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SCP-9078 Keter ~ medium confidence
Roadside Attraction
Expected annual
$17.2M
One-time setup
$17.7M
Annual recurring
$16.8M
Personnel
63
One-time national program capital of approximately $17.7M (mostly sensors, vehicles, equipment and a recommended program reserve). Recurring annual run-rate ~ $16.8M driven primarily by staff wages, R&D/testing, forensic/digital ops, logistics (vehicle/drone ops and crash cleanup), and legal/cover costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $17.7M
Equipment $9.0M
[#1, #2, #3, #4, #13, #15, #16, #17, #21] Camera installations for ~50 sites (~$750k total, #1), short-range radar/LiDAR at sites (~$1.25M total, #2), purchase of rapid-response fleet for 5 regions (~$1.75M, #3), night-capable drones (~$800k, #4), variable message signs and HUD pilot (~$2.5M, #13), instrumented vehicles (~$1.5M, #15), responder PPE kits (~$240k, #16), satellite terminals (~$75k, #17), secure database hardware/install (~$150k, #21).
Program Reserve $5.0M
[#25] Program-level contingency / reserve fund (recommended minimum for national program; one-time seed ~$5M).
Facilities $3.1M
[#8, #11, #12] One-time secure temporary storage / evidence build-out (~$150k, #8), public infrastructure mitigation and guardrail/rumble/reflective improvements at hotspots (~$1.5M, #11), targeted lighting capital for bends (~$1.5M, #12).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $500K
[#14, #15] Initial research/lab buildout and instrumentation to support R&D and test campaigns (lab space, instrumentation, telemetry racks) (~$500k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $16.8M/yr
Research And Monitoring $5.2M/yr
[#14, #15, #22] R&D into countermeasures and detection (mid-scale program ~$3,000,000/yr, #14), controlled crash-test and instrumented-vehicle testing campaigns (~$2,000,000/yr operational spend, #15), ongoing training and psychosocial support (~$250k/yr, #22).
Staff Wages $4.0M/yr
[#5, #7] Response teams personnel wages: ~15 full-time teams (3 shifts x 5 regions) at ~$250k/team → $3,750,000/yr, plus dedicated forensic technician salaries (~3 FTE @ $90k → $270,000/yr) for device handling and imaging (#5, #7).
Logistics And Transport $2.5M/yr
[#3, #4, #9, #24] Rapid-response vehicle ops (fuel/maintenance/depreciation for 5 regions ~$500k/yr, #3), drone operations/repairs and flight-hours (~$450k/yr, #4), crash-scene cleanup/towing and road repair averaged (~$1.2M/yr, #9), standing surge capability maintenance (~$300k/yr, #24).
Cover Story And Legal $2.1M/yr
[#10, #18, #19, #20, #23] Fatality handling and cover logistics (~$400k/yr assuming multiple managed fatalities, #10), legal/diplomatic/local authority liaison (~$500k/yr, #18), covert compensation & witness relocation (~$500k/yr, #19), digital media manipulation staffing/servers (~$500k/yr, #20), insurance/shell maintenance (~$200k/yr, #23).
Supplies And Consumables $890K/yr
[#6, #16] Class-A amnestic procurement and administration (assumed ~400 doses/yr × avg $2,000/dose → $800k/yr, #6) and responder consumable replenishment (~$90k/yr for swabs, med devices, kit replenishment, #16).
Forensic Processing $800K/yr
[#7] Per-incident digital evidence confiscation & per-device processing (assumed ~$800k/yr operational processing cost; device-level imaging/doctoring; separate from forensic FTE salaries accounted in staff_wages, #7).
Facilities Maintenance $745K/yr
[#1, #2, #8, #12, #17, #21] Camera comms & maintenance for ~50 sites (~$100k/yr, #1), radar/LiDAR maintenance & calibration (~$175k/yr, #2), secure hosting/access control for storage (~$50k/yr, #8), lighting power & maintenance (~$100k/yr, #12), satellite bandwidth/backhaul (~$120k/yr, #17), recurring ops/audits for secure systems (~$100k/yr, #21), plus miscellaneous site maintenance (~$100k/yr).
Reserve Replenishment $500K/yr
[#25] Ongoing replenishment for program contingency/reserve to maintain readiness and scale-up capability (~$500k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $16.8M/yr
69.0% probability / year
Normal year with regular operations, sensor maintenance, R&D, routine incidents handled through standing resources.
routine_manifestations standard incident response scheduled R&D and maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $17.2M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
One or several isolated manifestation events that require targeted surge response, multiple amnestic administrations, forensic processing and limited infrastructure repairs.
single multi-vehicle crash multiple witness amnestic administrations expanded forensic/digital processing
🚨 Major Breach $19.8M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Multi-vehicle pileup or cluster of synchronized manifestations requiring mass amnestic response, major forensic and legal work, and medium-term infrastructure repairs.
mass-casualty roadside event significant public records exposure major infrastructure damage
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $36.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Large-scale spike in manifestations or public exposure requiring program reserve activation, rapid procurement/scale-up of detection and response assets, and high-level legal/diplomatic interventions.
nationwide manifestation spike major public exposure / media cascade need for rapid nationwide scale-up
👥 Personnel 63 total
Role Count Notes
Detective / Field Researcher 15 [#5] One detective/field researcher assigned per full-time response team; 15 teams (3 shifts × 5 regions) accounted in staff_wages.
Medical Officer / Paramedic 15 [#5] One medic per full-time response team; included in the ~$250k/team wage estimate.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 30 [#5] Two guards per full-time response team; included in team wage totals.
Forensic Technician 3 [#7] Dedicated forensic technicians for device imaging and evidence processing; salaries accounted in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, but many program-scale assumptions (number of hotspots, regions, teams, incident rates) required program-level aggregation and averaging; this yields moderate confidence in the totals.
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