SCP-9023 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-9023
Expected annual
$452K
One-time setup
$4.4M
Annual recurring
$371K
Personnel
3
Initial one-time response and investigation are estimated at roughly $4.45M driven primarily by potential international manhunt costs and contingency/reserve; baseline recurring operations are modest (~$371k/yr) driven by limited staffing, ongoing research, medical monitoring, and amnestic upkeep. Major cost drivers that could push totals into multi‑million ranges are international capture operations and conversion to long-term secure human containment.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.4M
Facilities $1.1M
[#1, #15] Locker upgrade/relocation and potential secure human containment suite construction retrofit (locker climate control, chain-of-custody infrastructure; containment retrofit estimated $200k–$2M).
Manhunt International $850K
[#12] International surveillance/identification/capture campaign (covert ops, travel, legal complexity — high-end scenario).
Contingency Reserve $741K
[#23] Contingency reserve (20% of initial one-time spend) for unforeseen escalation (delayed/memetic/pandemic scenarios, construction surges).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $454K
[#2, #3, #4, #16] Translation/epigraphy contract, forensic sampling, forensic lab analyses, and pilot research program setup (contract lab fees, specialized assays, initial pilot program).
Capture And Transport International $250K
[#13] International/high-risk capture and secure transport (charter flights, extra security).
Media And Legal Cover $162K
[#18] Media/OPSEC campaign and legal fees to suppress leaks, craft cover stories and engage journalists/authorities.
Manhunt Domestic $150K
[#12] Domestic surveillance/identification/capture campaign estimate (if PoI identified domestically).
Local Liaison And Cover $112K
[#9] Coordination with local antiquities boards, permits, site-closure fees, contractor retention and discreet official messaging to avoid escalation.
Emergency Medical Response $102K
[#21] Emergency evacuation/hospitalization/contact tracing responses for exposed site personnel (range applied to moderate scenario).
Field Deployment $90K
[#5] On-site investigative deployment to Valley of the Kings: travel, lodging, per-diem, local transport and operational costs for ~8 agents × 21 days.
Witness Management And Amnestics $80K
[#10] Amnestic administration and post-treatment monitoring/legal support for treated witnesses (estimated per-person range applied across 10–30 witnesses).
Background Checks $62K
[#7] Vetting of Foundation personnel and local workers (INTERPOL/criminal/travel/financial/media checks for ~50 people).
Temporary Security Augmentation $55K
[#8] Short-term guards, temporary fencing, portable sensors and CCTV; includes pro-rated guard costs and equipment.
Amnestic Initial Procurement $55K
[#19] Initial procurement, training and secure pharmacy setup for routine amnestic use.
Internal Investigation $50K
[#11] Internal disciplinary/investigative costs (investigators, hearings, reports).
Capture And Transport Domestic $42K
[#13] Non-lethal capture team, sedation equipment, secure transport and short-term holding (domestic/small operation).
Psych Behavioral Profiling $28K
[#17] Behavioral analysts, interrogators, language specialists for interviewing PoI/suspects.
Secure Courier Transfers $24K
[#20] Secure courier and specialized packaging for multiple (estimated 3) sample/person transfers (per-transfer $1k–$15k).
Digital Forensics $18K
[#6] Imaging and analysis of CCTV/radio/phone logs and seized devices; specialist analyst time.
Medical Initial Assessment $15K
[#14] Initial medical workup, imaging, bloodwork and psychological evaluation for any captured individual.
Equipment $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $371K/yr
Staff Wages $120K/yr
[#1, #16, #19, #22] Salaries for minimal on‑call staff: lead research investigator, small security/admin presence, and rotational support for monitoring and research oversight.
Research And Monitoring $100K/yr
[#4, #16] Sustained research program funding (staff time, lab time, animal care and ethics oversight) assumed at lower-end sustained program funding.
Medical Quarantine Monitoring $52K/yr
[#14] Ongoing quarantine/medical monitoring estimate (three months at median monthly quarantine cost as short-term baseline).
Site Personnel Followup $35K/yr
[#22] Periodic re-checks, vetting, re-interviews and follow-up monitoring of site personnel post-incident.
Amnestic Maintenance $28K/yr
[#19] Amnestic stock rotation, training refreshers and secure pharmacy upkeep.
Cover Story And Legal $20K/yr
[#9, #18] Ongoing media monitoring, legal retainer and small yearly costs to maintain cover narratives and local liaisons.
Supplies And Consumables $10K/yr
[#3, #4, #16] Lab consumables, sample kits, PPE and routine consumables for analyses and small experiments.
Logistics And Transport $5K/yr
[#20] Occasional secure couriers/transfers for samples and evidence during follow-up months.
Facilities Maintenance $1K/yr
[#1] Climate-control, environmental monitoring and routine locker inspections for object storage ($1,200/yr monitoring/inspections).
Secure Human Containment Operations $0/yr
[#15] Recurring operation costs for long-term human containment are conditional; zero in baseline (will apply in containment scenario; operating costs estimated $250k–$1M+/yr if activated).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $371K/yr
86.5% probability / year
No major incidents; follow-up monitoring, limited research, and routine upkeep only.
domestic resolution no capture required limited follow-up analysis
🚨 Minor Incident $671K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Limited adverse event such as identification of PoI domestically requiring a focused capture, witness amnestics, and extra forensic follow-ups.
domestic PoI identified limited capture operation witness treatments
🚨 Major International Manhunt $1.8M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$1.4M vs baseline
PoI requires international surveillance and covert capture operations with elevated legal/media costs and travel.
PoI abroad covert international ops heightened legal/diplomatic complexity
🚨 Catastrophic Containment $2.1M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$1.7M vs baseline
PoI exhibits anomalous state requiring immediate conversion to long-term secure human containment (construction + operations).
PoI requires indefinite containment rapid facility retrofit and staff ramp-up sustained medical/support operations
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 1 On-call guard/response and secure-transfer oversight (mapped to ongoing monitoring and potential field responses) [#5, #8].
Research Scientist 1 Lead investigator for translation, forensic interpretation and research program oversight [#2, #4, #16].
Administrative Staff 1 Logistics, liaison, documentation and coordination with legal/cover teams [#9, #18].
📋 Confidence Notes
Cost ranges in source notes are broad and outcomes are highly conditional (domestic vs international PoI capture; whether PoI requires indefinite containment). Many estimates are contractor-dependent and dependent on low-probability but high-cost outcomes, so uncertainty is high.
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