SCP-9032 — SCP-9032 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-9032 Euclid ~ medium confidence

SCP-9032

Expected annual

$250.3M

One-time setup

$79.8M

Annual recurring

$243.5M

Personnel

210

Baseline annual operating cost is approximately $243.5M/yr driven primarily by global suppression/PR, per-case support for affected individuals, government liaison/covert funding, and staffing; one-time capital and contingency reserves total roughly $79.75M.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $79.8M

Litigation Reserve $50.0M

[#6] Large one-time litigation/reserve fund (~$50M) to cover potential settlements and large contingencies.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $12.0M

[#7] Three regional neurocognitive lab setups (fMRI/EEG/PET access or purchase) one-time buildout estimated at ~$12M total.

Equipment $5.5M

[#10, #12, #14] One-time hardware and systems: standardized timekeeping devices ($1.5M), rapid-response vehicles/equipment ($2M), initial secure IT/hardware infrastructure ($2M) — combined $5.5M.

Communications Blackout Toolkit $5.0M

[#23] Development/deployment of advanced takedown/geo-filter/secure-deletion toolkit estimated mid ~$5M one-time.

Clinical Trial Initial Cohort $3.0M

[#8] Initial clinical/longitudinal cohort setup costs (mid-range ~$3M for initial projects).

Facilities $2.0M

[#13] Build/modify small secure short-term holding facility for temporary containment; mid estimate $2M one-time.

Cyber Tooling Development $2.0M

[#4] One-time development and deployment of bespoke forensic/scraping/takedown tooling ~ $2M.

Training And Sop Development $250K

[#17] Initial SOP and curriculum development (~$250k one-time).

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $243.5M/yr

Cover Story And Legal $68.0M/yr

[#3, #18] Global public-information suppression and long-term PR campaigns (monitoring, takedowns, ad buys, counter-narratives) estimated ~$60M/yr plus ongoing PR/cultural management ~$8M/yr = $68M/yr.

Per Case Support $50.0M/yr

[#9, #25] Per-case monitoring/support at $5k/yr scaled to baseline medium prevalence (10,000 cases) => $50M/yr.

Staff Wages $27.0M/yr

[#1, #2] Ongoing salaries: ~200 full-time operational staff at $120k avg = $24M/yr plus 10 senior/executive staff at $300k = $3M/yr; total $27M/yr.

Government Liaison $20.0M/yr

[#5] Staffed liaisons, diplomatic cooperation and discretionary covert funds estimated mid ~$20M/yr.

Contingency Reserve Replenishment $20.0M/yr

[#20] Annual replenishment capability for large insurance/reserve funds estimated ~$20M/yr.

Field Surveillance $10.0M/yr

[#11] Covert trackers, CCTV access, local contractors and data fusion (~$10M/yr).

Covert Payments $10.0M/yr

[#24] Small discretionary operational payments/bribes to secure cooperation (~$10M/yr mid estimate).

Cyber Ops And Infrastructure $8.0M/yr

[#4] Ongoing cyber/OSINT staffing and SOC operations (40 specialists + infra) ~ $8M/yr.

Research And Monitoring $6.5M/yr

[#7, #8, #14] Ongoing research operations and imaging costs (~$3M/yr), ongoing clinical study operations (~$2M/yr), plus IT/operations for imaging/data (~$1.5M/yr) = $6.5M/yr.

Supplies And Consumables $5.0M/yr

[#15] Consumables and participant compensation (~$500/subject/yr scaled to 10,000 subjects = $5M/yr).

Legal Retainer $5.0M/yr

[#6] Annual retainers and routine legal work estimated ~$5M/yr.

Public Cover Mental Health $5.0M/yr

[#16] Public-facing clinics and community programs used as cover and mitigation estimated mid ~$5M/yr.

Logistics And Transport $3.0M/yr

[#19] Travel, sample transport, couriers and related logistics estimated ~$3M/yr.

Public Safety Reimbursements $2.0M/yr

[#22] Reimbursements/grants to local emergency services and first responder training (~$2M/yr).

Rapid Response Maintenance $1.5M/yr

[#12] Annual stationing, maintenance and readiness for rapid response teams (~$1–2M/yr; mid $1.5M/yr).

Facilities Maintenance $750K/yr

[#13] Annual maintenance, utilities, and minimal staffing for short-term holding facility estimated ~$0.75M/yr.

Ethics And Oversight $750K/yr

[#21] Internal oversight, third-party audits, and ethical review panels (~$0.75M/yr).

Device Maintenance And Data Plan $500K/yr

[#10] Ongoing M&S and data plans for standardized devices (~$50/yr/device *10,000 = $0.5M/yr).

Training Programs $500K/yr

[#17] Annual training exercises and updates to SOPs ~$500k/yr.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $243.5M/yr

93.5% probability / year

Normal year with medium prevalence (~10,000 affected), steady suppression and research operations, no major exposures.

no_major_exposures steady_prevalence routine_operations

🚨 Minor Incident $263.5M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline

Localized public exposure or legal challenge requiring elevated takedowns, emergency legal fees, and targeted suppression operations.

localized_public_exposure targeted_legal_action

🚨 Major Breach $543.5M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$300.0M vs baseline

Widespread viral exposure necessitating massive suppression, international emergency operations, large settlements, and rapid reserve deployment.

mass_media_coverage simultaneous_multiple_exposures

🚨 High Prevalence Scale Up $800.0M/yr

0.5% probability / year +$556.5M vs baseline

Prevalence spikes (e.g., 100,000 affected) requiring program scale-up across suppression, research, per-case support and infrastructure.

rapid_prevalence_increase mass_exposures

👥 Personnel 210 total

Role	Count	Notes
Research Scientist	40	[#1] Researchers and scientists supporting imaging and behavioral studies; part of the 200 FTE estimate.
Field Agents / MTF Agent	50	[#1] Covert field operatives and local response teams drawn from the 200 FTE estimate.
Data Scientist / Analyst	30	[#1] Analysts for surveillance data, OSINT triage (excluding separate dedicated cyber specialists in #4).
Legal & PR Staff	20	[#1, #2] Legal and public-affairs personnel included within the operational staff and senior oversight counts.
Medical Officer / Clinical Staff	20	[#1] Clinical psychologists and neurologists supporting participant care and studies.
Administrative Staff	15	[#1] Administrative, HR, and program support as part of the operational staff.
IT Support (non-cyber)	10	[#1] General IT and helpdesk support included in the 200 FTE figure (dedicated cyber specialists are budgeted separately in #4).
Case Managers / Field Coordinators	15	[#1, #9] Case management staff responsible for per-case monitoring and logistics.
Executive / Program Managers	10	[#2] Senior management and program oversight (explicitly budgeted as 10 senior staff).

📋 Confidence Notes

Notes provide detailed item estimates for most categories (staffing, suppression, per-case support), but uncertainty remains in prevalence, probability of breaches, and discretionary covert spending; hence medium confidence.

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