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SCP-1017 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-1017
Expected annual
$6.1M
One-time setup
$7.5M
Annual recurring
$5.4M
Personnel
30
Estimated first-year one-time capital and setup costs are approximately £7.5M, with recurring annual operations roughly £5.44M. Main cost drivers are staff salaries (MTF + embedded agents + researchers), covert operational assets (maintenance train conversion, explosive isolators), contingency reserves and recurring covert payments/legal/medical budgets.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $7.5M
Contingency Reserve $2.0M
[#22] Contingency fund / reserve for catastrophic scenarios (~£2,000,000).
Maintenance Train Purchase Conversion $1.5M
[#5] Purchase & covert conversion of disguised maintenance/inspection train (midpoint estimate £1,500,000).
Medical Catastrophic Reserve $1.0M
[#13] Reserve allocation for catastrophic medical/handling costs (per-note potential £1,000,000).
Explosive Isolators Installation $750K
[#6] Fail-safe explosive isolators hardware & covert installation program (midpoint £750,000).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $700K
[#12, #14] Research lab fit-out & instrumentation (£500,000) and amnestic R&D/authorization (£200,000).
Equipment $570K
[#9, #10, #11, #19, #20] Tactical kit initial (£120,000), CCTV deployment & software (£100,000), presence-sensor installs (£250,000), comms kit (£40,000), secure evidence storage hardware (£60,000).
Facilities $250K
[#7, #17] Armory/vault build-out and operations center fit-out (armory £200,000; ops fit-out £50,000).
Grenade Rnd $250K
[#8] R&D & prototype development for incapacitating-grenade analogue (£250,000).
Legal Pr Setup $200K
[#15] Initial negotiation/establishment costs for legal/PR retainer and cover-story establishment (£200,000).
Mtf Training Setup $150K
[#4] Initial MTF selection/training program setup (£150,000).
Cover Identity Creation $90K
[#2] Creation of forged credentials, cover identities and initial placement costs for 3 operatives (£30,000/agent).
Vehicles Purchase $40K
[#18] Purchase of 2 covert vans (~£40,000).
Tactical Kit Initial $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.4M/yr
Staff Wages $2.2M/yr
[#1, #3, #10, #12, #20] Embedded agents salaries (£180,000/yr), MTF operational team with overhead (£1,400,000/yr), CCTV analysts (£200,000/yr), research staff (£400,000/yr included above), records management staff (£40,000/yr) — aggregated.
Cover Story And Legal $750K/yr
[#15, #24] Legal and PR retainer & crisis management (£500,000/yr) plus public disruption compensation and lost-revenue reimbursements (£250,000/yr).
Tfl Covert Payments $700K/yr
[#16] Discreet payments/reimbursements to TfL and informal payments; contingency pool + event reimbursements (~£700,000/yr aggregated).
Medical Response Fund $500K/yr
[#13] Annual medical response & treatment contingency for civilian casualties (assumed £500,000/yr for ~2 medium incidents).
Facilities Maintenance $455K/yr
[#5, #6, #7, #11, #17, #23] Maintenance & track-access fees for maintenance train (£200,000/yr), explosive isolator testing (£50,000/yr), armory compliance (£10,000/yr), presence-sensor maintenance (£25,000/yr), ops center lease-related maintenance & minor upkeep (included here), annual covert safety audits/inspections (£50,000/yr).
Amnestic Program $400K/yr
[#14] Ongoing amnestic drug production, storage, administration and logistics (~£400,000/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $205K/yr
[#8, #9, #10, #21, #26] Grenade production/consumables (~£35,000/yr for 100 grenades), ammunition/PPE replacement (£30,000/yr), CCTV storage/network (£20,000/yr), decontamination/hazardous-waste disposal (£100,000/yr), miscellaneous consumables (~£20,000/yr).
Research And Monitoring $125K/yr
[#4, #12] Annual recurrent training exercises/qualification and simulation (£75,000/yr) plus lab consumables & equipment amortization (£50,000/yr).
Psychological Support $30K/yr
[#25] Mental-health support, counselling and monitoring for embedded operatives and MTF members (~£30,000/yr).
Logistics And Transport $12K/yr
[#18] Vehicle fuel & routine maintenance for response vans (~£12,000/yr).
Comms Airtime $10K/yr
[#19] Encrypted comms airtime / service contracts (~£10,000/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.4M/yr
22.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine monitoring, training and no major incidents beyond expected small-scale Phase-2 responses.
routine_detection and monitoring standard MTF deployments no large-scale breaches
🚨 Minor Incident $5.8M/yr
60.0% probability / year +$375K vs baseline
One or more typical Phase-2 events requiring MTF deployment, grenades/amnestics, medical triage and decontamination but no mass-casualty or network collapse.
single or multiple Phase-2 events localized injuries requiring hospital care standard MTF & embedded-agent response
🚨 Major Incident $7.6M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$2.2M vs baseline
Serious Phase-2 escalation (near-collision/derailment or multi-car incident) requiring fail-safe charges or extended response, large medical bills and legal settlements.
escalation to high-speed runaway use/near-use of explosive isolators significant casualties and litigation
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $9.9M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$4.5M vs baseline
Containment failure with mass-casualty event and major network disruption requiring activation of contingency reserves and emergency mass-amnestic operations.
mass-casualty collision or multi-site failures widespread public exposure political/media crisis
👥 Personnel 30 total
Role Count Notes
Embedded agents 3 [#1] Three long-term undercover Foundation operatives embedded in TfL (HR, train control, other).
Security Officer / MTF Agent (MTF Epsilon-12) 16 [#3] MTF operational team including tactical operators, medics, drivers, and support staff (16 FTE).
CCTV / Detection Analysts 4 [#10] Four FTE analysts monitoring camera feeds and analytics.
Research Scientist 4 [#12] Four researchers assigned to study SCP-1017.
Technician (Research Support) 2 [#12] Two laboratory/technical support staff for experiments and instrumentation.
Administrative / Records Management 1 [#20] Records management staff responsible for secure storage and falsified logs (~£40,000/yr).
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items are explicitly estimated in analyst notes (salaries, train conversion, reserves) providing a moderate basis; multiple ranges and discretionary reserves (contingency, reimbursements, catastrophic costs) introduce significant uncertainty, so confidence is medium.
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