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SCP-9153 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-9153
Expected annual
$23.4M
One-time setup
$39.0M
Annual recurring
$22.9M
Personnel
20
Initial capital costs are substantial (~$31.6M) driven by facility construction, Scranton Reality Anchor procurement, hardened archival hardware and off-site redundancy; annual operations run in the low tens of millions (~$22.9M/yr) dominated by contingency/reserve allocations, cover-story/legal/disinformation operations, SRA power and MTF readiness.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $39.0M
Equipment $18.8M
[#2, #4, #7, #8, #18, #23, #27] Scranton Reality Anchor procurement & integration, NumSafe RGU-𝕐 units, industrial incinerator purchase & installation, transport vehicles & quarantine containers, environmental/physics sensors purchase, off-site redundancy site setup hardware, initial records-destruction verification hardware.
Facilities $9.5M
[#1] Dedicated containment wing construction/renovation with buffer zones, EMP/Faraday rooms, decontamination, vaults, analog processing lab, and structural shielding.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.4M
[#5, #12, #24] Secure non-digital recording & archiving lab setup (analog film + microfilm), monitoring infrastructure development (initial development costs), and initial tranche of developmental research program funding / lab buildout.
Off Site Redundancy Setup $3.0M
[#23] Establishment of geographically separated backup storage/containment site and air-gapped RGU-𝕐 replica.
Developmental Research Program Initial $2.8M
[#24] Initial programmatic investment for R&D into math-erosion mitigation and measurement (multi-year program capital/tranche).
Transport Containers And Vehicles Capital $840K
[#8] (Included above in equipment total; listed separately for traceability) Two specialized vehicles and multiple shielded/tamper-evident containers.
Incinerator Capital $375K
[#7] (Included above in equipment total; listed separately for traceability) Industrial incinerator purchase & installation.
Monitoring Infrastructure Development $350K
[#12] Development costs for automated publication/conference monitoring, ML triage and dashboard (one-time development).
Records Destruction Verification Initial $88K
[#27] Initial purchase of analogue secure cameras, tamper-evident seals and chain-of-custody hardware.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $22.9M/yr
Contingency Physical Law Reserve $10.0M/yr
[#28] Dedicated annual allocation toward a large-scale contingency reserve for significant Hume reductions or localized physical-law alteration (recommended minimum reserve).
Cover Story And Legal $3.6M/yr
[#14, #15, #20, #25, #26] Disinformation and cover-up budgets, legal/government liaison and compliance costs, insurance/liability/hush funds, academic engagement funds used for plausible counter-research, and PR/web takedown capabilities.
Facilities Maintenance $2.1M/yr
[#3, #18, #23, #27, #30] SRA power/backups & fuel/UPS/generator costs, facility & shielding maintenance, off-site site operations, records-destruction system upkeep, and general utilities/HVAC/secure communications overhead.
Mtf Operational Costs $2.0M/yr
[#9] Mobile Task Force Psi-18 salaries, training, readiness, travel and mission logistics (recurring operational budget).
Staff Wages $1.8M/yr
[#10, #11, #13] On-site containment/security staff salaries, dedicated research staff salaries (including reviewer FTEs if not already covered).
Emergency Response Reserve $1.0M/yr
[#16] Annual reserve/replenishment fund for rapid containment, cleanup, forensic analysis and temporary measures per incident (kept to recommended minimum contingency levels).
Research And Monitoring $660K/yr
[#12, #18, #24] Ongoing hosting & maintenance for monitoring infrastructure, calibration & maintenance of environmental/physics sensors, and recurring R&D program operating costs.
Replacement Institutional Knowledge $550K/yr
[#29] Funds to rebuild lost institutional knowledge, re-hiring, retraining and document replacement after major incidents (amortized/expected annual exposure).
Replacement Decontamination Post Incident $525K/yr
[#17] Expected per-year average for replacing/decontaminating electronics and affected hardware after incidents (per-incident range amortized into annual figure).
Audit And Protocol Development $188K/yr
[#21] Annual costs for audits, oversight, protocol updates, tabletop exercises and compliance documentation.
Medical Surveillance $175K/yr
[#19] Ongoing medical screening, hazard pay, mental-health services and post-exposure treatment funds for exposed personnel.
Training And Drills $125K/yr
[#22] Recurring training, scenario drills and external trainer costs for researchers, operators and security.
Logistics And Transport $50K/yr
[#8] Ongoing vehicle maintenance, specialized container maintenance and climate control servicing.
Supplies And Consumables $30K/yr
[#6] Consumables for analog work (film, developer chemicals, burnable surfaces, archival materials).
Incinerator Operation $15K/yr
[#7] Annual operating/permitting costs for industrial incinerator or hazardous-waste processing.
Records Destruction Recurring $15K/yr
[#27] Annual costs for chain-of-custody logging, analogue verification consumables and audits.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $22.9M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents: routine operations, monitoring, disinformation and maintenance only.
routine_operations no_instance_activation standard_monitoring_and_drills
🚨 Minor Incident $24.4M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Localized SCP-9153-α activation causing limited math-erosion and equipment damage requiring targeted remediation.
localized_math_erosion single_instance_activation limited_hardware_damage
🚨 Major Breach $37.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Widespread activation with significant Hume reductions, structural/physical-law impacts, heavy remediation, large public-exposure risk and major reconstruction.
widespread_hume_reductions structural_damage public_exposure_and_legal_action
👥 Personnel 20 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 5 [#11, #13] Two PI-level researchers plus three postdocs/analysts; includes reviewer FTEs where not otherwise counted.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#10] On-site 24/7 guards and supervisors (estimate mid-range of 8–20). MTF operational team costs are budgeted separately as an operational cost.
Administrative Staff 2 [#30] Site administrative and access-control support included in staff wages estimate.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#10, #11] Senior site/department oversight role included in staff wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of wide published ranges in analyst notes; many line items (SRAs, contingency for physics-alteration, emergency reserves) have high uncertainty and scenario-dependent tail risk, so totals are indicative rather than precise.
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