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SCP-9172 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-9172
Expected annual
$5.9M
One-time setup
$3.6M
Annual recurring
$5.8M
Personnel
37
Estimated one-time capital/setup costs are approximately $3.59M driven by facility purchase, renovations and contingency reserves. Annual recurring costs are approximately $5.76M driven primarily by staff wages, long-term rehabilitation per child, and legal/contingency/insurance needs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.6M
Facilities $1.2M
[#1, #2, #3] Purchase of Westwood Grove property and conversion/renovation/perimeter hardening (purchase $800k + renovations $300k + perimeter $75k).
Incident Reserve Establishment $1.0M
[#25] Establishment of reserved rapid-response / legal / relocation fund (recommended reserve sized within provided range).
Equipment $481K
[#4, #5, #6, #7, #8, #9, #10, #23, #26, #27, #29] Installation of access control, CCTV & storage hardware, generator & UPS, HVAC, commercial kitchen, laundry equipment, medical build-out, vehicles, onsite servers, IT security setup and handling equipment.
Family Stipends One Time $450K
[#22] One-time or front-loaded compensation to families (mid-range for 30 families).
Records Suppression One Time $250K
[#21] One-time records suppression / local cooperation contingency (initial sizing within stated range).
Legal Ndas One Time $180K
[#21] Initial drafting/enforcement and fee-per-family NDAs for 30 families (mid-range estimate).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $30K
[#34] Portable EEG / initial research instrumentation and lab-startup specific to study protocols.
Training Initial $16K
[#18] Initial crisis de-escalation, pediatric first aid, containment drills for initial cohort.
Cover Creation One Time $6K
[#28] One-time creation of false-front materials and cover documentation.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.8M/yr
Staff Wages $2.3M/yr
[#12, #13, #14, #15, #16, #17] Annual salaries for caregivers/teachers, armed rotating faculty security, clinicians/psychiatrists, nursing/on-call physician contracts, research/containment specialists, and surveillance operators.
Long Term Rehabilitation $1.8M/yr
[#30] Ongoing intensive multi-year rehabilitation and aftercare for cohort (30 children at $20k–$100k/child range; mid-range chosen).
Cover Story And Legal $270K/yr
[#21, #28, #22] Ongoing legal maintenance/NDAs, PR/false-front upkeep, and recurring family stipend payments or structured compensation.
Incident Contingency Replenishment $250K/yr
[#25] Annual replenishment target for rapid-response / legal contingency funds as they are drawn.
Insurance Indemnity $175K/yr
[#31] Specialty liability / covert-operations insurance and indemnity budgeting.
Facilities Maintenance $171K/yr
[#1, #4, #6, #7, #32] Lease option/maintenance, access-control maintenance, generator fuel/maintenance, HVAC energy uplift, routine building maintenance/utilities portion.
Research And Monitoring $155K/yr
[#34, #33] Specialized testing/imaging budget and periodic external audits/ethics oversight for research and containment monitoring.
Staff Attrition $150K/yr
[#35] Recruiting, background checks, temp staffing and onboarding to cover expected turnover.
Supplies And Consumables $128K/yr
[#8, #9, #10, #11, #19] Food program, laundry supplies & utilities, medical consumables, pediatric medications & controlled-stock restocking, diapers/hygiene/PPE consumables.
Education And Rehabilitation $125K/yr
[#20] Curriculum, contracted special education/OT/rehab programming and therapeutic activities.
Hospital Contracts $80K/yr
[#24] Retainer and anticipated per-use budget for discreet hospital/ imaging/ER contracts.
It Managed Security $72K/yr
[#27] Managed cyber-security services, VPNs, monitoring and OPSEC to prevent leaks.
Data Backup $36K/yr
[#26] Ongoing cloud backup, encrypted storage handling and data maintenance for research/legal retention.
Logistics And Transport $24K/yr
[#23] Fuel and maintenance for transport vans and patrol vehicles (recurring operating costs).
Cctv Storage $12K/yr
[#5] Cloud storage/retention for CCTV (monthly cloud costs aggregated annually).
Training Refreshers $12K/yr
[#18] Annual refresher training and certifications for staff.
Handling Equipment Maintenance $5K/yr
[#29] Cleaning, replacement and maintenance of restraint chairs, soft restraints and padded-room fixtures.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.8M/yr
80.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; ongoing operations, staffing, rehabilitation and routine legal/PR activity only.
steady operations no containment breach routine medical/therapy
🚨 Minor Incident $6.0M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized incident requiring emergency medical response, overtime staffing, minor repairs and modest legal/PR action.
injury during nap/diaper change single-child aggressive episode localized property damage
🚨 Major Breach $7.3M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or multi-child escape requiring large recovery operations, hospitalizations, legal settlements and temporary relocation.
multi-child egress extended law-enforcement recovery serious injuries/hospitalization
🚨 Political Exposure $8.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Public exposure or investigative journalism leads to major legal/PR campaign, large settlements, records-suppression operations and potential relocation of program.
media leak local government inquiry parental litigation
👥 Personnel 37 total
Role Count Notes
Caregiver / Teacher 10 [#12] Residential caregivers and teaching staff to maintain 24/7 supervision at elevated staff-to-child ratios.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 10 [#13] Armed rotating faculty for perimeter patrols and response (3 shifts + relief).
Clinical Therapist / BCBA 3 [#14] Child psychologists and behavioral analysts providing therapy and behavior plans.
Child Psychiatrist 1 [#14] 0.5–1 FTE psychiatry coverage (modeled as 1 FTE in headcount for staffing).
Nurse / Medical 2 [#15] Full-time pediatric nurse(s); on-call physician is contracted separately.
Researcher / Containment Specialist 3 [#16] Researchers, data analysts and case managers studying the anomaly and designing interventions.
Surveillance Operator 8 [#17] 24/7 CCTV and alarm monitoring operators across shifts.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are constructed from wide ranges in source notes and numerous scenario-dependent items (e.g., family stipends, legal suppression, rehab intensity). SCP unpredictability, potential for atypical incidents, and many optional/alternative cost paths reduce confidence.
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