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SCP-9133 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-9133
Expected annual
$43K
One-time setup
$1.6M
Annual recurring
$41K
Personnel
3
One-time costs are dominated by a historical deep-sea retrieval (~$1.5M); ongoing annual costs are modest (~$41k/yr) driven by research/monitoring, security allocations, and contingency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.6M
Deep Sea Retrieval $1.5M
[#15] Historical deep-ocean retrieval (AUV/ROV, vessel charter, mission specialists) estimate for a single Challenger Deep-style recovery; mid-range chosen from $500k–$3M.
Historical Amnestics And Coverup $50K
[#14] Historical amnesticization/cover-up costs from past civilian encounters (travel, agents, medical supervision); mid-range historical estimate.
Legal Pr One Time $25K
[#17] One-time legal/PR/cover-story actions for historical or large incidents (small-to-moderate campaign).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $24K
[#7, #8] Wet-testing kit (portable tanks, mounts, remote handling, PPE) and imaging/instrumentation (high-speed/underwater cameras, lighting, analysis software) for authorized experiments.
Post Recovery Analysis $18K
[#16] Post-recovery laboratory analysis, assays, imaging and decontamination following a deep-sea retrieval.
Facilities $5K
[#1] Standard Site-46 containment locker purchase and installation (shelving, tamper seals, labeling, minimal modification).
Disposal Decommissioning $5K
[#20] One-time disposal/decommissioning contingency budget if retirement or destruction is ever required.
Training And Sop Creation $2K
[#11] One-time creation and approval of handling procedures and initial staff training (Dr. Joxal approval process).
Transportation Insurance Reserve $2K
[#18] One-time/reserve allocation for insured transport or contingency for high-risk transfers.
Equipment $2K
[#2] Locker environmental/water intrusion sensors, humidity detector and CMS/alarm integration (hardware + integration).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $41K/yr
Research And Monitoring $17K/yr
[#9, #10, #11, #12] Per-experiment operational costs (staff hours, consumables, facility overhead) estimated for a small number of experiments; medical monitoring/occupational health; annual refresher training; records/database maintenance.
Staff Wages $6K/yr
[#3, #4] Routine inspection labor (Level-1 technician monthly checks) and incremental security staffing allocation (2 part-time guard-shifts at fractional FTE cost).
Containment Incident Response Reserve $6K/yr
[#6] Annual emergency fund for accidental water exposure (cleanup, overtime, medical checks); midpoint of $2k–$10k range.
Amnesticization Reserve $5K/yr
[#14] Recurring contingency for occasional amnesticization or civilian-treatment costs (contingent reserve).
Cover Story And Legal $3K/yr
[#17] Ongoing smaller-scale legal/PR / cover-story reserve for minor local incidents (recurring portion).
Facilities Maintenance $3K/yr
[#5, #19] Marginal CCTV/storage/monitoring costs and proportional Site-46 overhead allocation (utilities, administration).
Logistics And Transport $2K/yr
[#13] Small-item secure transfers and chain-of-custody (site courier/armored cart) budget.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $41K/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine inspections, occasional authorized experiments, and no containment or public-exposure incidents.
routine_operations authorized_experiments_only
🚨 Minor Incident $49K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$8K vs baseline
Containment incident involving accidental water exposure or small spill during testing requiring cleanup, overtime, and limited medical checks.
accidental_water_exposure spill_during_experiment sensor_failure
🚨 Major Public Exposure $191K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Civilian discovery or multi-jurisdictional public exposure requiring amnesticization, legal/PR intervention, and extended logistics.
civilian_discovery large_scale_media_coverage multi_jurisdictional_litigation
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#4] Two part-time guards allocated incrementally for access control and escort during experiments (fractional FTE cost included in staff_wages).
Research Technician / Junior Researcher 1 [#3] Level-1 technician performing monthly inspections and small maintenance (0.5 hours/month allocation included in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Detail in analyst notes allows reasonable estimates for routine and experimental costs; large uncertainty remains around rare events (deep-sea recoveries, major legal exposure) so confidence is medium.
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