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SCP-9533 Zeno ~ medium confidence
SCP-9533
Expected annual
$1.8M
One-time setup
$11.5M
Annual recurring
$1.8M
Personnel
7.5
Initial capital and contingency reserves dominate upfront costs (~$11.5M one-time) driven by Site-19 tank construction, civil sealing, treatment and emergency equipment; ongoing operations are driven by staffing, chemical treatment cycles, utilities and research (~$1.78M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $11.5M
Contingency Reserve $5.0M
[#24] Recommended emergency reserve to cover large-scale remediation, seal failure, or major negotiations (recommendation: $5M minimum).
Decommissioning Reserve $2.0M
[#25] Budgetary placeholder for eventual decommissioning, transfer, or long-term custody actions (highly uncertain).
Facilities $1.9M
[#2, #3, #15] Civil sealing of cavern openings, perimeter cordon/gates/signage, and Site-19 containment bay structural buildout (est. $600k + $75k + $1.2M).
Equipment $895K
[#5, #7, #9, #11, #12] Surveillance install, glutaraldehyde dosing system, pumps/filtration install, ROV purchase, and mapping/lighting hardware (install/purchase costs aggregated).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $650K
[#13, #17] Hazardous materials sample curing lab setup and initial scientific project funding (lab buildout and initial research grants).
Land Use Legal Integration $500K
[#1] Legal fees, compensation/lease paperwork, state coordination, signage and public notices to incorporate and cordon Sampson State Park land.
Emergency Response Equipment $350K
[#19] Mobile decon trailers, HAZMAT trailers, spare PPE, contingency boats/engines and initial contingency equipment purchases.
Legal Pr Retainer $100K
[#20] One-time legal/PR retainer required for initial public messaging and FOIA readiness during cordon/park integration.
Sonar Coordination $50K
[#6] One-time negotiation/legal work to set protocols with NUWC (initial agreement drafting/retainer contingency).
Diver Training And Certification $50K
[#10] One-time specialized diver training/certification and initial HAZMAT dive preparation.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.8M/yr
Staff Wages $570K/yr
[#4, #16, #23, #5, #13, #11] Security patrol salaries (2 FTEs), Site-19 specialized staffing, program manager/admin, monitoring analyst, HAZMAT lab labor, and ROV operator portions of recurring staffing costs.
Supplies And Consumables $272K/yr
[#8, #12, #13, #18] Glutaraldehyde consumables and application, fluorescent marker replacements, lab consumables, and contaminated waste disposal.
Research And Monitoring $250K/yr
[#5, #17] Surveillance/system non-staffing costs and ongoing scientific research projects (acoustics, genomics, dating, microbiome studies).
Cover Story And Legal $225K/yr
[#6, #20] Ongoing sonar-source liaison/monitoring, legal support, PR handling and liability insurance budgets.
Facilities Maintenance $155K/yr
[#15, #22] Site-19 containment tank utilities/maintenance and annual civil/structural inspections, camera/hydrophone calibration and small repairs.
Utility Energy $120K/yr
[#9, #21] Electricity and energy to run pumps, life-support for Site-19 tank, cameras, refrigeration and remote comms (includes pump energy estimate).
Diving Operations $80K/yr
[#10] Recurring per-mission dive operations (contracted hazardous dive teams, support vessel, gas, medical, decompression access) assuming ~quarterly missions.
Rov Maintenance $45K/yr
[#11] Annual maintenance and operator costs for work-class ROVs and manipulators.
Emergency Drills $35K/yr
[#19] Annual tabletop and live exercises, mutual-aid coordination, and refresher HAZMAT/boat drills.
Logistics And Transport $32K/yr
[#4, #14] Patrol vehicle operations (fuel/insurance/maintenance) and secure refrigerated sample transport between field and Site-19.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.8M/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal year with scheduled patrols, periodic treatments, routine research and maintenance only.
scheduled_treatment_cycles quarterly_sampling routine_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $2.0M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized seal or infrastructure failure requiring emergency repairs, extra diving/ROV missions, and increased remediation.
partial_seal_failure localized_contamination increased_diving_ops
🚨 Major Breach $3.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or environmental impact requiring large-scale emergency response, remediation, and legal action.
mass_seal_failure widespread_ecological_impact extended_remediation
🚨 Political Exposure $3.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Forced operational changes or compensation due to political pressure or compelled renegotiation with NUWC/local authorities, requiring expensive mitigation or expanded compensation.
public_exposure NUWC_negotiation_failure regulatory_enforcement
👥 Personnel 7.5 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#4] Two FTEs for scheduled vehicle patrols (redundancy/weekend/leave); salaries included in staff_wages.
Program Manager / Executive Staff 1 [#23] Program manager coordinating park, Site-19, NUWC liaison and response; salary included in staff_wages.
Administrative Staff 0.5 [#23] Part-time admin support for scheduling/permits; wage portion included in staff_wages.
Monitoring Analyst / Research Scientist 1 [#5, #17] Staffed monitoring console and research lead for acoustics/genomics; wage portion included in staff_wages.
Hazardous Materials Specialist 1 [#13] Sample curing and HAZMAT processing at field and Site-19; labor portion included in staff_wages.
Site-19 Aquatic Tech / Veterinarian 1 [#16] Aquatic life-support technician / veterinarian for SCP-9533-beta containment; wages included in staff_wages.
ROV Operator / Technician 1 [#11] Operator/technician for work-class ROVs; operator portion included in staff_wages/rov_maintenance.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges and reasonable midpoints, but many items (NUWC negotiations, reserve sizing, decommissioning) are highly uncertain and could materially change totals; thus confidence is medium.
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