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SCP-9612 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-9612
Expected annual
$1.5M
One-time setup
$1.7M
Annual recurring
$1.5M
Personnel
10
Initial one-time setup costs are moderate-to-large (~$1.66M) driven primarily by a capital contingency/resolution reserve and potential site relocation capex; recurring annual costs are significant (~$1.45M/yr) dominated by 24/7 Type-4 staffing, research staff, and associated site operations and maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.7M
Capital Escalation Reserve $1.1M
[#25] Long-term contingency budget for site relocation, hardening, or escalation (placeholder for large capital costs).
Contingency Fund Seed $125K
[#22] One-time seed for contingency/insurance-like reserve to cover unforeseen incidents.
Equipment $120K
[#6, #12, #13, #14, #9, #20] Surveillance system, emergency transport vehicle purchase, generator/solar + batteries, HVAC equipment, initial medical cabinet, initial IT/server hardware.
Facilities $105K
[#1, #3, #5, #15] Land purchase, containment tent construction/site prep, perimeter fence and access road initial upgrades.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $62K
[#16] On-site EEG/polysomnography and audio/olfactory logging hardware and initial research instrumentation.
Amnestic Pharmacy Setup $50K
[#10] Initial secure pharmacy setup and initial amnestic stockpile and secure storage.
Legal And Cover Story $40K
[#2] Lawyer fees for purchase/lease negotiation, NDAs, cover story creation and initial PR/legal setup.
Incident Response Setup $20K
[#18] Incident response team initial training and equipment purchase.
Training Program Setup $18K
[#19] Initial SOP documentation, training program development, and initial staff training.
Initial Goodwill Payments $15K
[#23] Initial goodwill/soft payments to nearby landowners or local stakeholders for cover and access.
Special Disposal One Time $6K
[#21] Occasional special disposal / hazardous waste one-time costs.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.5M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#7, #8, #9, #17] Ongoing compensation for 24/7 Type-4 coverage, additional Level-2 guards, medical staffing, and scientific staff.
Administrative Overhead $155K/yr
[#24] Institutional overhead (calculated as ~12% of direct recurring costs) for procurement, HR, accounting, and management.
Insurance And Reserve $62K/yr
[#22] Ongoing operating reserve / insurance-like budget for accidents and legal exposure.
Research And Monitoring $40K/yr
[#16] Consumables, technician time, and recurring costs for EEG/sleep monitoring studies and logging hardware support.
Facilities Maintenance $39K/yr
[#4, #5, #13, #14, #15, #6, #20] Tent maintenance/amortized replacement, fence upkeep, generator/fuel & comms maintenance, HVAC energy/maintenance, road upkeep, surveillance monitoring/hosting, and IT backups/maintenance.
Amnestics And Pharmacy $30K/yr
[#10] Recurring replacement/resupply of amnestics and controlled substances, inventory control and secure handling costs.
Community Relations $11K/yr
[#23] Recurring soft payments and goodwill gestures to locals and stakeholders.
Cover Story And Legal $10K/yr
[#2] Ongoing legal retainer, PR/cover maintenance and periodic legal counsel.
Environmental And Biohazard Disposal $10K/yr
[#21] Regular contracts and procedures for disposal of contaminated clothing, biohazard waste, ash/soil, and regulatory compliance.
Incident Response Readiness $10K/yr
[#18] Annual drills, readiness exercises, and refreshers for the incident response team.
Training And Drills $10K/yr
[#19] Annual refresher training for containment SOPs, amnestic administration, and community interaction.
Logistics And Transport $8K/yr
[#12] Fuel and maintenance for emergency transport vehicle and routine transport for site ops.
Supplies And Consumables $5K/yr
[#11] On-site medical consumables, PPE, disposables, and replacement emergency supplies.
Land Lease Or Easement $0/yr
[#1] Lease/easement alternative noted; zero here because purchase was assumed in one-time costs.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.5M/yr
93.9% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine staffing, maintenance, research, and supply replacement.
routine_operations scheduled_research no_breach_or_major_incident
🚨 Minor Incident $1.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized accidental civilian contact or small-scale onsite incident requiring medical treatment, extra amnestics, overtime, and temporary PR/legal activity.
accidental_contact small_breach heightened_media_attention
🚨 Major Breach $2.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Significant breach or cognitohazard event requiring large-scale response, replacement of equipment, extended medical support, and substantial legal/contingency spending.
full_site_incident multiple_casualties extended_response_and_recovery
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $6.5M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Catastrophic escalation requiring site relocation, heavy capital works, long-term research interruption, or large-scale public exposure mitigation.
catastrophic_failure forced_relocation major_public_exposure
👥 Personnel 10 total
Role Count Notes
Type-4 / Security Specialist 4 [#7] Four Type-4 specialists to staff 24/7 rotation as specified (includes hazard pay/benefits in wage estimate).
Security Officer / Guard 2 [#8] Two additional Level-2 guards for perimeter checks, relief, and transport duties.
Research Scientist 3 [#17] Scientific staff (psychology/neurology/behavioral) supporting ongoing studies and protocol development.
Medical Officer / Paramedic 1 [#9] On-site or on-call medic (0.5–1 FTE estimated; rounded to 1 FTE for staffing breakout).
📋 Confidence Notes
Detailed line-item estimates are provided by the analyst notes, but the anomalous, cognitohazardous nature of SCP-9612 and potential for low-probability high-cost escalation reduce overall precision.
← SCP-9610 ↑ All SCPs SCP-9616 →