SCP-1295 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-1295
Expected annual
$2.5M
One-time setup
$3.2M
Annual recurring
$2.4M
Personnel
13
Initial capital and reserve funding dominate one-time costs (site/diner purchase, equipment, contingency reserves). Recurring annual costs are driven primarily by covert staffing, medical support, training, and administrative overhead.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.2M
Catastrophic Response Reserve $1.0M
[#22] Pre-authorized high-tier contingency reserve for worst-case public containment/breach response.
Facilities $900K
[#1, #2] Site acquisition/outpost and diner purchase/renovation (purchase route assumed).
Contingency Cash Reserve $300K
[#15] Liquid contingency funds for immediate payouts/repairs.
Equipment $250K
[#5, #6, #7, #13, #18] Covert surveillance, backup generator/HVAC redundancy, unmarked vehicles, secure communications/IT hardware and initial archival hardware.
Liability Reserve $250K
[#20] Reserve for liability/hush payments and litigation.
Replacement Escalation $150K
[#19] Mid-term capital upgrades and contingency capital for containment tactic changes.
Emergency Kit $125K
[#15] Dedicated rapid-response kit and specialized equipment for immediate mitigation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $100K
[#9] Initial research equipment, portable sensors and startup studies.
Road Project Fund $50K
[#16] One-time road/access mitigation projects if major works required.
Legal And Corporate Formation $30K
[#10] Shell company formation and initial legal work.
Identity Credential Setup $15K
[#12] Initial costs for cover IDs, uniforms and high-quality forged credentials.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.4M/yr
Staff Wages $1.5M/yr
[#3] Salaries, benefits, overtime and rotation costs for covert staff (baseline complement ~13 personnel).
Administrative Overhead $263K/yr
[#21] Central oversight, accounting, audits and HQ integration (~12% of operational spend).
Supplies And Consumables $182K/yr
[#4, #17] Diner operational payroll/supplies and daily consumables (food, cleaning, uniforms).
Medical And Elderly Care $140K/yr
[#8] Covert medical services and/or contracted dedicated medic plus covert healthcare for the instances.
Emergency Readiness $100K/yr
[#15] Standby team readiness and recurring readiness costs.
Research And Monitoring $75K/yr
[#9] Ongoing behavioral study, analysis, small experiments and consumables.
Cover Story And Legal $60K/yr
[#10, #11] Ongoing legal retainer and community relations / PR expenditures to maintain cover story.
Containment Training $40K/yr
[#14] Training, psychological screening, acting lessons and rotation costs.
Vehicle Operations $18K/yr
[#7] Fuel, insurance and maintenance for unmarked vehicle fleet.
Road Maintenance $15K/yr
[#16] Routine approach-route maintenance, permits and seasonal clearance.
It Data Retention $12K/yr
[#18] Ongoing archival storage, forensic access and long-term retention costs.
Surveillance Maintenance $6K/yr
[#5] Maintenance, cloud storage and redundancy costs for covert CCTV/audio systems.
Credential Maintenance $6K/yr
[#12] Regular refreshes and replacements of cover IDs and uniforms.
Backup Power Maintenance $6K/yr
[#6] Fuel and maintenance for generator/UPS and HVAC redundancy.
Communications Subscriptions $5K/yr
[#13] Bandwidth, satellite fallback and encrypted comms subscriptions.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
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Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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Public Relations And Community $0/yr
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Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.4M/yr
90.3% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine operations and contained risk profile.
no incidents routine maintenance scheduled training
🚨 Minor Incident $2.6M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized interruption or accidental denial of access requiring rapid-response activation and limited payouts.
road accident blocking access medical emergency with temporary closure short-term infrastructure failure
🚨 Major Breach $3.5M/yr
1.5% probability / year +$1.1M vs baseline
Public exposure or a significant breach causing casualties or wide notice, requiring large cover operations and legal action.
public exposure casualties or large-area effects significant media attention
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $7.4M/yr
0.2% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Severe, wide-area disaster or high-casualty event triggered by containment failure requiring central contingency funds and long-term remediation.
large-scale casualties extensive infrastructure damage national-level media/political exposure
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Undercover Agents (daytime) 6 [#3] Daytime undercover staff posing as diner employees/patrons to discourage interaction (part of covert staffing complement).
Overnight Observers / Guards 3 [#3] Overnight surveillance and guard coverage to maintain 24/7 oversight.
Research Scientist 2 [#3] On-site researchers for behavioral monitoring and data collection.
Medical Officer (on-call) 1 [#3] On-call medic as part of the core staffing complement (additional contracted medical services funded separately under medical_and_elderly_care).
Site Commander / Executive Staff 1 [#3] Site leadership and liaison with Foundation HQ.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use analyst ranges and conservative reserves but are sensitive to chosen containment posture (purchase vs lease, dedicated medic vs contracted care) and the inherently uncertain behavior of a Keter-class anomaly. Large contingent reserves reflect this uncertainty.
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