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SCP-902 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-902
Expected annual
$46.3M
One-time setup
$1.7B
Annual recurring
$35.6M
Personnel
65
One-time capital and contingency reserves dominate costs (construction, hardened Arctic infrastructure, and an onsite hydrogen weapon reserve), while annual operations are driven by specialized staff wages, warhead custody, logistics, and security/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.7B
Post Detonation Remediation Reserve $1.0B
[#22] Contingent catastrophic remediation reserve for post-detonation cleanup/compensation (explicitly large; scenario costs may far exceed this reserve).
Onsite Hydrogen Bomb Procurement $500.0M
[#5] Cost to procure/host an onsite hydrogen bomb under various assumptions (midpoint chosen; actual cost could be much higher or provided by a state partner).
Facilities $150.0M
[#1] Hardened Arctic base construction: excavation, reinforced concrete, blast doors, environmental sealing, helipad/airstrip prep, fuel storage and nuclear-weapon grade storage modifications.
Decommissioning Or Relocation Contingency $50.0M
[#30] Contingency fund for controlled transport, relocation or decommissioning under extreme memetic risk.
Liability Reserve Fund Initial $20.0M
[#20] Establishment of legal/indemnity/disaster reserve fund.
Security Technology Initial $2.0M
[#18] Initial perimeter sensors, hardened fences, remote weapons mounts, and armaments procurement (one-time acquisitions and hardening).
Equipment $1.7M
[#2, #3, #4] Containment vault/anechoic chamber, non-auditory sensor suite, robotic handling equipment and associated mounting/sensors.
Amnestic Stockpile Initial $750K
[#10] Initial stockpile purchase and secure storage setup for amnestics and cognitive-mitigation agents.
Personnel Vetting And Countermemetic Training Initial $500K
[#9] Initial setup for specialized vetting, counter-memetic training programs and simulated drills.
Secure Communications And Systems Initial $500K
[#12] One-time setup of hardened air-gapped servers, memetic-safe reporting system, safes and tamper-detection systems.
Redundant Safes And Failsafes $175K
[#23] Multiple concentric containment layers, sacrificial mounts, automatic sealing systems.
Ppe And Countermeasures Initial $75K
[#27] Initial purchase of specialized memetic-protective PPE and related equipment.
Record Archives Initial $50K
[#26] One-time creation of secure physical archives and key-custody mechanisms.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
Small Modular Reactor Option $0
[#15] SMR option not selected for baseline (diesel assumed). SMR one-time install cost is an alternative of $50M–$200M if chosen.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $35.6M/yr
Nuclear Warhead Maintenance And Custody $10.0M/yr
[#6] Specialized technicians, periodic maintenance, tamper-proof surveillance and certification testing for the hosted warhead.
Staff Wages $7.5M/yr
[#7, #8] Payroll for 50 security personnel plus additional on-site support staff (medical, engineers, mechanics, cooks, logistics, communications, command).
Opportunity Cost Reserve $5.0M/yr
[#29] Contingency/reserve reflecting intangible political, diplomatic and opportunity costs of dedicating a facility to a single SCP.
Logistics And Transport $3.0M/yr
[#14] Regular resupply flights/helicopter sorties, fuel shipments, food and medical supplies for Arctic operations.
Cover Story And Legal $2.5M/yr
[#13] Ongoing cover story budget, diplomatic/legal cover-ups, shell-company logistics, PR and legal teams to manage leaks.
Liability Reserve Replenishment $2.0M/yr
[#20] Annual replenishment to maintain legal/indemnity/disaster reserves.
On Site Power Generation And Fuel $1.0M/yr
[#15] Diesel generator fuel purchases, delivery and operations (baseline).
Personnel Rotation And Accommodation $800K/yr
[#24] Rotation flights, quality quarters, leave travel and backfill costs to mitigate isolation and cognitive risk.
Media Information Suppression $750K/yr
[#21] Monitoring and takedown capabilities, rapid-response memetic incident control teams and legal actions.
Security Technology Ops And Training $500K/yr
[#18] Ongoing operations, ammunition resupply, remote weapons maintenance and training.
Emergency Evacuation Medavac $500K/yr
[#17] Medevac standby contracts or dedicated helicopter on-call and per-evac readiness costs.
Facilities Maintenance $400K/yr
[#16] Environmental control, HVAC, dehumidification maintenance and related facility upkeep in Arctic conditions.
Personnel Vetting And Countermemetic Training $300K/yr
[#9] Ongoing refresher training, background checks, psychological screening and simulated drills.
Amnestic Replenishment And Administration $300K/yr
[#10] Replenishment and administration costs for amnestics and medical program related to exposures.
Mental Health Services $300K/yr
[#11] Ongoing psychological care, counseling, rotation leave support and long-term therapy provisions.
Red Team And Drills $300K/yr
[#19] Pen-tests, breach simulations and procedural audits to test containment and single-O5 rules.
Containment Policy Oversight $200K/yr
[#28] Administrative overhead for O5 coordination, secure liaisons and oversight audits.
Secure Communications Maintenance $125K/yr
[#12] Maintenance and updates for air-gapped systems, tamper detection and secure physical archives upkeep.
Waste Handling And Hazardous Disposal $100K/yr
[#25] Disposal of amnestic chemical waste, contaminated PPE and hazardous materials under covert protocols.
Record Archives Maintenance $30K/yr
[#26] Ongoing maintenance of secure physical archives, destruction protocols and custody procedures.
Ppe Replacement $25K/yr
[#27] Replacement and upkeep of specialized memetic PPE and countermeasures.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
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Research And Monitoring $0/yr
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⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $35.6M/yr
87.9% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with no major incidents; base is staffed and operating under standard procedures.
normal_operations scheduled_maintenance routine_resupply
🚨 Minor Incident $38.6M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Localized breach attempt, equipment failure, or staff exposure requiring medevac, repairs, increased amnestic use and temporary surge in security activity.
attempted_breach equipment_failure limited_staff_exposure
🚨 Political Exposure $55.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Significant leak or diplomatic discovery requiring large-scale cover operations, legal fees, bribes, and accelerated containment measures.
public_leak diplomatic_exposure legal_action
🚨 Catastrophic Detonation $10.0B/yr
0.1% probability / year +$10.0B vs baseline
Onsite hydrogen bomb is detonated (remotely or deliberately) due to an irrecoverable breach or ordered destruction; results in massive remediation, geopolitical and compensation costs.
irrecoverable_breach command_detonation loss_of_containment
👥 Personnel 65 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 50 [#7] Site staffing requirement of 50 security personnel (specialized cognitive-hazard training, Arctic hazard pay).
Medical Officer 2 [#8, #11] Onsite medical staff for routine care and amnestic administration; mental-health support coordination.
Engineer / Maintenance 3 [#8, #16] Responsible for power, HVAC, environmental control and structural maintenance in Arctic conditions.
Mechanic / Technician 3 [#8, #4] Support for generators, vehicles, robotics and equipment maintenance.
Kitchen / Facilities Support 2 [#8] Cooks and facilities support for a continuously manned base.
Logistics / Supply 2 [#8, #14] Manage resupply flights, inventory, fuel and cold-weather logistics.
Communications / IT 1 [#12] Maintain secure, air-gapped communications and telemetry systems.
Site Command / Administrative Staff 2 [#8, #28] Small command and administrative element for site operations and O5 liaison coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Large uncertainties around the one-time warhead procurement cost, political arrangements, and catastrophic remediation make total estimates highly uncertain; many line items are wide ranges or policy-dependent.
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