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SCP-9225 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-9225
Expected annual
$64.0M
One-time setup
$62.0M
Annual recurring
$50.1M
Personnel
168
Estimated one-time setup costs are roughly $62M for a lean baseline posture (lab buildout, sensors, initial R&D and reserves); recurring annual costs are ~ $50.1M driven mainly by staff wages, facility upkeep, mnestic supply/distribution, and maritime/air logistics. Major cost drivers are mnestic production/distribution and persistent maritime/air assets.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $62.0M
Facilities $20.0M
[#1, #15] Baseline: consolidated physical buildout costs for permanent mnestic production/secure shore-side support facility (lower-end purchase/retrofit chosen to minimize upfront capital).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $12.0M
[#1, #17, #30] Lab buildout, specialized measurement and containment instrumentation (muon/neutron scanners, bespoke rigs) and initial capital for targeted R&D into alternative containment approaches.
Long Term Rnd Capital $10.0M
[#30] Initial capital tranche for long-term R&D into lower-cost containment alternatives, memetic hardening and automation.
Decommissioning Reserve $10.0M
[#31] Baseline low-end reserve for potential decommissioning, stewardship, site handover and long-term archiving.
Persistent Sensor Installation $8.0M
[#12] Initial installation of moored buoys, HF radar, hydrophone arrays and seabed sensors; baseline mid-range deployment and installation costs.
Uav Rov Initial Fleet $1.0M
[#13] Initial ruggedized UAV/ROV fleet purchase and secure control interfaces (baseline small fleet).
Terrain Navigation Initial $1.0M
[#21] Initial purchase of specialized climbing rigs, exoskeletons, non-lethal restraint tech and adapted all-terrain/rescue equipment.
Equipment $0
[]
Offshore Patrol Vessels Purchase $0
[#6] Purchase option exists ($30–150M/ship) but baseline assumes leasing/charter to minimize one-time capital; purchase not exercised here.
Aircraft Purchase $0
[#9] Purchase option exists ($30–200M per MPA, helicopters $5–20M) but baseline assumes leasing to reduce upfront capital; purchase not exercised here.
Forward Mobile Bases Purchase $0
[#14] Purchase/retrofit option ($20–200M) exists but baseline uses leased/converted vessels/platforms to retain flexibility; purchase not exercised here.
Incident Response Reserve $0
[#29] Major-incident per-event costs can be $0.5–10M; baseline holds no dedicated one-time purchase here (costs budgeted as recurring readiness and ad hoc response).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $50.1M/yr
Staff Wages $13.1M/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #28] Salaries for medical specialists and monitoring (~$1.8M incl. diagnostics), Noöspherics research team salaries (~$3.0M), field security force salaries with 25% overhead (~$6.25M), and personnel rotation/living allowances (~$2.0M).
Facilities Maintenance $10.7M/yr
[#1, #12, #14, #15, #16, #21, #26] Facility upkeep and ops for mnestic production and shore-side support (~$3M), sensor network maintenance (~$0.8M), forward base ops (~$4M), shore-side ops (~$2M), secure comms/upkeep (~$0.5M), terrain equipment maintenance (~$0.2M) and environmental mitigation (~$0.2M).
Supplies And Consumables $7.3M/yr
[#2, #18, #20] Mnestic doses and distribution baseline (~$7.3M using low unit-cost/leased manufacturing), sample processing and safe storage (~$0.2M), and training / mnestic administration systems (~$0.2M).
Logistics And Transport $7.3M/yr
[#6, #7, #8, #9, #10, #13] Leasing/charter and operational costs for patrol vessels and tenders (baseline maritime O&M ~$3M fleet-wide), enforcement operational costs (~$2M), aircraft ops and fuel (~$2M), and UAV/ROV operational consumables (~$0.3M) (aggregated baseline).
Contingency Fund $5.0M/yr
[#22] Liquid contingency/reserve for rapid response: asset replacement, emergency procurement, emergency payments and large-scale remediation (baseline minimum reserve).
Research And Monitoring $3.8M/yr
[#11, #4, #19, #27, #29, #30] Satellite/SIGINT tasking and analysis (~$0.5M), non-salary research expenses (~$0.5M), archaeology/translation (~$0.5M), data analysis and archival (~$1.0M), incident-forensics readiness (~$0.5M), and ongoing R&D program tranche (~$0.25M).
Cover Story And Legal $3.0M/yr
[#8, #23, #24, #25] Diplomatic/legal staffing and low-intensity payments (~$1.0M), cover-story/misinformation and PR (~$0.5M), diplomatic/local cooperation payments (~$1.0M), and legal/insurance structures (~$0.5M).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $50.1M/yr
74.0% probability / year
Lean, uneventful year using leased vessels/aircraft, low mnestic unit cost, minimal forward base footprint and routine operations.
routine_patrols scheduled_research no_major_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $52.1M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Localized equipment loss or small memetic leak requiring replacement/response but no wider exposure.
vessel_loss small_memetic_leak equipment_failure
🚨 High Mnestic Costs $300.0M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$249.9M vs baseline
Manufacturing/potency crisis or supply-chain failure pushes mnestic unit cost to the high end, driving annual mnestic spend very large.
manufacturing_failure supply_chain_disruption mnestic_unit_price_spike
🚨 Major Breach $150.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$100.0M vs baseline
Large-scale memetic exposure or major security breach requiring wide emergency response, replacement of multiple assets, major diplomatic payments and large-scale remediation.
mass_memetic_leak civilian_exposure major_breach_of_security
👥 Personnel 168 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 120 [#5] Field security force baseline (100–200 personnel); count chosen near lower-middle of analyst range to match wage budget.
Research Scientist 30 [#4] Noöspherics/memetics and allied researchers (30–80); baseline lower bound used to control recurring salaries.
Medical Officer 8 [#3] Psychiatrists, toxicologists and medics (6–12 specialists) included in medical staffing and monitoring budget.
Administrative Staff 10 [#28] Logistics, admin, rotation coordination and support staff included in personnel and living costs.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are low-confidence due to very wide ranges in mnestic unit costs, multiple alternative posture options (lease vs purchase) and anomalous behavior; many line items (mnestic production, maritime posture) dominate and are highly scenario-dependent.
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