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SCP-9192 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-9192
Expected annual
$155.1M
One-time setup
$13.1B
Annual recurring
$104.2M
Personnel
100
One-time capital expenditures are dominated by construction of a sanitation-ship fleet and planetary contingency funds (multi-billion USD). Recurring annual costs (~$104.2M/yr) are driven by continuous monitoring, research, ship operations, staffing, and legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $13.1B
Sanitation Ship Fleet $8.0B
[#2] Design and capital build of a fleet of interplanetary sanitation/sterilization ships (estimated 4 vessels at ~$2B each; range provided in notes).
Planetary Scale Contingency $5.0B
[#25] One-time set-aside for extreme planetary-scale remediation or denial-of-access operations; purposefully large and highly uncertain.
Facilities $40.0M
[#8] Construction of hardened, prion-safe secure containment facilities and associated site infrastructure (redundant power, air handling, security).
Contingency Reserve One Time $20.0M
[#20] Initial contingency/reserve fund allocation for unexpected escalations, asset replacement, or litigation.
Equipment $12.7M
[#4, #5, #16] High-temperature incinerators/plasma systems, autoclaves and chemical decon hardware, and sealed transport containers purchased as capital equipment.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $5.0M
[#9] Startup costs for forensic/diagnostic/prion research lab buildout (instruments, animal models, initial staffing and validation).
Wastewater Treatment Upgrades One Time $5.0M
[#17] One-time retrofits and upgrades to municipal wastewater/medical-waste facilities to reduce prion transmission vectors.
Redundant Backups Creation $5.0M
[#21] Creation of geographically separated secure backups for samples, data archives, and cold stores/off-world vault preparation.
Mobile Quarantine Compound $1.0M
[#7] Purchase/assembly of deployable quarantine field compounds (tents/containers with negative pressure and decon airlocks).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $104.2M/yr
Logistics And Transport $50.0M/yr
[#3, #16, #27] Annual operational budget to support sanitation-ship missions (fuel, propellant, mission planning), secure transport escorts, vehicle fleets, travel, and deployed staff housing for routine/emergent missions.
Research And Monitoring $24.0M/yr
[#1, #9, #13, #18, #22] Continuous web-crawlers/AI monitoring, forensic and diagnostic research annual burn, audio/AV remediation development, epidemiological surveillance, and ongoing R&D into therapeutics and AVBD13 decoding.
Staff Wages $12.0M/yr
[#10] Salaries, benefits, and hazard pay for standing cadre of infectious disease physicians, pathologists, epidemiologists, decon crews, pilots, engineers, lab techs, and guards.
Facilities Maintenance $4.0M/yr
[#4, #7, #8, #21, #17] Ongoing facility operations and maintenance for containment vaults, decon compounds, incinerator upkeep, backup site maintenance, and wastewater monitoring.
Cover Story And Legal $3.5M/yr
[#12, #14, #20] Public information management, ongoing legal retainers, influence operations, and baseline budget for diplomatic/settlement actions.
Mass Decontamination Per Incident $2.0M/yr
[#15] Annualized fund to support localized mass-decontamination and infrastructure remediation when incidents occur (soil/HVAC/sewage remediation or demolition).
Surge Capacity Per Incident $2.0M/yr
[#23] Annualized reserve for contracting cleanup firms, military engineers, and surge labor pools during large incidents.
Legal Diplomatic Reserve $1.0M/yr
[#14] Annualized reserve to cover intermittent legal/diplomatic costs and indemnities arising from containment operations (per-incident costs smoothed over years).
Info Security $1.0M/yr
[#26] Information-security, counterintelligence, insider-threat mitigation, and secure communications for personnel and sensitive operations.
Miscellaneous Logistics $1.0M/yr
[#27] Vehicles, charter flights, temporary housing, food, and routine consumables for deployments.
Energy And Utilities $1.0M/yr
[#24] Ongoing electricity/fuel for continuous autoclaving, incineration, and facility power needs (shipboard fuel excluded here).
Supplies And Consumables $800K/yr
[#5, #6] PPE replacement (prion-rated suits, respirators), autoclave chemicals and consumables, and other single-use containment materials.
Incinerator Maintenance $500K/yr
[#4] Specialized maintenance, ventilation/filter replacement, and certification of high-temperature incineration/plasma systems.
Specialized Training Programs $500K/yr
[#11] Regular prion-handling training, PPE don/doff supervision, simulation drills, and certification travel and facilities.
Secure Transport Operations $300K/yr
[#16] Routine costs for secure sealed-container transports, escorts, and hazardous freight handling averaged annually.
Psychological Support $300K/yr
[#19] Counseling, trauma therapy, and psychiatric care budgets for exposed staff and witnesses.
Wastewater Monitoring $200K/yr
[#17] Ongoing monitoring and periodic localized neutralization to prevent prion spread via waste streams.
Autoclave Consumables $100K/yr
[#5] Chemical purchases (NaOH), corrosion-resistant replacement parts, validation consumables for prion-grade autoclaves and mobile decon vans.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $104.2M/yr
98.0% probability / year
Routine year with no major incidents; ongoing monitoring, research, staffing, and maintenance only.
no_confirmed_outbreaks routine_monitoring_and_research
🚨 Minor Incident $164.2M/yr
1.5% probability / year +$60.0M vs baseline
Localized outbreak requiring deployment of sanitation ship(s), targeted mass decontamination, surge crews, and legal/cover actions.
localized_outbreak_detected AVBD13-triggered_case_or_consumption_transmission
🚨 Major Planetary Outbreak $10.1B/yr
0.5% probability / year +$10.0B vs baseline
Planet-scale outbreak requiring multiple large-scale sterilization operations, extensive remediation, and political/diplomatic interventions.
uncontrolled_planetary_spread multiple_AVBD13_activations_or_widespread_consumption
👥 Personnel 100 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 20 [#9, #22] Prion researchers, AVBD13 decoding, animal model and assay teams for ongoing R&D and detection.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 30 [#8, #26, #21] Armed containment, site security, insider-threat mitigation, and escort duties for transports and backups.
Decon Crew / Technician 20 [#3, #6, #23] Field decontamination teams, PPE operators, and contracted surge personnel for sterilization missions.
Pilot / Aerospace 10 [#2, #3] Pilots and shipboard crew to operate sanitation/sterilization vessels and mission air/space operations.
Engineer / Maintenance 10 [#4, #5, #24] Engineers to maintain incinerators/plasma systems, autoclaves, ship systems, and facility utilities.
Medical Officer 5 [#10, #19] Infectious disease physicians, pathologists, and mental-health liaisons for exposed staff and casualties.
Administrative Staff 5 [#12, #20, #27] Administrative, legal liaison, operations planning, and logistics coordination for deployments and cover operations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates derived from analyst ranges in notes; large drivers (ship fleet, planetary contingency, and R&D) have wide uncertainty, so confidence is medium rather than high.
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