SCP-9406 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-9406
Expected annual
$4.5M
One-time setup
$12.6M
Annual recurring
$4.3M
Personnel
20
All-up one-time capital across the full set of options (including an optional deep-vault) is approximately $12.6M, dominated by deep-vault construction and emergency reserves; steady-state annual operating costs are about $4.34M/year driven primarily by salaries (research + security), ongoing research/memetic safeguards, and contingency/maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $12.6M
Deep Vault Construction $7.0M
[#17] Optional dedicated underground vault construction (alternative to widespread site retrofit); mid-range estimate of $2M–$12M.
Emergency Reserve $1.8M
[#20] Emergency response reserve/repair contingency fund (set-aside) for immediate structural repairs, demolition, mass amnestics, contractors.
Facilities $1.7M
[#1, #2, #6, #16] Containment chamber structural shell and build-out (#1), reinforced hardening and shock protection (#2), HVAC/site duct rework and rounded vent modifications (#6), and localized retrofit to remove rectangular geometry in the immediate wing (#16). Estimate is mid-range sums for a single dedicated curved cell and partial localized retrofit.
Equipment $670K
[#3, #4, #5, #7, #8, #9, #22] Custom curved furniture and Class 4 amenities (#3), high-intensity strobe hardware and drivers (#4), UPS/generator/hard-power hardware (#5), structural/sensor hardware (#7), multi-modal (non-visual) monitoring hardware (#8), secure control room consoles and interlocks hardware (#9), and initial data infrastructure hardware (#22).
Mobile Response $600K
[#21] Mobile rapid-response team equipment and portable curved shelters, vehicles and portable generators.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $510K
[#12, #14, #18, #19] Initial medical equipment and instrumentation (#12), initial training/SOP/course development (#14), specialized safe testing apparatus/test rigs (#18), and one-time legal/cover setup costs (#19).
Transport Module $425K
[#15] Curved isolation transport capsule and vehicle adaptations for transfers.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.3M/yr
Staff Wages $2.1M/yr
[#10, #11] Salaries/benefits for core research team (Lead L4 + reviewers + L3 researchers + memetics/security researcher) and full 24/7 security staffing (guards, shifts, supervision).
Research And Monitoring $698K/yr
[#7, #8, #18, #22, #27] Ongoing sensor calibration and monitoring maintenance (#7), non-visual data storage and monitoring upkeep (#8), specialized test rig operations (#18), data infrastructure backups and storage maintenance (#22), and ongoing research program budget for discovering/mitigating unknown shapes (#27).
Cover Story And Legal $425K/yr
[#19, #25] Ongoing legal retainer, front company cover, PR/OPSEC monitoring and misinformation budgets (#19) and insurance/indemnity allocations for liability and catastrophic events (#25).
Medical Care $300K/yr
[#12] Ongoing medical, psychiatric and neurologic care contracts (physician, nurses, on-call specialists) and IV/clinical upkeep for SCP-9406-1.
Hazard Pay $175K/yr
[#28] Hazard pay, retention bonuses, and mental-health leave funding for staff working directly with SCP-9406-1.
Logistics And Transport $150K/yr
[#15, #21] Annual operations for containment transfer capsule/vehicle (#15) and mobile rapid-response readiness/ops (#21).
Memetic Countermeasures $150K/yr
[#13] Supplies and development/testing of amnestics, memetic filters, printed warnings, and memetic-security program costs.
Facilities Maintenance $88K/yr
[#5, #6, #9, #29] Generator fuel/maintenance and UPS upkeep (#5), HVAC operation and filter replacement (#6), control-room software/ops and integration maintenance (#9), and routine calibration/containment equipment maintenance (#29).
Archival And Personnel Amnestics $88K/yr
[#30] Long-term archival costs, memory-suppression/amnestic administration budgeting and turnover-related retraining.
Training And Drills $55K/yr
[#14] Yearly recertification courses, drills, SOP updates and authorization processes.
Translation And Accommodations $48K/yr
[#26] Translation services, French-speaking staff and cognitive/linguistic accommodations to reduce miscommunication risk.
Supplies And Consumables $32K/yr
[#23, #24] Consumables for SCP-9406-1 and cell (curved-safe linens, clothing, cleaning agents) (#23) and hazardous/biohazard waste handling contracts (#24).
Strobe Maintenance $6K/yr
[#4] Annual maintenance, replacement drivers/optics and safety checks for high-intensity strobes.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.3M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; steady-state operations and scheduled maintenance only.
routine operations scheduled research no containment incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $4.8M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized containment incident (brief breach, accidental visual exposure, equipment failure) requiring emergency repairs, targeted amnestic deployment, overtime and temporary contract work.
accidental exposure equipment malfunction brief unplanned release
🚨 Major Breach $6.8M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or cascading permanent-rule effects (triangle-induced structural failure, rectangle contagion requiring large-scale quarantine), triggering large repairs, extended emergency response, mass amnestics and potential site retrofit.
triangle-driven structural escalation site-wide rectangle-rule contagion major breach requiring demolition/retrofit
👥 Personnel 20 total
Role Count Notes
Lead Researcher / L4 1 [#10] Lead Level 4 researcher (single assigned lead).
Researcher / L4 reviewer 2 [#10] Two Level 4 reviewers required for approvals and authorizations.
Researcher / L3 3 [#10] Three Level 3 researchers authorized for direct contact and experiments.
Memetics / Security Researcher 1 [#10] Dedicated memetics/security researcher for cognitohazard countermeasures.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#11] 24/7 physical security staffing (three-shift coverage); estimate at upper range for robustness.
Security Supervisor 1 [#11] On-site security supervisor to manage guard rotations and specialized briefings.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges for physical construction, equipment and staffing, supporting a medium confidence estimate; uncertainty remains due to the anomalous and potentially unbounded effects (permanent rules, spirals/triangle runaway), and optional deep-vault vs. retrofit choices create wide variance.
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