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SCP-1044 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1044
Expected annual
$543K
One-time setup
$420K
Annual recurring
$524K
Personnel
3
Estimated one-time startup costs of $420,500 for signage, shelter/site prep, vehicles, drones, power/communications and surveys; recurring annual costs of $523,500 driven primarily by personnel, a contingency reserve, medevac/insurance and ongoing surveillance/maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $420K
Equipment $176K
[#3, #8, #10, #13, #14, #15] UAV purchase (~$40k), vehicles & snowmobiles & trailer (~$71.5k), solar/generator hardware (~$22.5k), radios/repeater & satphone hardware (~$12k), avalanche equipment (~$17.5k), initial PPE & medevac supplies (~$12.5k).
Facilities $114K
[#1, #7, #11, #24] Signage installation (~$4.5k), safehouse purchase + site prep (~$50k), geotechnical/environmental survey (~$30k), one-time remediation (~$30k).
Eod Clearance $60K
[#12] Contingent explosive ordnance disposal / clearance (one-time if required).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $50K
[#16, #17, #21] High-fidelity audio/acoustic arrays and environmental sensors (~$30k), local server/hardware (~$10k), initial training costs for small research team (~$10k).
Legal Permits $20K
[#18] One-time permit, easement negotiation and legal setup costs.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $524K/yr
Staff Wages $140K/yr
[#5, #6] On-call rapid-response specialist (~$80k/year) and rotating field technicians/part-time researchers (~$60k/year total). Drone operator contracted hours are budgeted under research_and_monitoring.
Contingency Reserve $100K/yr
[#23] Ongoing contingency reserve for large unexpected events; maintained annually (~$100k).
Administrative Overhead $50K/yr
[#25] Program management, procurement, administrative support (estimated within 10–20% guideline; chosen ~ $50k/year).
Research And Monitoring $46K/yr
[#3, #16, #17] UAV operations/data processing (~$30k/year), acoustic data processing/maintenance (~$10k/year), secure/cloud storage & software (~$6k/year).
Medevac Retainer $40K/yr
[#15] Medevac/helicopter retainer or insurance contract (~$40k/year).
Logistics And Transport $39K/yr
[#4, #8, #9] Contracted manned aerial sorties (~$22.5k/year), fuel/vehicle maintenance and seasonal logistics (~$16.5k/year).
Cover Story And Legal $30K/yr
[#18, #19] Ongoing legal liaison, permits renewals and public-mitigation/compensation/PR (~$30k/year).
Insurance Liability $30K/yr
[#20] Insurance and liability coverage for alpine operations (~$30k/year).
Facilities Maintenance $17K/yr
[#7, #24] Safehouse/container upkeep, utilities/repairs and annual site maintenance (~$17k/year).
Avalanche Control $12K/yr
[#13] Contracted avalanche mitigation/seasonal control (~$12.5k/year).
Supplies And Consumables $10K/yr
[#14, #22] PPE resupply, batteries, propellers, spare parts and routine consumables (~$9.5k/year).
Training And Certification Recurring $6K/yr
[#21] Recurrent training and certification for small team (~$6k/year).
Communications Subscriptions $2K/yr
[#10] Satellite phone subscriptions and comms subscriptions (~$2k/year).
Signage Upkeep $2K/yr
[#2] Periodic sign upkeep, repainting and replacement (~$1.5k/year).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $524K/yr
78.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with scheduled monitoring, maintenance, and no major incidents.
routine drone flights periodic site visits standard maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $548K/yr
15.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline
Small-scale incident such as lost equipment, vandalism, or an extra contracted response (additional flights, minor repairs).
equipment loss/damage vandalism minor rescue/repair operations
🚨 Eod Clearance Required $674K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Discovery or confirmation of explosive ordnance requiring formal EOD investigation and clearance.
confirmed ordnance reports detection during surveys
🚨 Major Avalanche Response $774K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Large avalanche or environmental disaster impacting site necessitating large-scale remediation, salvage, extended medevac and legal response.
major avalanche severe weather event public incident requiring litigation/cleanup
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
On-call Specialist (Mountain Rescue / Security Specialist) 1 Primary on-call individual to discourage intruders and respond to reports; salary accounted in staff_wages (~$80k/year).
Research Technician / Field Technician 2 Rotating technicians supporting monitoring, maintenance and data collection; combined salaries accounted in staff_wages (~$60k/year total).
📋 Confidence Notes
Containment requirements and many cost ranges are well described; however several high-variance, conditional items (EOD clearance scope, medevac retainer level, contingency sizing, choice of shelter purchase vs rental) introduce uncertainty, so estimates are medium confidence.
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