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SCP-1010 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1010
Expected annual
$3.3M
One-time setup
$2.7M
Annual recurring
$3.2M
Personnel
11
One-time setup and capital expenses are approximately $2,684,000, driven by dome construction, land acquisition, specialized equipment and contingency reserves. Recurring annual costs are approximately $3,194,500/yr, driven primarily by staff wages (security and 24/7 monitoring), medical/legal/cover-up budgets and ongoing research/containment operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.7M
Facilities $1.2M
[#1, #2, #12, #23] Containment dome construction, land acquisition/perimeter buffer, decontamination infrastructure and initial environmental mitigation setup (combined structural/site work).
Equipment $549K
[#3, #4, #5, #7, #8, #13, #15, #16, #17, #18] HVAC/humidity systems, UV horticultural lighting, irrigation system, camera network hardware, security equipment/training hardware, autoclave/incinerator, monitoring sensors, backup generator/UPS, vehicles fleet purchase, and containment response equipment (initial purchases and installed hardware).
Insurance Reserve $500K
[#24] One-time contingency reserve fund for catastrophic containment failure / major liability.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $335K
[#6, #14] Initial horticultural procurement (soil, starter plants) and laboratory fit-out (BSL-2 instrumentation, sample storage) for sap chemistry and mechanism research.
Cover Story Setup $100K
[#20] One-time setup for cover-story materials, initial legal/PA documentation and falsified records preparation.
Class D Initial Intake $10K
[#9] Initial intake costs for Class‑D pool (secure housing, intake processing, restraints etc.).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.2M/yr
Staff Wages $725K/yr
[#7, #8] Wages and benefits for 24/7 monitoring attendants (~5 FTE) and site security guards (~6 FTE).
Research And Monitoring $515K/yr
[#14, #15, #26] Recurring laboratory salaries/consumables, sensor/data maintenance and ongoing containment R&D/upgrades (countermeasures research).
Cover Story And Legal $500K/yr
[#20] Ongoing legal, NDA, public-affairs, settlements, litigation reserves and local-government coordination to maintain cover stories.
Class D Pool Management $300K/yr
[#9] Recurring costs to recruit, house, medically screen, provide hazard pay and replace Class‑D rotation pool (6–12 pool).
Medical Care And Obstetrics $300K/yr
[#10] Recurring budget for prenatal care, emergency Caesarean(s), neonatal/ICU care, trauma treatment and pathology contingencies.
Social Management Children $200K/yr
[#25] Long-term custody, relocation, identity changes and monitoring costs for children born as a result of SCP-1010 incidents.
Administrative Overhead $150K/yr
[#27] Site leadership, program managers, procurement, accounting and clerical staff time allocated to SCP-1010 program.
Insurance Reserve Replenishment $100K/yr
[#24] Annual replenishment to the contingency/reserve fund for catastrophic failures or major litigation payouts.
Facilities Maintenance $90K/yr
[#2, #3, #16, #19] Land maintenance & patrols, HVAC energy and maintenance, backup generator fuel/maintenance, and routine site maintenance/spare parts.
Medical Emergency Contracts $75K/yr
[#11] Contracts for on-call surgical teams, ambulance/medevac and rapid emergency response capability.
Biohazard Disposal $60K/yr
[#13] Hazardous waste disposal contracts, incineration/processing of contaminated plant matter and biohazard operations.
Psychological Support $50K/yr
[#22] Counseling, EAP services and turnover/retraining costs for exposed staff (attendants, techs, guards).
Supplies And Consumables $34K/yr
[#4, #5, #6, #12] UV bulb replacements and controls maintenance, water and pump maintenance, horticultural consumables/replanting, PPE consumables and decontamination supplies.
Environmental Management $30K/yr
[#23] Ongoing mitigation of anomalous growth effects on local flora/fauna and infrastructure (chemical control, mowing, barriers).
Ethical Oversight $25K/yr
[#21] Independent review boards, audits and compliance activities for human-subject and ethical oversight.
Containment Training $25K/yr
[#18] Ongoing training, resupply and drills for mobile response teams and containment procedures.
Logistics And Transport $15K/yr
[#17] Vehicle fuel, maintenance, and sample courier / Class‑D/staff transport operations.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.2M/yr
81.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, no major incidents; regular monitoring, scheduled maintenance, research and cover-up expenditures occur as planned.
routine_operations scheduled_research no_breach
🚨 Minor Incident $3.4M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Limited containment incident (single exposure or small medical series), localized repairs, brief increased legal/media activity and targeted investigations.
accidental_exposure small_medical_events local_media_scrutiny
🚨 Major Breach $4.7M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant containment breach with multiple casualties/exposures, major emergency response, sizable legal/PA costs and limited public exposure requiring reparative measures.
multiple_exposures winter_lethal_radius_incidents public_visibility_of_incident
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $13.2M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Large-scale public exposure or catastrophic containment failure leading to mass casualties, protracted litigation, major reconstruction and long-term social management obligations.
site_compromise mass_public_exposure major_litigation
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#8] Typical small isolated site guard staffing: 2guards/shift → ~6 FTE to cover rotations, training and leave.
Monitoring Attendant / Technician 5 [#7] 24/7 video monitoring requires ~4–6 FTE; using 5 FTE attendants/technicians for continuous coverage, reporting and minor tech duties.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and mid-range 'use' values for many categories, so baseline and component estimates are moderately well-founded. High-variance items (legal/cover-up, catastrophic insurance, medical case frequency, and potential need for BSL upgrades) create substantial tail risk, reducing overall confidence.
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