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SCP-9100 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-9100
Expected annual
$2.6M
One-time setup
$1.2M
Annual recurring
$2.5M
Personnel
13
One-time startup costs of approximately $1.18M (facility refits, vehicles, initial imaging/labs, PR launch, environmental sampling) and recurring annual operating costs around $2.54M driven mainly by personnel wages, clinical services, monitoring/IT, crisis response, and legal/cover-story maintenance. Major escalation (secure relocation of PoI) would add multi-million-dollar annual costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.2M
Research Contingency $350K
[#25] One-time reserve for unforeseen research costs/expanded studies (recommended multi-year research reserve).
Insurance Reserve $300K
[#23] One-time insurance/indemnity reserve to create an initial fund for accidental disclosures or claims (midpoint of recommended reserve).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $187K
[#5, #6] Initial clinical imaging/tests for 28 PoI (MRI/EEG/PET/neuropsych) and initial laboratory analyses/toxicology/genetics panels.
Equipment $110K
[#12, #13, #14] Vehicles and hardware (two unmarked vehicles #12), initial IT/hardware and secure comms equipment (#13), plus recording/storage and biofreezer portion of interview setup (#14).
Environmental Forensic Sampling $100K
[#7] Field sampling and lab analysis for crash sites, homes, and environment (GC-MS, mass spec, contractor work).
Facilities $60K
[#14] Room refit / structural work for soundproof interview rooms and any physical modifications at Site-86 (room refit portion of #14).
Cover Story Propagation $30K
[#9] Initial covert PR/cover-story campaign, creation of materials and initial paid placements.
Family Compensation $28K
[#11] Initial compensation/reimbursements/incentives for PoI families to secure cooperation (initial payments).
Public Records Privacy $15K
[#22] One-time public records/redaction/identity-management work required at startup where necessary.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.5M/yr
Staff Wages $1.6M/yr
[#1, #2, #3] Core research team salaries + benefits (project lead, senior, junior, statistician, parapsych/behavioral specialist) and field operatives and full-time clinicians (2 clinical psychologists, 2 LCSWs, part-time psychiatrist counted as staff cost).
Research And Monitoring $373K/yr
[#5, #6, #8, #13, #17, #18, #19] Recurring follow-up imaging/tests (#5), ongoing lab/omics follow-ups (#6), social media/news monitoring subscriptions (#8), secure data/storage and IT subscriptions (#13), data management/statistics/transcription (#17), ongoing compliance/IRB oversight (#18), and long-term PoI monitoring program baseline (#19) contributions.
Suicide Crisis Response $195K/yr
[#4] 24/7 hotline staffing/dispatch, rapid-response coordination, expected acute hospitalizations contingency and safety devices (midpoint of $170k–$220k).
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#9, #10, #11, #16] Ongoing covert PR/cover-story maintenance (#9), legal counsel/local liaison retainer and contingency (#10), ongoing family reimbursements/incentives (#11), and refresher training for assisted-living staff (#16).
Containment Relocation Contingency $100K/yr
[#20] Annual contingency reserve toward potential relocation to secure care; full relocation operation costs modeled in scenarios (budgeted reserve, not full relocation cost).
Specialist Consultants $100K/yr
[#21] Budget for contracted specialists (neurologists, geriatric psychiatrists, forensic psychologists) per year (mid-range).
Personnel Support $15K/yr
[#24] Psychological support and monitoring for staff and operatives (employee assistance program, counseling).
Logistics And Transport $12K/yr
[#12] Annual maintenance, fuel, insurance, and driver costs for vehicles.
Supplies And Consumables $10K/yr
[#15] Annual medical consumables, PPE, sterile collection kits, disinfectants, printed materials.
Public Records Privacy $5K/yr
[#22] Ongoing costs for medical record redaction, clerical work and identity management if needed.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.5M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with monitoring, staffing, follow-up imaging/labs, subscriptions, training and small contingency reserves but no major containment escalation.
routine_monitoring scheduled_follow-ups no_major_breach
🚨 Minor Incident $2.8M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Localized acute events (clustered suicidality or several acute decompensations) requiring emergency hospitalizations, increased hotline usage, legal engagement, and ad-hoc specialist contracts.
localized_suicide_cluster acute_decompensation_of_PoI heightened_public_scrutiny
🚨 Major Containment Escalation $6.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$3.6M vs baseline
Containment escalation requiring relocation/housing of many or all PoI in secure medical/24/7 care with enhanced security and medical staffing.
widespread_decompensation loss_of_offsite_stability policy_decision_to_isolate_PoI
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Project Lead / Principal Researcher 1 [#1] Senior project lead FTE allocated to SCP-9100.
Research Scientist / Senior Researcher 1 [#1] Senior research scientist on core team.
Researcher / Junior Researcher 1 [#1] Junior researcher (Dr. Vo-equivalent) on core team.
Statistician 1 [#1] Dedicated statistician for study design and analysis.
Parapsychology / Behavioral Specialist 1 [#1] Parapsychology/behavioral specialist FTE.
Field Operative / Embedded Liaison 3 [#2] Three field operatives for monitoring assisted living facilities and discreet checks.
Clinical Psychologist 2 [#3] Two clinical psychologists for assessment and therapy.
Licensed Clinical Social Worker 2 [#3] Two LCSWs for social interventions and case management.
Psychiatrist (part-time) 1 [#3] Part-time psychiatrist (counted as one headcount for staffing/fiscal planning).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes are detailed with line-item estimates and ranges; core personnel and monitoring costs are well-defined, giving moderate confidence. Wide ranges on contingency items (relocation, omics expansion, indemnity) and uncertainty about incident frequency lower confidence from high to medium.
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