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SCP-9970 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-9970
Expected annual
$1.9M
One-time setup
$1.4M
Annual recurring
$1.9M
Personnel
7
Initial one-time establishment costs are approximately $1.45M driven by land purchase, perimeter infrastructure, and initial misinformation/asset setup. Recurring annual costs are about $1.89M dominated by covert asset payments, ongoing PR/legal/cover operations, research programs, and security staffing.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.4M
Facilities $535K
[#1, #3, #7, #22] Land purchase, perimeter fence installation (gatehouses/permits/anti-climb), small operations/outbuilding construction, and one-time site remediation/abatement work.
Equipment $229K
[#4, #6, #8, #9, #10, #21] CCTV/hardware & installation, patrol vehicles and radios, backup generator/UPS and electrical work, drones and spares, professional signage/barriers, and secure IT/hardware setup.
Contingency Initial Capital $200K
[#24] One-time capital set aside to establish an incident response reserve and emergency liquidity for the program.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $185K
[#15, #17, #18, #25] Initial cryogenic/sample transfer and setup, initial forensic lab work/equipment, research program equipment/setup, and archival digitization/startup.
Misinformation Initial $150K
[#11] Initial setup for misinformation/PR campaign, seeded stories, campaign creation and initial legal redaction work.
Witness Management Trust Fund Initial $100K
[#14] Initial witness management/settlement fund seed for hush payments, relocation, and immediate-case expenses.
Covert Assets Recruiting $50K
[#12] One-time recruiting, false-cover setup and relocation/cover costs for embedded assets in local agencies.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.9M/yr
Research And Monitoring $548K/yr
[#15, #17, #18, #25] Ongoing research program staffing/equipment amortization, forensic follow-ups, cryogenic storage LN2/refills or freezer power, and long-term archival storage/maintenance.
Cover Story And Legal $525K/yr
[#11, #12, #13, #14] Ongoing misinformation/PR content and monitoring, payments to covert assets, legal retainers/incident legal work, and witness management/settlements as incidents occur.
Staff Wages $400K/yr
[#5] On-site 24/7 security staffing (approx. 6 guards across 3 shifts) plus supervisor pay, benefits, overtime and training.
Contingency Reserve $250K/yr
[#24] Annual reserve for rapid incident response, emergency legal/PR surges, and unplanned containment costs (20–30% contingency recommendation scaled to program).
Facilities Maintenance $39K/yr
[#2, #3, #7, #8, #10, #22] Annual property taxes and liability insurance, fence maintenance/testing, outbuilding utilities/upkeep, generator fuel/maintenance, signage replacement, and routine site upkeep.
Logistics And Transport $36K/yr
[#6, #9, #16] Patrol vehicle operating costs (fuel/maintenance/inspections), drone operations/training/batteries, and cold-chain transport/evidence transfer escorts.
Cybersecurity And It $30K/yr
[#21] Secure servers, encrypted comms, SIEM/monitoring contracts and IT maintenance for secure data/infrastructure.
Medical And Mental Health $25K/yr
[#19] Ongoing medical and mental-health support for staff and exposed civilians: counseling, screenings, specialist care and paid leave contingencies.
Training And Drills $20K/yr
[#20] Ongoing training, tabletop exercises, SOP development and occasional full drills with coordinated cover.
Surveillance Monitoring $12K/yr
[#4] Annual monitoring, cloud storage, software licenses, NVR maintenance and remote monitoring contract costs for CCTV and perimeter sensors.
Supplies And Consumables $9K/yr
[#23] Consumables and PPE: batteries, media, evidence bags, gloves, field supplies and small tools.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.9M/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with steady operations, no major public incidents or large settlements.
no_public_exposure routine_operations standard research activity
🚨 Minor Incident $2.2M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$350K vs baseline
Small public exposure/trespass leads to localized media attention, a few settlements and surge PR/legal costs.
trespasser_video_leak local_media_scrutiny single-case settlement/relocation
🚨 Major Incident $3.5M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.6M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or viral exposure requiring large settlements, emergency containment, heavy legal action and asset relocation.
viral_national_exposure multiple-witness_release major_legal_subpoenas
👥 Personnel 7 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 Six guards covering three shifts (roving patrol + gate watch); wages/benefits included in staff_wages.
Supervisor / Sergeant 1 On-site security supervisor; overtime/contingency included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on detailed analyst ranges and known containment priorities (fence, PR, covert assets) but many items are wide ranges (real estate, number of covert assets, research scale). This yields moderate confidence.
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