SCP-1107 — SCP-1107 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-1107 Safe ~ medium confidence

SCP-1107

Expected annual

$13.2M

One-time setup

$26.9M

Annual recurring

$11.4M

Personnel

One-time startup and contingency funds (~$26.9M) support secure facilities, instrumentation, and covert insertions; ongoing annual operations (~$11.4M/yr) are dominated by embedded agent salaries, research staff wages, covert retainers, and monitoring/suppression activities.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $26.9M

Probe Mission Contingency $10.0M

[#17] One-time contingency reserve for small-satellite piggyback programs or partial mission procurement (scales up if a dedicated deep-space mission is chosen).

Disinformation Pr Reserve Initial $5.0M

[#14] Initial emergency reserve for large-scale rapid-response disinformation/PR/legal campaigns if a major leak occurs.

Legal And Lobbying One Time Campaigns $2.5M

[#16] One-time budget for major lobbying or legal campaigns (policy influence, high-cost FOIA/records actions) if required.

Facilities $2.4M

[#4, #19] One-time construction and physical upgrades: shielded lab / Faraday-cage build portion and site/physical-security upgrades (split of lab build costs assigned to facilities).

Equipment $2.1M

[#3, #5, #10] One-time hardware and systems: secure server & comms setup, compute cluster/dev, and initial archival storage hardware.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.8M

[#4, #9] One-time lab instrumentation and scientific instrument development: low-noise front ends, precision timing, thermal/IR instrument dev and other research instrumentation.

Agent Insertion And Cover Setup $1.3M

[#1] One-time recruitment, covert insertion, cover identity creation and training for embedded NASA/JPL agents (estimated per-agent insertion costs aggregated).

Insurance And Risk Reserve Initial $1.2M

[#22] Initial insurance / risk reserve to cover legal payouts, whistleblower settlements, or rapid incident response.

Decommissioning Per Event Fund $250K

[#24] Per-event budget for archive purchases / data-purge operations (initial allocation to cover possible single-event decommissioning actions).

Hiring And Onboarding $200K

[#6] One-time hiring/onboarding costs for dedicated research team and associated onboarding expenses.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $11.4M/yr

Staff Wages $5.2M/yr

[#1, #6, #25] Recurring salaries/benefits and overhead for embedded agents, the dedicated research team, and senior program/management staff (agents ~20, research team ~10, program managers ~5 included).

Covert Retainer Payments $1.0M/yr

[#2] Secret retainers / loyalty bonuses to embedded agents to maintain cover and prevent leaks.

Research And Monitoring $900K/yr

[#5, #7, #8, #9] Recurring compute ops/software licensing, telescope time (ground), radio-array time, and recurring observation/analysis campaigns.

Facilities Maintenance $725K/yr

[#3, #4, #10] Ongoing bandwidth, mirrored storage, server ops, lab maintenance/power/cryogen, and archival media-refresh operations.

Cover Story And Legal $700K/yr

[#11, #16] Ongoing monitoring and suppression of external research/publications, routine legal costs, controlled publications, and small-scale reputational operations.

Counterintelligence And Internal Security $650K/yr

[#15] Ongoing vetting, background checks, polygraphs, and counter-surveillance for personnel and embedded positions.

Background Secrecy Infrastructure $500K/yr

[#13] Funding decoy projects, seeded publications, fake conferences, small grants and other plausible-deniability efforts.

Physical Security $475K/yr

[#19] Guard forces, secure entry systems, and secure transport costs for sites handling data and agents (recurring portion).

Agent Replacement And Churn $350K/yr

[#20] Recruitment, training, and insertion costs for replacing embedded agents due to career moves/retirements/suspicion.

Cyber Intel Monitoring $325K/yr

[#12] Ongoing web/forum monitoring, infiltration of amateur communities, and cyber-infrastructure to track preprints and amateur data sources.

Disinformation Pr Ops Replenishment $200K/yr

[#14] Recurring replenishment / small-scale readiness for PR/disinformation operations; large deployments use the one-time reserve.

Ethical Cover Compensation $175K/yr

[#23] Limited compensation/grants for unwitting collaborators to avoid suspicion.

Logistics And Transport $125K/yr

[#21] Travel, liaison, per-diems, international conference cover travel for agents and researchers.

Insurance Replenishment $100K/yr

[#22] Recurring replenishment of insurance / contingency reserves.

Supplies And Consumables $0/yr

[]

Observational Scaling Program $0/yr

[#18] Scaling to large cataloguing programs (e.g., imaging thousands) is a policy decision; baseline contains no large-scale program (set to 0 here; scales to millions+ if enacted).

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $11.4M/yr

85.0% probability / year

Normal year with routine monitoring, agent operations, and scheduled observations; no major leaks or escalations.

routine_operations no_public_leak scheduled_observations

🚨 Minor Incident $12.4M/yr

10.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline

Limited leak or amateur detection requiring targeted takedowns, small legal settlements, replacement of one or more agents, and localized PR response.

limited_leak amateur_detection minor_publication

🚨 Major Breach $19.4M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$8.0M vs baseline

Significant exposure requiring large-scale legal payouts, full deployment of disinformation reserve, emergency operations, and extensive replacements.

major_public_exposure high_profile_leak coordinated_investigation

🚨 Probe Mission Escalation $61.4M/yr

3.0% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline

Policy decision or technical necessity triggers procurement/launch of dedicated monitoring hardware (small-sat program or partial mission), dramatically increasing annual spend in the year of procurement.

decision_to_deploy_satellite dedicated_probe_procurement major_scaling_of_observations

👥 Personnel 35 total

Role	Count	Notes
Embedded Agent / Covert Operative	20	[#1] Covert agents embedded in NASA/JPL teams; recurring salaries and retainers accounted in staff_wages and covert_retainer_payments.
Research Scientist / Signal Analyst / Engineer	10	[#6] Dedicated multidisciplinary research team monitoring telemetry and performing analysis; salaries included in staff_wages.
Site Director / Program Management	5	[#25] Senior management, auditing, and oversight staff coordinating the program; salaries included in staff_wages.

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates are derived from analyst-provided ranges and standard program cost heuristics; many costs (contingency reserves, probe procurement, probability of leaks) are highly uncertain, hence medium confidence.

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