support for legal, travel and controlled dissemination.
Medical Officer 1 [#26] Medical/psychological support lead for staff healthcare and retention.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed order-of-magnitude ranges for most line items allowing a mid-range budget to be constructed, but large uncertainties remain (choice between commandeering civilian assets vs new-build, wide cost ranges for launches/space assets and low-frequency catastrophic scenarios).
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