SCP-8990 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-8990
Expected annual
$46.8M
One-time setup
$567.9M
Annual recurring
$45.1M
Personnel
75
One-time initial capital and contingency reserve total roughly $567.9M driven primarily by two secure compounds and a recommended catastrophic contingency reserve; ongoing annual operations are ~ $44.55M/year driven by staffing, nationwide liaison/interdiction, research, and contingency replenishment.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $567.9M
Catastrophic Contingency Reserve $500.0M
[#17] Recommended minimum CK-class reserve (~$500M) for national/international emergency response if containment fails.
Facilities $40.0M
[#1] Two purpose-built off-grid secure compounds (living, medical, decon, hardened structure) estimated at ~$20M/site → ~$40M total.
Equipment $15.4M
[#2, #4, #5, #13, #15, #16] One-time hardware and systems: perimeter surveillance (~$4.0M), transport fleet purchase (helicopters/vehicles ~$7.0M), analytics/tracking platform & device installs (~$3.0M), communications backbone (~$1.0M), and site energy installs (~$0.4M).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $10.0M
[#12] Baseline anomalous-research lab buildout and initial program funding (selected midpoint of $5M–$25M range).
Cover Story Setup $1.5M
[#24] One-time setup for major long-term cover narratives, fake companies, actors, staged events (~$0.5M–$3M).
Legal Cover Infrastructure $1.0M
[#7] One-time build of forged identity systems/processes and covert coordination infrastructure (~$0.5M–$2M; midpoint used).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $45.1M/yr
Contingency Replenishment $10.0M/yr
[#17] Annual replenishment allocation in expectation of drawing on catastrophic reserve during severe incidents—keeps a replenishment stream available.
Staff Wages $9.0M/yr
[#3] Full-time staffing (MTF/security, medical, admin, case officers) conservatively budgeted at ~$9M/year (midpoint of analyst range).
Research And Monitoring $5.6M/yr
[#12, #5, #13] Ongoing anomalous research program and predictive/analytics compute & maintenance (~$5M research + ~$600k analytics).
Nationwide Liaisons $5.0M/yr
[#14] Covert stationing and liaison program at transport hubs, hospitals, local governments; national footprint budgeted here.
Cover Story And Legal $4.8M/yr
[#6, #7, #24, #23, #25] Social-graph censorship, legal counsel/cover payments, ongoing cover upkeep, slush funds, and audit/defense (~combined midpoint).
Logistics And Transport $3.0M/yr
[#4, #11] Transport fleet maintenance/fuel/pilots/mechanics and relocation readiness fund (~$2M + $1M/year).
Scaling Contingency Reserve $2.0M/yr
[#28] Recurring reserve to prepare for containment scaling if subjects relocate to denser jurisdictions (urban scaling contingency).
Facilities Maintenance $900K/yr
[#2, #16] Site maintenance including perimeter hardware upkeep and fuel/utility maintenance (~$700k + $200k/year).
Supplies And Consumables $700K/yr
[#21, #22] Routine consumables (vehicles/fuel/parts, medical disposables) and pharmaceutical storage/amnestic stockpile production costs.
Psychological Management $600K/yr
[#9] Long-term psychologists and behavioural conditioning programs for both subjects.
Analytics And Tracking Maintenance $600K/yr
[#5, #13] Recurring data/SIM costs, tracking subscriptions, and analyst/compute maintenance for geo-fence and predictive systems.
Social Circle Management $500K/yr
[#19] Monitoring/managing family, friends, and social contacts of both subjects; relocation or other interventions as needed.
Replacement Capital Reserve $500K/yr
[#26] Annualized reserve for long-term replacement/upgrades (planned capital replacement across decades).
Personnel Turnover $500K/yr
[#27] Recruiting, training pipeline, cover identities for replacement personnel and associated costs.
Amnestic And Memetic Operations $300K/yr
[#8] Annual operational budget for third-party amnestic ops, memetic countermeasures, and follow-up medical oversight.
Public Event Monitoring $300K/yr
[#18] Monitoring and intervention fund for large gatherings and event-level interventions.
Training And Exercises $300K/yr
[#20] Ongoing MTF and support unit training, scenario drills, and readiness exercises.
Communications Maintenance $300K/yr
[#15] Recurring hosting, encryption, backup and secure IT maintenance costs.
Medical Care $250K/yr
[#10] Regular medical, psychiatric care, emergency readiness and indefinite custody healthcare for both subjects.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $45.1M/yr
82.9% probability / year
Normal year with established containment, routine operations, and no major incidents.
no_breach routine_operations planned_research_activity
🚨 Minor Incident $46.0M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$900K vs baseline
Localized incident requiring increased relocations, amnestic campaigns, short-term surge in security and legal activity.
unexpected_encounter local_exposure multiple_amnestics_required
🚨 Major Breach $94.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$49.4M vs baseline
Significant exposure or multi-jurisdictional breach requiring national liaison escalation, extended legal defense, and large-scale R&D surge.
jurisdictional_exposure media_or_legal_inquiry extended_multiweek_response
🚨 Catastrophic Ck Escalation $544.5M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$499.4M vs baseline
CK-Class reality escalation where containment fails and national/international emergency operations and reality-stabilization efforts are required.
CK_shift_occurence widespread_reality_restructuring mass_relocations_and_global_R&D
👥 Personnel 75 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 40 [#3] 24/7 guard shifts and tactical response personnel distributed across both sites and central operations.
Case Officer / Custodial Staff 10 [#3] Case officers to manage subject lives, enforce separation, and handle cover interactions.
Research Scientist 6 [#3, #12] Scientists allocated to study SCP-8990 and support neutralization research programs.
Medical Officer 6 [#3, #10] On-site medical staff for regular care, emergency response, and amnestic administration oversight.
Administrative Staff 6 [#3] Administrative and logistics staff to handle daily operations, record control, and cover maintenance.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#3, #16] Facility and systems maintenance, generators/energy systems, and equipment upkeep.
Logistician / Transport Coordinator 2 [#3, #4, #11] Coordinators for relocation readiness, transport fleet operations, and mission planning.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#3] Executive oversight and coordination with foundation-wide assets and legal/liaison teams.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of wide analyst ranges and include a large contingency; SCP effects are probabilistic/CK-class with high uncertainty, so cost magnitudes—especially contingencies and probabilities—are low-confidence.
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