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SCP-9864 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-9864
Expected annual
$3.5M
One-time setup
$3.6M
Annual recurring
$3.3M
Personnel
16
Initial stand-up and reserve funding are dominated by archival, legal/diplomatic, and strategic contingency reserves; ongoing costs are driven by covert staffing, analysts/OSINT monitoring, and contingency funds for leaks and remediation.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.6M
Strategic Contingency Reserve $2.0M
[#20] Large one-time strategic/diplomatic-risk reserve to fund worst-case covert/diplomatic actions or reparations (to be replenished after use).
Legal Pr Initial Reserve $1.0M
[#14] Recommended initial contingency reserve for legal/diplomatic/PR expenses and retainers.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $340K
[#12, #11] Initial laboratory setup and controlled-testing preparations plus initial field expedition/expedition-specific setup costs.
Facilities $125K
[#6] One-time retrofit and secure archival vault/cabinet installation and furnishings at Site-90.
Equipment $86K
[#4, #8, #17] Portable evidence/retrieval kits, high-resolution digitization hardware/servers, and secure communications hardware initial procurement.
Initial Training And Sop Development $50K
[#13] Initial development and running of training programs, SOP creation, tabletop exercises.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.3M/yr
Staff Wages $1.6M/yr
[#1, #2, #10] On-site covert operatives/liaisons, rapid-response specialists, and core analysts (salaries, benefits, overtime, local office support).
Cover Story And Legal $600K/yr
[#14, #15] Retainers and recurring legal/PR contingency funds plus budgeted records modification/cover documentation contingency.
Research And Monitoring $275K/yr
[#9, #12] OSINT/diplomatic-monitoring subscriptions and staff plus recurring laboratory experiment costs and research materials.
Cyber Forensics Reserve $200K/yr
[#18] Annual reserve for hacking/forensic incident response, takedowns, and ad-hoc cyber operations.
Logistics And Transport $185K/yr
[#5, #11] Secure transport, couriers, occasional charters for retrievals and recurring fieldwork travel.
Cover Credentials $150K/yr
[#3] Creation and upkeep of forged/cover credentials, accreditation procurement, local payments/bribes where necessary.
Public Disinfo And Buyouts $150K/yr
[#19] Recurring contingency for buyouts, takedowns, payments to reclaim distributed physical copies and covert remediation.
Psychological Care $30K/yr
[#16] Counseling and ongoing security vetting costs for affected officials and operatives.
Training And Drills $20K/yr
[#13] Annual refresher training, retrieval drills, and tabletop exercises to maintain SOP readiness.
Facilities Maintenance $18K/yr
[#6, #7] Vault and archival maintenance, climate-control energy and monitoring upkeep.
Digital Storage And Backups $15K/yr
[#8] Cloud backups, offsite encrypted redundancy, quarterly integrity checks, and software licenses maintenance.
Comms Infrastructure Maintenance $12K/yr
[#17] Maintenance, licenses, and recurring fees for secure communications infrastructure and token management.
Supplies And Consumables $3K/yr
[#4] Consumables for evidence kits (gloves, seals, batteries) and small consumable replacements.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.3M/yr
82.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, scheduled retrievals, and no major public leaks or escalations.
regular UNSC votes no public leaks no major diplomatic incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $3.4M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Small-scale leak or photographed card requiring immediate forensics, limited takedowns, and targeted remediation.
unauthorized photograph circulates localized online spread
🚨 Major Public Incident $4.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Wide public dissemination of SCP-9864-A content requiring buyouts, extensive legal action, and significant PR operations.
viral news coverage televised evidence or mass distribution
🚨 Sigint Escalation $5.8M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Decision to acquire or contract active SIGINT/diplomatic-tap capabilities to monitor/deny communications, driving large upfront and ongoing costs.
determination that passive OSINT insufficient need to intercept diplomatic channels
🚨 Catastrophic Diplomatic $8.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Severe diplomatic exposure requiring deployment of strategic contingency reserves, large settlements, or covert operations to avert escalation.
international scandal official diplomatic accusation or major leak
👥 Personnel 16 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent (covert operatives) 5 [#1, #2] On-site covert UNSC presence and part of rapid-response rotations; includes benefits/overtime.
Rapid Response / Tactical Operator 4 [#2] On-call specialists for emergency retrievals and short-notice deployments.
Research Scientist / Analyst 4 [#9, #10, #12] OSINT analysts, historians, linguists and lab researchers performing monitoring and analysis.
Evidence Technician / Forensic Specialist 2 [#4, #18] Portable evidence handling, scanning, and digital/cyber forensic response support.
Administrative Staff / Liaison 1 [#1, #14] Local administrative support, cover maintenance, liaison coordination, and budget/legal coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide specific line items and ranges for most costs, allowing mid-range estimates; however the anomaly's political volatility (leaks, need for SIGINT, diplomatic escalation) creates significant tail risk and uncertainty.
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