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SCP-1045 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1045
Expected annual
$94K
One-time setup
$133K
Annual recurring
$76K
Personnel
1
One-time setup costs are modest-to-moderate (locker upgrade and an optionally certified burn chamber) with baseline recurring costs driven by occasional testing, legal/cover-story reserves, and sample analysis; one-time capital can escalate substantially if in-house analytical instrumentation is procured.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $133K
Facilities $85K
[#1, #3] Locker 17 structural upgrade and construction/installation of a certified small burn/test chamber (includes chamber shell, certified venting/filtration requirements).
Equipment $18K
[#2, #4, #5, #16] CCTV/tamper sensors install, local fire-suppression/alarm integration, rigid lockable transport containers (2–3 units), and environmental/odor mitigation installation costs.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $10K
[#10, #11, #22] Purchase of a small cold-storage/ultra-low freezer (-80°C) for sample preservation. (Notes #10 and #22 regarding in-house analytical instrument capital are acknowledged but not purchased in baseline—see scenarios.)
Investigation Contingency Reserve $10K
[#26] Reserved contingency to support potential downstream legal/investigative costs if identifications or criminal implications arise (held as one-time reserve if enacted).
Decontamination Response Fund $5K
[#21] Small contingency fund reserved for emergency remediation/decontamination incidents and certified cleanup responses.
Sop Development Initial $2K
[#14] Initial SOP development and documentation cost for no-open-flame rules, biohazard handling, and testing protocols.
Ppe Initial $2K
[#6] Initial stock of PPE and decontamination supplies (nitrile gloves, lab coats, respirators, enzymatic detergents, biohazard bags, etc.).
Conservation Initial $2K
[#17] Initial conservation assessment and archival supplies for fragile waxed-paper/wood lantern components.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $76K/yr
Cover Story And Legal $28K/yr
[#19, #20, #23] Records management, secure database/legal counsel allocations, annual cover-story/public relations contingency fund, and internal risk allocation/insurance reserve.
Research And Monitoring $21K/yr
[#7, #8, #9, #10, #25] Budget for biohazard waste disposal, occasional forensic pathology/sample stabilization, outsourced molecular biology (ancient-DNA) attempts, outsourced proteomics/GC-MS analyses, and per-test operational costs for authorized burns/analyses.
Staff Wages $12K/yr
[#12] Part-time/dedicated oversight personnel (0.1–0.25 FTE) to manage access, testing schedules, documentation and liaise with contract labs.
Supplies And Consumables $7K/yr
[#6, #11, #15, #16, #17, #18, #24] Annual restock of PPE and decontamination supplies, freezer electricity/maintenance, per-test consumables (candles, swabs, vials, solvents), filter replacements, conservation upkeep, pest control, and occasional small replacement/restoration events.
On Call Security $4K/yr
[#13] Budget for on-call security overtime/standby during transfers, tests, and alarm responses.
Facilities Maintenance $2K/yr
[#1, #3] Annual maintenance and certification checks for locker and burn/test chamber, minor structural repairs and inspection fees.
Logistics And Transport $1K/yr
[#5, #7] Transport and chain-of-custody costs for moving samples and waste to off-site labs or licensed waste contractors.
Training And Sop Refresh $1K/yr
[#14] Recurring training refreshers and SOP updates for staff with locker/test access.
Analytical Instrument Maintenance $0/yr
[#10, #22] Maintenance/personnel costs for in-house analytical instrumentation (set to 0 in baseline as in-house capital is not procured here; see research_scaleup scenario).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $76K/yr
82.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; occasional modest testing and routine maintenance/support but no large-scale in-house analytics procurement or major breaches.
no major tests routine maintenance standard legal/records overhead
🚨 Moderate Testing Year $109K/yr
15.0% probability / year +$33K vs baseline
Year with an authorized modest testing program (several burns, multiple outsourced GC-MS/proteomics and targeted sequencing attempts).
authorized testing campaign outsourced sequencing/proteomics increased forensic sampling
🚨 Research Scaleup $676K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$600K vs baseline
Decision-year to establish in-house analytical capability (purchase/install GC-MS, sequencer/PCR infrastructure and associated lab upgrades), plus associated hires and maintenance.
management authorizes in-house analytics capital procurement and lab upgrades
🚨 Major Breach $171K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$95K vs baseline
Containment breach or significant contamination event requiring emergency remediation, extensive cleanup, legal/PR response and possible investigations.
unauthorized access significant contamination public exposure
👥 Personnel 1 total
Role Count Notes
Containment Technician / Researcher 1 Part-time assignment (0.1–0.25 FTE) to manage access, testing, documentation and liaison; cost included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Notes provide detailed line items and ranges, but many costs depend on discretionary testing frequency and the decision to purchase in-house analytical instrumentation; contingency/reserve choices and outsourcing vs in-house assumptions introduce moderate uncertainty.
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