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SCP-9046 Alive ~ medium confidence
SCP-9046
Expected annual
$5.3M
One-time setup
$1.2M
Annual recurring
$5.3M
Personnel
25
Initial one-time setup mainly driven by containment construction, decon suite and research/lab equipment (~$1.21M). Recurring annual costs are dominated by personnel and the estimated opportunity cost of reassigned staff, leading to a typical annual budget of about $5.25M.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.2M
Emergency Response Fund $500K
[#18] Containment escalation & emergency response reserve (one-time/reserve): chosen midpoint within $250k–$2M.
Facilities $350K
[#1, #11] Containment chamber construction/retrofit (~$75k–$400k) and one-time decon suite build (~$50k–$250k) combined; midpoint estimate used.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $220K
[#5, #14] One-time diagnostic baseline workup (~$5k–$50k) and baseline research lab equipment (~$50k–$500k) aggregated.
Equipment $140K
[#3, #7, #13, #21] Habitat furnishings and enrichment setup one-time (~$5k–$50k), cameras/sensors and monitoring hardware (~$5k–$40k), internal monitoring/censorship initial IT setup (~$25k–$150k), and secure server/archival hardware (~$25k–$150k) combined.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.3M/yr
Opportunity Cost Estimate $2.7M/yr
[#16] Shadow cost from reassigned FTEs (estimated 15–30 FTEs diverted at ~$120k loaded each → $1.8M–$3.6M/yr); midpoint used as recurring operational impact.
Staff Wages $1.6M/yr
[#6, #7, #8, #9, #10] Salaries/loaded costs for caretakers (4 FTE), observation/monitoring staff (8 FTE), reporting/documentation staff (4 FTE), review/decontamination-review team (3 FTE), and assigned security/guards (6 FTE).
Administrative Overhead $150K/yr
[#24] Allocation of Site overhead (management, additional utilities, central admin) attributable to SCP-9046 program (~$50k–$300k/yr).
Research And Monitoring $120K/yr
[#14] Recurring consumables for aliveness studies (reagents, disposables, metabolic monitoring) (~$20k–$150k/yr); excludes one-time equipment above.
Veterinary Medical Care $120K/yr
[#5] Routine veterinary/medical care and supplies (~$60k–$200k/yr) for the contained alive entity.
Memetic And Amnestics $100K/yr
[#12] Memetic/psychological countermeasures and amnestic administration program maintenance and occasional administrations (~$50k–$300k/yr baseline).
Medical Staff Care $80K/yr
[#15] Counseling, psychiatric services, and staff medical support for burnout/compulsion management (~$30k–$200k/yr).
Legal And Hr Overhead $75K/yr
[#17] Legal, disciplinary, and HR overhead for forced reassignments, disputes, and retainer costs (~$25k–$200k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $68K/yr
[#3, #4, #11, #19] Recurring replacement of enrichment/substrates (~$1k–$10k/yr), food & potable water provisioning (~$6k–$30k/yr), decontamination consumables/waste disposal (~$10k–$60k/yr), and biohazard/waste handling contracts (~$5k–$40k/yr) aggregated.
Cover Story And Legal $50K/yr
[#20] Communications, limited cover operations, small PR/cover budgets and falsified records (~$10k–$150k/yr).
Insurance Indemnity $50K/yr
[#23] Contingency for external liability/indemnity (~$25k–$250k/yr); low-mid estimate used.
It And Censorship Maintenance $40K/yr
[#13] Recurring sysadmin/hosting and censorship/infrastructure maintenance (~$20k–$100k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $25K/yr
[#2] Utilities and routine facility maintenance for the containment area (~$6k–$45k/yr).
Secure Data Storage $25K/yr
[#7, #21] Recurring storage costs for continuous observation video, analytics, and classified archives (~$5k–$30k/yr for video; $10k–$50k/yr for archival).
Logistics And Transport $20K/yr
[#22] Annual transport, secure couriering of samples, and resupply runs (~$5k–$40k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.3M/yr
87.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine containment, staffing, research, and countermeasure use only.
steady_operations routine_observation scheduled_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $5.5M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized containment incident or limited staff compromise requiring extra decontamination, overtime, temporary repairs, and increased memetic/amnestic use.
local_containment_breach isolated_staff_compromise increased_decontamination
🚨 Major Breach $7.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or widespread staff compromise requiring emergency response fund drawdown, facility upgrades, large overtime, and external containment support.
entity_escape widespread_staff_compromise structural_containment_failure
🚨 Political Exposure $8.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
External exposure or contractor leak requiring major PR/cover operations, legal indemnity, potential settlements, and extensive replacement hiring.
external_leak media_exposure contractor_compromise
👥 Personnel 25 total
Role Count Notes
Caretakers 4 [#6] Full-time caretaking staff responsible for feeding, cleaning, enrichment and handling.
Observation Staff / Research Assistants 8 [#7] Continuous observation shifts, video review, and monitoring.
Reporting & Documentation Staff 4 [#8] Authoring reports and maintaining logs on SCP-9046's alive qualities.
Review Team (Psych/Ops) 3 [#9] Reviewing reports for signs of compromise and initiating decontamination.
Security Officer / Guards 6 [#10] On-site personnel security and enforcement of access/control and compliance.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are assembled from analyst-provided ranges and midpoint choices; staffing and opportunity-cost assumptions drive the largest uncertainty. The SCP's policy-driven containment procedures create broad plausible ranges, so confidence is medium rather than high.
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