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SCP-1218 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1218
Expected annual
$2.7M
One-time setup
$1.8M
Annual recurring
$2.6M
Personnel
19
Estimated one-time startup capital of $1,755,000 (mainly containment retrofit, crates, contingency and research setup). Recurring annual costs ≈ $2,615,500/yr driven by staff wages (research, security, MTF), MTF operations, cover/legal, and ongoing research/IT/storage.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.8M
Facilities $650K
[#2, #4] Protected storage wing retrofit and outfitting of two blackout testing chambers (midpoint costs aggregated).
Contingency Reserve $500K
[#26] Initial contingency reserve for rapid escalation, emergency relocation, or expanded response.
Equipment $320K
[#1, #3, #10, #11, #16, #22] Special crates (#1), dedicated environmental hardware (#3), transport vans (#10), fragile-handling kit (#11), evidence cabinets (#16), and IT/hardening hardware (#22).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $175K
[#5, #6, #12, #17] High-sensitivity audiovisual suite (#5), data archive servers (#6), SOP/training rollout development (#12), and ember/optical R&D kit (#17).
Cover Story Setup $50K
[#21] Initial cover-story and records-management setup/discretionary fund for deception/legal prep.
Decommissioning Budget $50K
[#28] Long-term decommissioning/disposal budget (contingent, one-time when required).
Psychological Evaluation $10K
[#13] Baseline psych screenings for ~20 staff (one-time screening costs).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.6M/yr
Staff Wages $1.4M/yr
[#7, #8, #9] Research personnel (PI, scientists, technicians) and site security wages and MTF operator salaries (salaries + benefits).
Mtf Operations $360K/yr
[#9] Operational budget for Mobile Task Force Beta-6 (vehicles, travel, per-mission expendables) separate from their salaries.
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#21] Annual discretionary legal, cover-story maintenance, witness relocation and related legal expenses.
Research And Monitoring $157K/yr
[#5, #6, #12, #17, #19] Ongoing storage/backup & imaging maintenance (#5), data capacity/replication (#6), annual training refreshers (#12), ember simulator upkeep (#17), and active research/origin-tracing budget (#19).
Acquisition And Procurement Campaign $100K/yr
[#20] Rewards, tip lines, false-story PR cover, travel and per-diem for acquisition efforts.
Contingency Replenish $100K/yr
[#26] Annual replenishment contribution to contingency reserve for potential escalation.
Facilities Maintenance $61K/yr
[#3, #4, #24] HVAC/dehumidifier electricity & maintenance, blackout chamber upkeep, and routine site maintenance allocation.
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#10] Vehicle maintenance, fuel, insurance for two secure vans.
Forensic And Autopsy Budget $30K/yr
[#14] Annual investigative budget for autopsies, toxicology and incident forensics.
Analytical Contracts $30K/yr
[#18] External audio/image/linguistic analysis contract work and expert consulting under NDA.
Insurance And Workers Comp $30K/yr
[#25] Additional insurance/liability and worker-compensation premium uplift tied to psychological/hazard risk.
Psychological Counseling $25K/yr
[#13] Ongoing counseling, crisis intervention, return-to-work clearances, and periodic re-evaluations.
Incident Response And Cleanup $20K/yr
[#15] Hazmat cleanup, specialized glass disposal, quarantine and decontamination readiness.
It Security $20K/yr
[#22] Licensing, audits, air-gap procedures, and ongoing IT security maintenance.
Supplies And Consumables $13K/yr
[#11, #27] Fragile-handling replacements/consumables and small recurring admin consumables (seals, batteries, PPE, labels).
Power And Utilities $10K/yr
[#23] Incremental electricity, UPS battery replacements and emergency lighting for containment area.
Physical Evidence Cataloging $2K/yr
[#16] Annual supplies and cataloging for physical evidence storage and chain-of-custody materials.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.6M/yr
81.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine research, storage, and acquisition activity only.
routine_testing scheduled_acquisition no_major_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $2.7M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$60K vs baseline
Single mirror shattering or localized contamination requiring cleanup, limited forensic work, and overtime.
shattered_mirror localized_hazmat_cleanup single_staff_injury_or_evac
🚨 Major Incident $3.4M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$800K vs baseline
Incident on the scale of H1218-A (suspected memetic influence, staff fatality, missing logs), requiring expanded MTF response, legal actions and major investigations.
multi-mirror_shattering staff_fatality evidence_tampering_or_missing_logs
🚨 Catastrophic Memetic Event $5.1M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Widespread memetic effects or public exposure requiring relocation, large-scale containment upgrade, mass investigations and public/legal mitigation.
memetic_spread multiple_deaths_or_suicides public_exposure
👥 Personnel 19 total
Role Count Notes
Principal Investigator 1 [#7] Senior research lead (salary noted in research personnel).
Research Scientist 2 [#7] Two research scientists dedicated to testing and analysis.
Technician (Image/Audio Specialist) 2 [#7] Two technicians for imaging, audio capture, and equipment maintenance.
Security Officer / Guard 6 [#8] Six guards providing 24/7 guarded storage and escort shifts.
MTF Operator (Beta-6) 8 [#9] Eight dedicated Mobile Task Force personnel for collection/retrieval (salaries included in staff_wages; ops budget separate).
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item estimates are detailed and grounded in standard site operations, but uncertainty remains around memetic risk, incident frequency, and scale of potential escalation; contingency and scenario probabilities are judgment-based.
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