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SCP-1018 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1018
Expected annual
$712K
One-time setup
$648K
Annual recurring
$700K
Personnel
9
First-year setup and one-time costs are approximately $647,500 driven by facility retrofit and test-chamber construction plus contingency; annual recurring costs are approximately $700,500/yr, dominated by security payroll, incident-response retainer, remediation/legal, and ongoing maintenance/operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $648K
Facilities $245K
[#2, #3, #5] Retrofit of secure storage room, construction of waterproof observation-grade test chamber, and dedicated sump/power circuit installations.
Contingency Reserve $200K
[#25] Planning reserve for worst-reasonable liabilities, legal exposure, and major repairs.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $55K
[#11, #12, #13] Advanced imaging and lab tests for all statues, expert analysis fees, and meteorological/instrumentation for event logging.
Equipment $45K
[#1, #4, #9, #10, #12, #19] Custom sealed containment crates, CCTV/alarms, artifact handling equipment, dehumidifier units, acoustic capture hardware, and initial data-storage hardware.
Security Hiring And Training $40K
[#6] One-time hiring and initial training/onboarding costs for security staff (approx. $5,000/guard × 8 guards).
Investigation Initial $25K
[#17] Initial investigative and outreach costs to locate activists and recover chain-of-custody evidence.
Replacement Spare Parts Seed $10K
[#22] Seed capital reserve for spare parts (locks, cameras, pumps) to avoid containment delays.
Conservation Treatment $10K
[#14] Conservator services to stabilize and document concrete/gravel artifacts.
Training And Sop Development $10K
[#23] Initial SOP development, documentation, and staff training program setup.
Archive Documentation $8K
[#24] High-resolution photography, 3D scans, and archival documentation of components.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $700K/yr
Staff Wages $446K/yr
[#6, #7] Security payroll for ~8 full-time guards (salary + benefits) and 0.1–0.2 FTE allocation of a senior researcher (Level-3 oversight).
Incident Response Retainer $100K/yr
[#8] Annual rapid-deployment/MTF retainer budget covering mobilization, overtime, and emergency equipment.
Cover Story And Legal $50K/yr
[#16] Legal retainers, cover-story maintenance, PR responses, and FOIA/legal exposure management.
Mold Remediation And Repair $50K/yr
[#15] Annual contingency allowance for mold remediation, insulation/electrical repairs, and structural cleanup after wet events.
Facilities Maintenance $15K/yr
[#2, #4, #5, #10, #22, #23] Annual maintenance for waterproofing systems, CCTV/alarm servicing, pump and electrical maintenance, dehumidifier servicing, and minor facility repairs; also seed fund upkeep policy.
Logistics And Transport $15K/yr
[#21] Secure transport, specialized crating, and moving insurance for 2–3 moves per year.
Psychological Support $8K/yr
[#18] Staff counseling, debriefings, and short-term trauma support for exposed personnel.
Research And Monitoring $5K/yr
[#11, #12, #13] Ongoing small-scale follow-up analyses, periodic instrument calibrations, and continued monitoring costs related to research activities.
Training And Drills Recurring $5K/yr
[#23] Annual refresher training, SOP reviews, and periodic drills.
Environmental Control Energy $2K/yr
[#10] Electricity and consumables for dehumidifiers and climate control (filters, power usage).
Data Storage Maintenance $2K/yr
[#19] Off-site backup hosting, secure storage, and IT security/maintenance for high-resolution sensor and video logs.
Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr
[#9, #20] Consumables including desiccants, PPE replacement, cleaning materials, and seal/filter replacements.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $700K/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine maintenance, scheduled tests, and no containment breaches or public exposure.
no incidents routine operations scheduled inspections
🚨 Minor Incident $736K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$35K vs baseline
Small accidental activation or localized containment event requiring cleanup, limited overtime, and follow-up analysis.
accidental activation during handling localized indoor rainfall requiring remediation
🚨 Major Breach $1.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Significant containment failure or public exposure causing litigation, major remediation, extended MTF operations, and reputational/PR costs.
public exposure activist reactivation failure of containment systems
👥 Personnel 9 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#6] Eight full-time guards to maintain two-person coverage 24/7 (rotating schedule, includes benefits and training costs accounted in staff_wages).
Research Scientist (Level-3 oversight) 1 [#7] One senior researcher allocated at ~0.1–0.2 FTE to approve liquid introductions, oversee tests, and conduct incident reviews (cost reflected as fractional FTE in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on detailed line-item analyst notes and mid-range assumptions; however, remediation, legal exposure, and public-exposure probabilities are highly variable, so uncertainty remains.
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