SCP-076 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-076
Expected annual
$25.9M
One-time setup
$388.2M
Annual recurring
$19.7M
Personnel
54
Initial capital outlay is dominated by hardened underground construction and large reserve funds (~$388M one-time), while ongoing annual costs are driven by specialized staffing, MTF readiness, research, and legal/cover operations (~$19.7M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $388.2M
Reconstruction Reserve Fund $200.0M
[#17] Reserved reconstruction/emergency fund to cover rebuilding and replacement after catastrophic breach (chosen mid-range of analyst reserve suggestion).
Facilities $152.8M
[#1, #22] Hardened underground containment construction (excavation, blast-resistant vaults, environmental isolation) and land acquisition for buffer/exclusion zone. Estimate combined from analyst ranges ($150M for construction + $2.75M land).
Environmental Remediation Reserve $20.0M
[#18] Reserved contingency for environmental remediation and long-tail cleanup after major incidents (budgeted conservatively within analyst range).
Equipment $9.7M
[#2, #3, #6, #8, #12, #13] Includes specialized restraint/anchoring system (anchors, chains), heavy lifting/crushing equipment (purchase & commissioning), initial heavy firearms/vehicle platforms procurement, sensor suite initial purchase, initial generators/UPS, and initial IT/air-gapped hardware.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.2M
[#9, #11] Onsite secure labs, instrumentation (mass spec, EM, cryo-handling) and initial medical/autopsy/biohazard handling equipment and setup.
Transportation Fleet $1.2M
[#20] Initial purchase/lease of unmarked/armored vehicles and contractual access arrangements for airlift/helicopter.
Emergency Scuttle And Demolition $1.1M
[#7] One-time procurement and secure storage setup for demolition/scuttle charges and specialist devices; includes training and secure containment for these assets.
Military Liaison Authorization $1.1M
[#25] One-time negotiation/liaison/legal authorization costs to secure potential access agreements with military/national defense for catastrophic options.
Psychological Program Setup $50K
[#15] Initial setup cost for psychological screening/counseling program infrastructure and vendor contracts.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $19.7M/yr
Staff Wages $5.5M/yr
[#4, #10] Ongoing salaries & benefits for permanent armed security staff and onsite scientific personnel (analyst ranges combined; covers ~30 security and ~10–20 scientists).
Mtf Operations $4.0M/yr
[#5] Dedicated MTF salaries, training, mission rehearsal simulators, specialized kit, and live-fire exercises.
Research And Monitoring $3.8M/yr
[#8, #9, #23, #24] Ongoing sensor data storage/maintenance, lab operational costs/reagents/samples, advanced experimental research programs, and incident exercise costs.
Cover Story And Legal $2.8M/yr
[#16] Ongoing legal, cover-story maintenance, shell companies, PR/press management, and hush-money contingencies.
Logistics And Transport $1.2M/yr
[#20] Fleet operations: fuel, vehicle maintenance, helicopter/airlift contract hours and rapid-deployment logistics.
Facilities Maintenance $825K/yr
[#3, #12, #14, #22] Maintenance and inspection of heavy-lift equipment (annual servicing), generator fuel & maintenance, routine site/NDT inspections, and perimeter patrol operational costs.
Supplies And Consumables $500K/yr
[#11, #21] Disposable biohazard supplies, PPE, replacement chains/anchors/seals, spare parts, and expendables.
Weapons And Ammunition $500K/yr
[#6] Ammunition reserves, vehicle-mounted weapons maintenance, ballistic testing, and parts replacement.
Mortuary And Coverup Reserve $250K/yr
[#19] Annual reserve for mortuary, cover-up operations, identity fabrication, and related legal/administrative costs.
It And Data Security $200K/yr
[#13] Operations, audits, air-gapped backup maintenance, and secure communications upkeep.
Psychological Program $125K/yr
[#15] Ongoing psych screening, counseling, trauma support, and vetting programs.
Emergency Scuttle Maintenance $50K/yr
[#7] Secure storage maintenance, periodic testing, and legal/liaison retainer costs related to scuttle capability.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $19.7M/yr
75.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with no major containment failures; routine operations and scheduled maintenance only.
no_breach routine_maintenance regular_research
🚨 Minor Incident $20.7M/yr
18.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Localized breach or limited engagement causing repair needs, a few casualties, increased ammo/surge staffing and modest remediation.
temporary_breach limited_structural_damage short-term_personnel_casualties
🚨 Major Breach $69.7M/yr
6.0% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure with substantial structural damage, multiple fatalities, major equipment replacement and environmental cleanup.
full_site_breach partial_site_destruction extended_recovery_operations
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $319.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$300.0M vs baseline
Total site loss requiring full reconstruction, invocation of major reserves, national-level ordnance use, and extensive long-term remediation.
site_detonation full_infrastructure_loss national_level_intervention
👥 Personnel 54 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer 30 [#4] Site-level permanent armed security staff (shift coverage; fully loaded headcount estimate matches security wage portion of staff_wages).
Research Scientist 15 [#9, #10, #23] Multidisciplinary scientific team for analysis, experiments, and monitoring (salaries included in staff_wages).
Engineer / Maintenance 5 [#3, #14, #12] Technical staff for heavy equipment operation/maintenance, NDT inspections, and generator/UPS upkeep (allocated from staff_wages).
Administrative Staff 3 [#16] Administrative and covert-administration support for cover-story maintenance and site admin (allocated from staff_wages).
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#16] Senior site leadership included within staff_wages allocation.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges allowing reasonable cost aggregation, but uncertainties remain around breach frequency, severity, and scope of advanced research programs and political/law-enforcement cooperation, so confidence is medium.
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