SCP-1028 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1028
Expected annual
$2.1M
One-time setup
$2.1M
Annual recurring
$1.9M
Personnel
14
Initial one-time capital and equipment costs are roughly $2.1M driven by aviary construction, specialized equipment, and a contingency reserve; annual recurring costs are about $1.92M driven by staff wages, security, feeding, research, and incident suppression.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.1M
Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#31] Establishment of a contingency/emergency reserve for catastrophic events, large amnestic/coverup operations, litigation, mass compensation (recommended reserve).
Equipment $606K
[#3, #4, #6, #7, #13, #14, #18, #19, #22, #26] Incinerator and permits, HVAC/climate-control installation, observation & monitoring hardware, protective viewing PPE (initial), capture equipment, field vehicles & transport boxes, behavioral tracking hardware (tags/base stations), initial data storage/servers, autoclave and sterilization equipment, rapid‑response team kits/vehicles (initial kit).
Facilities $300K
[#1] Construction of a large free-flight aviary: structural enclosure, foundations, predator‑proof netting, double‑door airlocks, viewing/maintenance platforms, substrate and planting scheme, demolition/clearing and worker safety features.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $180K
[#2, #17] On‑site lab/necropsy suite and specimen preservation setup and initial research campaign (sequencing/initial analysis).
Permits And Legal Initial $15K
[#23] Initial permitting and legal liaison fees for capture/killing/transport permits and coordination with wildlife authorities.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.9M/yr
Staff Wages $970K/yr
[#10, #12, #26] Salaries for containment staff: avian biologist, animal technicians, research scientists, security officers and supervisor, engineer/maintenance, administrative staff; also covers routine standby staffing assumptions for response teams embedded in wage estimates.
Public Safety And Incident Suppression $200K/yr
[#24] Annual allocation for emergency response, temporary road closures, PR/amnestic distribution, medical reimbursements and routine incident suppression (baseline allocation; incidents can spike this greatly).
Administrative Overhead $150K/yr
[#30] Administrative overhead, insurance, depreciation, accounting and site management overhead.
Supplies And Consumables $121K/yr
[#8, #2, #16, #22, #29] Feeding and diet for housed population, necropsy disposables, preservation and research consumables (fixatives, slides, histology, sequencing prep), autoclave/sterilization supplies, routine netting/feeders/cleaning supplies maintenance.
Research And Monitoring $120K/yr
[#17, #19, #6, #18] Ongoing genetic/microbiome sequencing and lab analysis, data storage/cloud fees, monitoring system maintenance (CCTV/audio/spectral filters), recurring behavioral tracking data costs.
Incident Response Standby $100K/yr
[#26] Standby staffing costs for rapid‑reaction/contingency team (ongoing readiness pay, training, equipment replenishment).
Cover Story And Legal $70K/yr
[#23, #25] Ongoing permits/legal liaison and media management/disinformation budget and compensation funds for ordinary years.
Veterinary Care $60K/yr
[#11] On‑call veterinary services, medicines, diagnostics, routine and emergency veterinary care.
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#15] Field ops recurring: fuel, vehicle maintenance, overtime for capture teams and travel to capture/killing sites.
Population Management $30K/yr
[#28] Replacement and population management campaigns: capture of wild specimens, euthanasia/preservation of excess/problematic birds.
Traffic Mitigation $20K/yr
[#27] Coordination with DOT/police, signage and routine mitigation measures near known habitats/aviary.
Facilities Maintenance $15K/yr
[#5] HVAC/energy recurring costs, ventilation, specialized lighting energy and routine servicing.
Medical Monitoring $15K/yr
[#21] Occupational health: baseline/post‑exposure medical checks, neurological exams, counselling and incident medical response.
Training And Safety $12K/yr
[#20] Regular staff training, drills, SOP development and psychological screening related to daze exposure and emergency response.
Invertebrate Culture $5K/yr
[#9] Live prey/invertebrate culture program maintenance (worm bins, insect breeding, snail cultures).
Ppe Replacements $3K/yr
[#7] Replacement schedule for protective viewing equipment and PPE (spectral/polarized lenses, headsets).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.9M/yr
74.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine research, containment, maintenance, and small incident budget allocations.
no major public incidents routine field captures and research only
🚨 Minor Incident $2.2M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Single localized public incident or traffic accident caused by a flock requiring emergency response, local cover, medical payments and equipment replacement.
small traffic accident(s) localized public sightings requiring emergency response
🚨 Major Incident $3.0M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.1M vs baseline
Larger-scale public incident with casualties or multi-vehicle accidents requiring significant coverups, legal costs, mass medical response and extended operations.
multi-vehicle accidents widespread sightings causing high casualty events
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $10.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$8.1M vs baseline
Severe uncontrolled spread or multiple simultaneous major incidents (mass casualties, national media attention) requiring full emergency mobilization and large contingency drawdown.
nationwide media exposure multiple simultaneous high-casualty incidents
👥 Personnel 14 total
Role Count Notes
Avian Biologist 1 Senior specialist responsible for husbandry, research oversight and SOPs. (Included in staff_wages)
Animal Technician 2 Daily husbandry, feeding, cleaning and monitoring. (Included in staff_wages)
Research Scientist 2 Lab research, sequencing oversight, behavioral data analysis. (Included in staff_wages)
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 Frontline 24/7 security staff for site perimeter and rapid response. (Included in staff_wages)
Security Supervisor 1 Security team lead/supervisor. (Included in staff_wages)
Engineer / Maintenance 1 HVAC, structural maintenance and facility systems. (Included in staff_wages)
Administrative Staff 1 Site administration, permits coordination and liaison. (Included in staff_wages)
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide many line items and ranges enabling a reasoned budget, but anomalous behavior uncertainty (incident frequency/severity) and site‑scale choices produce remaining variance; therefore medium confidence.
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