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SCP-9004 Uncontained ? low confidence
SCP-9004
Expected annual
$70.0M
One-time setup
$386.3M
Annual recurring
$67.5M
Personnel
40
Initial one-time establishment and reserves are dominated by large contingency and liability funds plus morgue retrofits and research lab setup; recurring annual costs (~$67.45M/yr) are driven by staffing, witness-protection/mental-health, legal/PR, and ongoing forensic/analytics operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $386.3M
National Emergency Contingency Fund $275.0M
[#24] Reserve fund for national-scale emergency suppression if invoked (planning midpoint ~$275M).
Liability Reserve $62.5M
[#13] Liability/settlement reserve for related suicides and wrongful-death claims (planning midpoint ~$62.5M).
Facilities $14.8M
[#1, #3] Includes hardened archival/SCIF buildout ($1.0M) and retrofit of ~50 regional morgues with biometric access, reinforced cabinets and backup power (~$13.75M).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $9.5M
[#7, #17] Psychometry research lab & secure suites setup (~$6.5M) and forensic screening program build (~$3.0M).
Equipment $8.4M
[#4, #6, #16] Refrigerated transport fleet (20 vehicles ≈ $2.5M), chain-of-custody hardware/software setup (~$1.375M), and rapid-action task-force vehicles/equipment (~$4.5M).
Whistleblower Buyouts Initial $5.5M
[#14] Initial whistleblower mitigation buyouts and legal support (~$5.5M midpoint).
Coroner Integration Setup $3.0M
[#5] One-time development and legal costs for coroner/hospital flagging API and onboarding (~$3.0M).
Legal Setup $2.0M
[#12] One-time establishment of emergency legal program, drafting emergency orders and initial retainers (~$2.0M).
Evidence Destruction Setup $1.8M
[#21] One-time budgeting for controlled evidence destruction ops and legal backup (~$1.75M).
Training Setup $1.5M
[#15] One-time content creation and rollout for morticians/coroners/law enforcement training (~$1.5M).
Payments Outreach Initial $1.5M
[#19] Initial outreach/grant program to incentivize compliance from coroners and facilities (~$1.5M).
Redaction Setup $500K
[#18] Secure publication redaction and technical work to remove cached copies (one-time ~ $0.5M).
Cognition Education Setup $450K
[#20] Development of internal cognition-safety training and materials (~$0.45M).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $67.5M/yr
Witness Protection $15.0M/yr
[#9] Relocation and protection capacity for exposed personnel (~$10–25M/yr for capacity ~100; midpoint $15M).
Contingency Annual Reserve $10.0M/yr
[#24] Annual contribution to a contingency reserve for escalation to national-level response (planning allocation).
Cover Story And Legal $7.5M/yr
[#10, #12] Combined ongoing public-relations/media management and legal retainer/defense (~PR $2–6M + legal $2–5M; aggregated midpoint ~$7.5M/yr).
Staff Wages $5.0M/yr
[#2] Dedicated multidisciplinary payroll (~$4–6M/yr; midpoint $5.0M for ~40 FTEs fully loaded).
Mental Health Services $3.5M/yr
[#8] Baseline mental-health crisis services, hotlines and support (~$2–5M/yr; midpoint $3.5M).
Coroner Payments $3.5M/yr
[#19] Annual stipends/grants to ~1,000 facilities ($2–5k per facility/yr; midpoint ~$3.5M).
Research And Monitoring $2.8M/yr
[#7] Ongoing psychometry research program operations and secure lab staffing (~$1.5–4M/yr; midpoint ~$2.75M).
Taskforce Staffing Ops $2.5M/yr
[#16] Annual staffing and operational costs for in-field rapid-response teams (~$2–3M/yr).
Forensic Per Case $2.5M/yr
[#17] Per-case forensic screening and analysis costs (modelled here as ~$2.5M/yr based on moderate caseload; per-case $250–1000).
International Coordination $2.5M/yr
[#23] Diplomatic, foreign liaison and multilingual monitoring coordination (~$1–4M/yr).
Cyber Operations $2.0M/yr
[#11] Ongoing content takedowns, platform coordination and monitoring (~$1–3M/yr baseline).
Evidence Destruction Ops $1.8M/yr
[#21] Ongoing budget for controlled destruction operations and legal support (~$0.5–3M/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $1.7M/yr
[#1, #3] Annual maintenance/auditing for archives (~$200k/yr) and morgue operations/maintenance (~$1.5M/yr).
Coroner Integration Operation $1.2M/yr
[#5] Operation and per-case handling fees for coroner/hospital flagging system (~$1–1.5M/yr).
Logistics And Transport $1.0M/yr
[#4, #5] Refrigerated fleet fuel/maintenance and secure transport ops (~$0.8–1.2M/yr; midpoint $1.0M).
Whistleblower Mitigation $1.0M/yr
[#14] Ongoing payments, legal support, and employment transition costs to reduce leaks (~nominal recurring allocation).
Insurance And Audit $1.0M/yr
[#22] Specialized insurance, bonded escrow and external auditors (~$0.5–1.5M/yr).
Analytics Surveillance $1.0M/yr
[#25] Continuous anomaly modeling, data science, cloud compute and staff (~$0.5–1.5M/yr).
Training Refresher $750K/yr
[#15, #20] Annual refresher training and compliance testing for morticians, coroners and staff (~$0.5–1M/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $500K/yr
[#16, #17] Consumables, evidence kits, PPE and small equipment replacement tied to field operations and forensic processing.
Chain Of Custody Maintenance $375K/yr
[#6] Annual audits, license fees and tamper-detection upkeep (~$250–500k/yr).
Redaction Maintenance $375K/yr
[#18] Ongoing monitoring, takedowns and redaction maintenance (~$250–500k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $67.5M/yr
88.9% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, no major public exposure or large litigation.
no_major_leak steady_caseload standard_monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $72.5M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Localized leak or viral claim requiring extra takedowns, limited settlements, and surge mental-health support.
localized_leak viral_social_spread
🚨 Major Breach $167.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$100.0M vs baseline
Significant public exposure causing panic, multiple lawsuits, broad witness-protection needs and large settlements.
widespread_media_exposure class_action_or_multiple_suicide_events
🚨 National Scale Leak $1.1B/yr
0.1% probability / year +$1.0B vs baseline
Catastrophic public dissemination triggering national emergency measures, mass panic or policy-level interventions.
mass_public_disclosure national_security_threat
👥 Personnel 40 total
Role Count Notes
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 Oversees program, liaison with policy/legal.
Research Scientist 8 Psychometry and forensic research staff included in research payroll.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 Field operators for scene security and transport coordination (covered within staff_wages baseline).
Cyber Analyst / DM 4 24/7 monitoring and takedown operations included in payroll.
Legal Counsel 3 In-house legal support; external retainers budgeted separately.
PR / Crisis Communications 2 Rapid-response media and disinformation management.
Medical Officer / Psychiatrists 4 Mental-health leads for staff and exposed individuals; counseling programs budgeted separately.
Coroner Liaison / Forensic Specialist 5 Liaisons to coroners, mortuary integration and forensic screening coordination.
Administrative Staff 5 Program administration, HR, and logistics support.
📋 Confidence Notes
High uncertainty: SCP-9004 is an information/knowledge hazard with many scale-dependent and legally contingent costs; analyst estimates use midpoints of wide ranges and include large judgement calls on caseloads and reserves, so confidence is low.
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