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SCP-9887 Trinity ? low confidence
SCP-9887
Expected annual
$14.6M
One-time setup
$125.5M
Annual recurring
$13.8M
Personnel
69
One-time capital, mission and governance costs dominate the program (~$125.5M), driven primarily by the recommended endowment, deep-sea deployment/ROV procurement, contingency and specialized facility retrofits. Recurring annual costs (~$13.8M/year) are driven mainly by staff wages, ongoing research/monitoring and specialized operational support.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $125.5M
Endowment $55.0M
[#18] Recommended long-term stewardship endowment (midpoint of $10M–$100M range) to fund monitoring/administration/anticipated future retrievals.
Deep Sea Deployment Mission $15.0M
[#12] Charter of ice-class vessel, ROV/AUV deployment, crew, fuel and mobilization for one seabed emplacement mission.
Equipment $14.2M
[#2, #4, #5, #9, #13, #23] Robotic manipulators, emergency thermal/vaporization hardware (capital portion), hazardous effluent capture setup, initial specialized containment equipment, deep-sea vehicle capital (ROV purchase assumed), and initial data-security hardware.
Contingency Reserve Initial $10.5M
[#29] One-time contingency & escalation reserve for unforeseen costs, accelerated extraction or regulatory fines.
Facilities $7.0M
[#1] Heavy-duty oubliette construction/retrofit for Point Tehom: excavation, blast/penetration-resistant walls, humidity/EMP shielding, redundant airlocks and covert construction premiums.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $6.1M
[#6, #28] Medical & surgical suite buildout for controlled entombment operations and initial R&D program startup (lab upgrades, instrumentation for recovery-method R&D).
Engineered Seabed Capsules $5.5M
[#14] Corrosion-resistant, pressure-rated seabed containment canisters/frames, anchors and modular supports sized for centuries-long deployment.
Insurance Reserve $5.5M
[#22] Capitalized self-insurance/captive reserve minimum to cover catastrophic losses where commercial policies unavailable.
Legal Defense Initial $2.8M
[#19] Initial legal retainers, indemnity reserve and cover-up reserve for litigation, settlements or hush arrangements.
Long Term Monitoring Initial $1.8M
[#16] Initial deployment of autonomous acoustic/seismic beacons, telemetry buoys, satellite uplinks and secure offsite archives.
Environmental Assessment $1.1M
[#15] Environmental assessment, oceanographic/seismic surveys and covert-permit/legal fees to select deposition site and minimize detection risk.
Secure Records Setup $1.1M
[#17] Multi-jurisdictional legal trusts, sealed archives and setup fees for encrypted/offline copies and custodial institutions.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $13.8M/yr
Staff Wages $7.0M/yr
[#7, #8, #9, #11] Salaries and benefits for medical/surgical teams, security staff (24/7 site-level), specialized containment rapid response personnel and research staff.
Research And Monitoring $2.7M/yr
[#10, #16, #21, #28] Psychotronics Division operations budget, ongoing telemetry/monitoring maintenance, clinical/ethics oversight and continuing R&D program funding.
Deep Sea Maintenance $800K/yr
[#13] Maintenance and upkeep for work-class ROVs/AUVs (assumed multiple vehicles).
Donor Processing $550K/yr
[#20] Administrative, informed-consent, legal and medical-clearance costs for benefactor processing (assumed several cases per year).
Contingency Replenishment $550K/yr
[#29] Annual replenishment budget for contingency/escalation reserve.
Supplies And Consumables $500K/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #27] Robotic maintenance & consumables, thermal/vaporization consumables, hazardous effluent disposal contracts and routine decontamination consumables.
Logistics And Transport $300K/yr
[#25] Routine secure transfers, armored courier logistics and secure transport protocols for material allotments and supplies.
Legal Defense Retainer $300K/yr
[#19] Ongoing legal retainers and contingency budget for litigation and negotiation.
Insurance Premiums $300K/yr
[#22] Estimated ongoing premium/operational cost if partial coverage or captive-insurer overhead is maintained.
Cover Story And Legal $275K/yr
[#24] False-front business, PR budget and disinformation to mask site activity.
Training Drills $150K/yr
[#26] Regular drills and contractor-run emergency response exercises.
Entombment Procedures $138K/yr
[#6] Per-procedure medical/OR costs for controlled entombment (assumed small number of operations per year at midrange per-procedure cost).
Psychological Support $85K/yr
[#30] Mental-health screening, counseling and resilience programs for exposed staff.
Data Security Maintenance $60K/yr
[#23] Maintenance of classified IT, offsite cold storage rotations and encrypted backup upkeep.
Secure Records Admin $55K/yr
[#17] Annual administration and custodial fees for multi-jurisdictional trusts and archived copies.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $13.8M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine research, monitoring and staffing costs only.
no breaches routine research tempo normal maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $15.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Localized equipment failure or minor containment incident requiring emergency repairs, short-term mission redeployment and extra legal/PR activity.
robotic/ROV failure small leak or localized contamination emergency extraction attempt
🚨 Major Breach $21.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$8.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or discovery requiring full-scale ROV recovery mission, environmental remediation and large legal/operational response.
breach or exposure event forced seabed intervention major remediation
🚨 Political Exposure $33.8M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Public discovery or political/legal exposure leading to large settlements, extended legal battles, expansive PR campaigns and possible government intervention.
public disclosure government investigation class-action or state-level litigation
👥 Personnel 69 total
Role Count Notes
Medical Officer / Surgeons 8 [#6, #7] On-site surgeons, anesthesiologists and critical-care nurses for controlled entombment operations.
Research Scientist 20 [#10, #11, #28] Psychotronics researchers, materials scientists and engineers assigned to recovery and long-term preservation R&D.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 25 [#8] 24/7 armed site security and access control personnel.
Rapid Response / Tactical Unit 6 [#9] Specialized containment security and armored response teams for anomaly incidents.
Engineer / Maintenance 6 [#3, #13] Robotic technicians, ROV/AUV operators and maintenance engineers.
Administrative Staff 4 [#17, #19] Legal, records management and administrative staff managing trusts, archives and donor processes.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are order-of-magnitude and many drivers (number/frequency of donor procedures, chosen redundancy levels, endowment sizing, long-term governance costs and political/legal exposure) are highly uncertain for a centuries-scale program; Trinity-class anomalies add further unpredictability.
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