SCP-9217 — SCP-9217 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-9217 Unknown ~ medium confidence

SCP-9217

Expected annual

$20.1M

One-time setup

$47.5M

Annual recurring

$19.6M

Personnel

Initial capital/setup costs are dominated by vessel acquisition/retrofit and a recommended contingency reserve (total one-time ≈ $47.45M); steady-state annual operations are driven by vessel operations, specialized staff, and replacement/contingency provisioning (≈ $19.645M/yr).

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $47.5M

Vessel Acquisition $20.0M

[#1] Purchase/retrofit of two mid-sized oceanographic/research vessels (SCPS Morningtide & SCPS Eventide) — hull purchase/retrofit, labs, berthing, hardening.

Contingency Reserve Initial $15.0M

[#21] Recommended initial rapid-response contingency/reserve fund for major breach or catastrophic response.

Bio Lab Onshore $3.0M

[#14] Onshore BSL-3 build/fit for comprehensive biological analysis.

Drone Fleet $2.5M

[#4] Mixed aerial and surface drone fleet procurement (UAVs, quadcopters, ASVs/AUVs).

Rhibs Purchase $1.2M

[#3] Purchase of 4 RHIBs and associated trailers/storage.

Legal Cover Setup $1.0M

[#10] One-time legal/cover-story setup: contracts, shell companies, initial PR/legal work for UXO narrative.

Sensor Network $800K

[#5] Deployment of sonar arrays, hydrophones, buoys, cameras, AIS spoofers, comm relays.

Facilities $750K

[#6] Mainland shore support facility lease/fit-out (secure operations center, secure networking).

Bio Lab Onship $625K

[#14] On-ship BSL-2 lab fit-out for basic assays and short-term analysis.

Weapons Procurement $450K

[#13] Initial procurement of lethal/non-lethal termination and specialized weapons/equipment.

Security Training $300K

[#8] Initial specialized training for maritime security and response teams.

Experiment Initial $300K

[#15] Initial experimental enclosures, agricultural/biological trial equipment and stock.

Comms Hardware $300K

[#17] Secure satellite uplinks, encrypted radios, VHF/HF hardware.

Incinerator Purchase $250K

[#12] Mobile field incinerator(s) for termination and biohazard handling.

Energy Setup $225K

[#16] Solar arrays, battery banks, generator installs for buoys and temporary infrastructure.

Data Hardware $225K

[#18] Servers and secure archive hardware for initial deployment.

No Sedative Training $150K

[#19] Curriculum development and initial training for awake-handling / no-sedative protocols.

Environmental Studies Initial $150K

[#26] Initial environmental impact studies and permitting-related one-time assessments.

Archival Infra $125K

[#24] Secure physical and digital archiving hardware/setup.

Med Training $100K

[#9] Initial non-sedative medical procedure training for medics.

Equipment $0

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Initial Research And Lab Setup $0

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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $19.6M/yr

Logistics And Transport $6.0M/yr

[#2] Annual vessel operating costs (crewing, fuel, maintenance, docking) for SCPS Morningtide & SCPS Eventide.

Staff Wages $4.8M/yr

[#7, #8, #9, #18] Salaries for research scientists, security specialists, medics, and data analysts (includes overtime/hazard pay premiums).

Contingency Replenishment $1.5M/yr

[#21] Annual replenishment/insurance premium to maintain contingency reserve for large events.

Replacement Reserve $800K/yr

[#22] Annual amortized reserve for vessel and major equipment replacement cycles.

Research And Monitoring $700K/yr

[#18, #20] Program costs for long-term ecological monitoring, eDNA programs, and monitoring campaigns (excludes staff wages).

Cover Story And Legal $500K/yr

[#10] Ongoing liaison, PR, legal fees to maintain UXO cover story and liaison with Norwegian authorities.

Bio Lab Running $500K/yr

[#14] Running costs and maintenance for on-ship and onshore biosecurity labs (BSL-2/3).

Data Staff Cloud $500K/yr

[#18] Cloud costs, storage, and non-staff data processing expenses.

Maritime Diversion $500K/yr

[#11] Annual costs for traffic diversion operations, buoys/warnings, coordination and compensation pool.

Medevac Retainer $450K/yr

[#9] Contracted helicopter medevac/ambulance standby retainer for daytime evacuations (no-sedative constraint).

Facilities Maintenance $400K/yr

[#6] Lease, utilities, routine facility upkeep for mainland operations center.

Rhibs Maintenance $400K/yr

[#3] Maintenance, fuel, and crew costs for RHIB rapid-response boats.

Personnel Rotation $400K/yr

[#25] Travel, lodging, and allowances for rotating day-only crews and shore leave logistics.

Communications Bandwidth $350K/yr

[#17] Satellite bandwidth, encrypted comms service and maintenance for continuous telemetry/video.

Miscellaneous Consumables $300K/yr

[#28] PPE, lab reagents, batteries, spare parts, food and other recurring consumables.

Drone Ops $250K/yr

[#4] Operations, spare parts, and replacements for UAV/ASV fleet.

Experiments Consumables $225K/yr

[#15] Consumables, seed/stock provisioning, and experiment-specific materials.

Sensor Maintenance $200K/yr

[#5] Telemetry, maintenance, and satellite tasking for remote sensor network.

Misinformation Media $200K/yr

[#23] Ongoing media monitoring, targeted misinformation/UXO narrative funding and contracted measures.

Energy Fuel $150K/yr

[#16] Fuel and maintenance for generators, and logistics for spare fuel.

Weapons Replenishment $100K/yr

[#13] Munitions replenishment, specialized rounds, and weapons maintenance/training.

Environmental Impact Annual $100K/yr

[#26] Annual environmental monitoring, audits, and occasional remediation.

Psychological Support $100K/yr

[#27] Counseling, PTSD mitigation, and staff support programs.

Disposal Budget $75K/yr

[#12] Annual budget for disposals, secure incineration operations and contracted deep-sea disposal.

Training Refresher $75K/yr

[#19] Annual refresher training for no-sedative/awake-handling protocols.

Archival Maintenance $35K/yr

[#24] Ongoing secure archive maintenance, physical/digital redundancy costs.

Supplies And Consumables $0/yr

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⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $19.6M/yr

90.0% probability / year

Normal year with routine operations, no major incidents.

day-to-day monitoring routine maintenance planned research activities

🚨 Minor Incident $22.1M/yr

8.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline

Isolated containment incident or localized Myr breakout requiring mobilization and limited asset replacement.

isolated Myr outbreak small-scale vessel/asset damage limited public exposure requiring extra legal/compensation

🚨 Major Breach $34.6M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline

Large-scale breach or multi-site coordination failure requiring full contingency activation and major asset replacement.

mass Myr production or rapid spread loss of a primary containment vessel international exposure / legal crisis

👥 Personnel 39 total

Role	Count	Notes
Research Scientist	15	[#7] Marine biologists, ecologists, xenobiologists, geologists (rotational onboard/onshore staff).
Security Officer / MTF Agent	15	[#8] Armed maritime security and special response teams for daylight-only enforcement and boarding.
Medical Officer	4	[#9] Onboard physicians/medics trained for awake procedures and trauma care.
Data Analyst	5	[#18] Data processing, long-term monitoring personnel, archive management.

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed line-item estimates and ranges; however significant uncertainty remains in event frequencies, contingency sizing, and the anomalous behavior of SCP-9217, so estimates are best-effort midpoints rather than high-confidence figures.

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