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SCP-1104 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-1104
Expected annual
$21.0M
One-time setup
$65.2M
Annual recurring
$19.9M
Personnel
72
One-time capital and contingency costs are estimated at approximately $65.25M (land, infrastructure, heavy equipment, and eradication campaign reserves). Recurring baseline operating costs are estimated at roughly $19.92M/yr driven mainly by staff wages, ongoing R&D/monitoring, long-term patient care reserves, and cover/legal operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $65.2M
Facilities $22.5M
[#1, #2, #24] Land acquisition/long-term control of Site-104, perimeter fencing/gates/roads, and site power/generator infrastructure (structural/state-level work).
Eradication Trial Campaigns $20.0M
[#13] Capital reserve for large-scale eradication/field trial campaigns (deep-drilling, sealing, major trials) as a one-time campaign cost.
Equipment $8.8M
[#4, #5, #6, #7, #8, #14, #15, #17, #20, #23, #27] Surveillance hardware, drones/UAVs, incinerator installation, decon modules, reusable PAPRs, drilling/robotic hardware purchases, H2S sensor grid, secure sample/IT hardware, animal-control vehicles/traps, remote robotic probes, and OPSEC/comms gear.
Contingency Reserve Fund $5.0M
[#21] Reserved contingency fund for rapid mobilization, replenishment after major incidents, and one-off emergency actions.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.5M
[#11, #12] Dedicated BSL-3 research / surgical upgrade buildout and specialized instrumentation for neurosurgery/research trials.
Legal Settlements Reserve $3.0M
[#19] One-time reserve for potential large settlements or litigation related to leaks/incidents.
Insurance Reserve $1.5M
[#29] One-time seed for internal insurance/liability pool to absorb large unexpected exposures.
Public Incident Reserve $1.0M
[#28] One-time per-incident reserve for large hush payments / staged public-health cover payments in a major exposure year.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $19.9M/yr
Staff Wages $6.1M/yr
[#3, #9, #20, #25] Salaries and benefits for armed security (guards/rapid-response), on-site medical personnel, animal-control field crews, and scientific specialists.
Research And Monitoring $6.0M/yr
[#11, #12, #13, #17, #23, #30] Ongoing R&D program budget, BSL-3 lab operations/maintenance, per-surgery research costs, secure data/forensic operations, robotic field ops, and long-term ecological surveillance studies.
Long Term Host Care $2.0M/yr
[#10] Long-term institutional care and specialized psychiatric/neuro units for post-exit hosts (planning/reserve for multiple incapacitated patients).
Cover Story And Legal $1.8M/yr
[#1, #18, #19, #28, #29] Ongoing cover program costs (endangered-species preserve front), legal retainers/bribery/liaison payments, public relations and staged public-health coordination, and insurance contributions.
Facilities Maintenance $1.1M/yr
[#2, #4, #6, #15, #24] Perimeter/fence/road maintenance, surveillance system support, incinerator operating upkeep, H2S sensor calibration/replacement, and generator/electrical maintenance.
Contingency Topups $1.0M/yr
[#21] Annual replenishment contributions to contingency/emergency response reserves.
Logistics And Transport $900K/yr
[#5, #9, #20] Drone operations and manned flight (helicopter) budgets, medevac contracts, and vehicle operating costs for animal-control/field teams.
Environmental Compliance And Remediation $300K/yr
[#16] Ongoing environmental compliance, emissions monitoring, reporting, and small-scale remediation obligations.
Supplies And Consumables $180K/yr
[#7, #8] Decontamination consumables, disposable PPE supplies, filter replacement and fit-testing consumables.
Biohazard Disposal Contracts $175K/yr
[#26] Off-site biohazard disposal contracts (autoclave/incineration) for contaminated waste beyond on-site capacity.
Personnel Training And Health Surveillance $150K/yr
[#22] Annual respirator fit-testing, H2S training, medical surveillance, and occupational health monitoring.
Comms And Opsec Ops $150K/yr
[#27] Recurring secure-communications, OPSEC operations, counter-intel, and secure briefings.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $19.9M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine containment, surveillance, R&D, and cover maintenance.
no_major_breach routine_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $20.4M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized larval expulsion or small breach requiring additional containment, extra incineration, limited public deception and temporary staffing.
localized_exposure small_scale_incineration limited_public_exposure
🚨 Major Breach $34.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or public exposure leading to mass medical response, large settlements, legal action, and major public deception effort.
widespread_exposure civilian_hospitalizations legal_and_public_relations_crisis
🚨 Eradication Campaign $44.9M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Deliberate decision year to undertake a major eradication/field-trial campaign (deep drilling, sealing, explosives, heavy geology operations).
decision_to_attempt_large_scale_destruction major_drilling_or_sealing_campaign
👥 Personnel 72 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 40 [#3] Armed perimeter and rapid-response guards; staffing to maintain 24/7 coverage with rotations.
Research Scientist 20 [#25] Multidisciplinary scientific team (entomology, neurology, volcanology, engineers).
Medical Officer 6 [#9] On-site medics and physicians for trauma, H2S exposure, and surgical response.
Animal Control Personnel 6 [#20] Field crews trained to locate and euthanize/incinerate contaminated mammals; includes traps/field logistics.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use analyst ranges; major uncertainties remain around land costs (local real estate/political environment), choice of building vs contracting high-containment labs, frequency/severity of expulsions, and potential scale of eradication campaigns. Order-of-magnitude accuracy only.
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