SCP-8993 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-8993
Expected annual
$2.1M
One-time setup
$5.8M
Annual recurring
$2.1M
Personnel
11
Initial capital costs are moderate (multiple millions) driven by a reinforced vertical shaft, remote handling systems, and a lab buildout; annual recurring costs are driven primarily by personnel, facility operations, and a contingency reserve for escalation.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $5.8M
Facilities $2.0M
[#1, #9] Reinforced underground containment shaft (excavation, reinforced concrete, blast-rated ceiling, vibration isolation) and build/integration of a secure remote monitoring/operations room.
Equipment $1.4M
[#2, #3, #4, #6, #10, #12, #13] Non-visual sensor suite hardware, robotic manipulators and passthroughs, hazardous-liquid drains/sumps and containment hardware, hazmat response equipment, redundant power/UPS/generator hardware, fragment containment lockers/containers, and a specialized sealed transport container.
Emergency Incident Reserve $1.0M
[#17] Capital reserve fund for unexpected large cleanups, rapid engineering modifications, or third-party reimbursements (satellite shattering events).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $925K
[#5, #16] On-site analytical laboratory fit-out (BSL-2/3-capable benches, mass specs/fume hoods/biosafety cabinets) and specialized non-visual instrumentation / initial R&D instrumentation purchases.
Decommissioning $300K
[#18] Estimated one-time cost to safely dismantle containment, decontaminate the site, and archive or move samples in the event of decommissioning.
Legal Retainer $62K
[#14] One-time legal/cover-story retainer and initial permits/buyouts budget.
Training Program $62K
[#15] Initial SOP development, staff training program, and psychological screening setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.1M/yr
Staff Wages $950K/yr
[#6, #7, #8] Salaries for on-call hazmat response team (~2 personnel), 4 full-time security guards (trained in non-visual protocols), and the scientific team (1 PI, 2 research scientists, 2 technicians). Figures include base salaries; benefits/overhead included in totals above.
Research And Monitoring $345K/yr
[#2, #5, #16] Sensor calibration and data-acquisition upkeep, laboratory operating costs (consumables, reagents, contract instrument time), and ongoing R&D/contract development for non-visual instrumentation.
Escalation Contingency $250K/yr
[#20] Modest annual reserve to allow scaling (staff/supplies) in the event of small escalations; larger escalation costs are modeled in discrete scenarios per analyst guidance (additional $1M–$5M when required).
Facilities Maintenance $218K/yr
[#3, #9, #10, #12] Maintenance and spare parts for robotic systems, operations-center operations/IT, energy and HVAC/backup power maintenance, and fragment-storage cataloging/maintenance.
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#14, #19] Annual legal counsel, liability/cover-story budgets, permits, and document-control / classification auditing.
Supplies And Consumables $71K/yr
[#4, #11, #6] Waste-treatment/disposal, routine PPE and consumables (hazmat suits, filters, sample vials), and per-incident consumables for cleanup operations.
Training And Screening $40K/yr
[#15] Annual refresher training, SOP updates, and ongoing psychological screening/monitoring.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[#13] Per-use costs for armored sealed transport vehicles and escorts ($5k–$50k per move). Movement is rare; baseline annual budget set to $0 with per-use costs handled as incident-specific expense.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.1M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Routine year with no major shattering incidents or relocations; normal monitoring, maintenance, and scheduled research.
no_major_splitting_events routine_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $2.2M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Single satellite emergence with localized shattering or hazardous-liquid release requiring cleanup, sample analysis, and limited repairs.
single_satellite_emergence localized_shattering hazardous_liquid_cleanup
🚨 Major Escalation $4.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Severe escalation: multiple shattering events, violent emergences, significant contamination, or partial containment compromise requiring major cleanup, staff scaling, legal action, and possible relocation.
multiple_shattering_events containment_breach public_exposure
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#7] Four full-time guards trained in non-visual protocols; salary range included in staff_wages.
Site Principal Investigator 1 [#8] Lead scientist overseeing research and containment-specific protocols.
Research Scientist 2 [#8] Two research scientists conducting experiments and analysis.
Technician / Lab Technician 2 [#8] Two technicians supporting sample handling, instrumentation, and routine operations.
Hazmat Response Team (on-call) 2 [#6] Two-person on-call hazmat/cleanup team (salaries and training budgeted in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and plausible ranges for equipment, facilities and staffing; however SCP-8993's anomalous, rare shattering behavior and uncertain incident frequency inject uncertainty into incident-cost probabilities and escalation sizing.
← SCP-8991 ↑ All SCPs SCP-8994 →