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SCP-107 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-107
Expected annual
$17.2M
One-time setup
$263.2M
Annual recurring
$16.4M
Personnel
60
One-time setup dominated by remote land acquisition, perimeter/buildout and large contingency reserves (~$263M). Annual operating costs are driven by security, remote-site staffing and contingency/monitoring (~$16.4M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $263.2M
Land Acquisition $150.0M
[#11] One-time covert purchase of Research Area-06 (22x22 km / 484 km²) using front entities; midpoint estimate of the realistic/midrange provided.
Catastrophic Contingency Reserve $100.0M
[#30] One-time reserved contingency for catastrophic multi-year remediation and mobilization (budgeted as a reserve).
Perimeter Install $5.5M
[#13] One-time fencing (~88 km), guard towers, gates and intrusion detection installation for Research Area-06.
Remote Site Infrastructure $5.0M
[#14] One-time build-out: field labs, staging buildings, roads/patrol tracks, basic utilities and accommodation at Research Area-06.
Equipment $1.6M
[#2, #5, #9, #16, #26] Gloveboxes and dry-storage systems; fixed monitoring install (cameras/moisture/tamper sensors); purchase of two item-transport trucks; environmental instrumentation install; one-time secure IT/server install.
Quarantine Facility $625K
[#20] One-time secure cold rooms/autoclaves/incinerator facility for harvested anomalous plant material.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $425K
[#21, #25, #23] Initial custom model development, one-time larger-scale training, and one-time shell company/setup costs for covert procurement and cover infrastructure.
Facilities $34K
[#1, #3] Containment cell/pedestal/perspex installation and HVAC/dehumidifier installation and anti-vibration mounting for Site-19 containment.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $16.4M/yr
Emergency Contingency Fund $5.0M/yr
[#22] Annual-maintained contingency/reserve for crop damage compensation, legal settlements and large-scale remediation in case of exposure.
Staff Wages $4.1M/yr
[#6, #17, #13] Security staffing roster for Site-19 and perimeter patrol staffing at Research Area-06 plus core research staff salaries.
Opportunity Cost Lost Land Revenue $2.8M/yr
[#29] Foregone revenues and/or community compensation for reserving 484 km² (midpoint of provided range).
Cover Story And Legal $1.2M/yr
[#23, #24, #7] Secrecy/cover infrastructure recurring costs, legal counsel/contracting/insurance, and administrative overhead for Level-4 authorizations.
Research And Monitoring $1.1M/yr
[#21, #19, #16] Ongoing modeling/consultancy, containment/neutralization budget for abnormal plant growth, and operational costs to run environmental monitoring/atmospheric instrumentation.
Facilities Maintenance $1.0M/yr
[#4, #9, #12, #16, #26] Ongoing energy for containment/HVAC; vehicle maintenance/fuel; land lease/taxes if applicable; environmental instrumentation maintenance; IT/data security maintenance.
Logistics And Transport $380K/yr
[#8, #10] Class-D management and associated transport/security for removal operations; per-move operational costs (assumed frequency baseline for transfers).
Supplies And Consumables $357K/yr
[#18, #27, #28] Lab consumables and sequencing/reagents/sample storage; dry-handling consumables (desiccants, sealed containers); averaged replacement/maintenance of perspex/pedestal.
Power And Fuel $350K/yr
[#15] Generators, solar maintenance and fuel deliveries to support Research Area-06 operations.
Training And Drills $60K/yr
[#25] Annual SOP development, live drills and lethal-force authorization training; initial one-time larger training budget handled in setup.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $16.4M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine monitoring, scheduled moves and standard maintenance; no major activations escaping containment.
routine_operations scheduled_transfers no_unplanned_activation
🚨 Minor Incident $16.6M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized accidental activation or limited escape requiring targeted neutralization and short-term remediation.
localized_activation small-scale neutralization
🚨 Major Incident $26.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Significant unauthorized activation or containment failure requiring large remediation within the research area and elevated legal/media handling.
unauthorized_activation widespread_abnormal_growth_within_research_area
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $116.4M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$100.0M vs baseline
Containment breach or experiment that causes precipitation effects to impact civilian areas, triggering major multi-agency remediation and large compensation/reserve drawdown.
escape_affecting_civilians widespread_ecosystem_damage
🚨 Research Scale Up $19.4M/yr
4.5% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Planned intensive experimental program that increases operational tempo, staffing, and consumable usage for a year.
large_experimental_campaign intentional_high-volume_tests
👥 Personnel 60 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 46 [#6, #13] Combined Site-19 guards and perimeter/patrol staff assigned to Research Area-06 and site response.
Research Scientist 8 [#17] Core research team (botanists, plant pathologists, atmospheric scientists, technicians).
Class-D Personnel 4 [#8] Rotational Class-D staff used for removal/experiments per procedures.
Administrative Staff 2 [#7] Administrative and authorization overhead for Level-4 approvals and recordkeeping.
📋 Confidence Notes
Midpoint estimates used for wide ranges (especially land acquisition and contingency reserves); many line items (remote land, contingency size, patrol staffing) are highly location- and policy-dependent, creating moderate uncertainty.
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