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SCP-1298 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-1298
Expected annual
$3.6M
One-time setup
$3.0M
Annual recurring
$3.5M
Personnel
17
One-time capital and investigative setup (~$3.05M) for cold storage, transport, lab equipment and undercover seed funds; recurring annual operations driven by staff wages, legal/cover costs, and contingency reserves (~$3.51M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.0M
Facilities $1.8M
[#1, #12, #23] $50,000 for dedicated cold-storage modifications (#1); $25,000 for secure archive/climate vault setup (#12); $1,750,000 contingency estimate for reclassification/up‑containment construction if required (#23).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $500K
[#8, #11, #13] $200,000 seed for amnestic development/supplies (#8); $250,000 capital equipment for forensic analysis and reverse engineering (#11); $50,000 software/setup for cryptanalysis/linguistics (#13).
Equipment $370K
[#2, #6, #14, #17, #27, #28] $40,000 for redundant power/UPS/generator installation (#2); $120,000 for vehicles and secure transport containers purchase (#6); $150,000 for CCTV/sensor/drone kit (#14); $5,000 PPE initial procurement (#17); $40,000 comms procurement (#27); $15,000 archival duplication hardware (#28).
Undercover Investigation Seed Fund $250K
[#15] Initial investigative seed fund for undercover/long-term intelligence placement and covert HUMINT operations.
Training Development $50K
[#18] Initial development of MTF training and simulation exercises.
Decommission Per Instance $50K
[#24] Per-instance controlled destruction/disposal cost (specialist contractor); cost is per instance destroyed.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.5M/yr
Staff Wages $1.5M/yr
[#4, #5, #16] Security staffing for storage area (~6 guards @ $60k ea) (#4); MTF Omega-8 team salaries (~8 operatives @ $120k ea) (#5); administrative/records personnel (2–3 FTE ≈ $150k total) (#16).
Cover Story And Legal $750K/yr
[#10, #25, #29] Legal/PR and cover story budget ($200k) (#10); incident investigation and liability reserve / litigation contingency ($500k) (#25); local community goodwill fund ($50k) (#29).
Research And Monitoring $505K/yr
[#11, #13, #14, #18, #19] Staffing/consumables for forensic analysis ($150k) (#11); cryptanalysis/linguistics salaries ($100k) (#13); surveillance operators/analysts & maintenance ($200k) (#14); recurring training refreshers ($25k) (#18); psychological support & decompression for staff ($30k) (#19).
Emergency Contingency Reserve $200K/yr
[#22] Reserve for forced recoveries, tactical overtime, rapid-response rentals, specialist consultants and other spikes in operations.
Supplies And Consumables $160K/yr
[#8, #17, #20, #21, #28, #30] Amnestic consumables and administration ($50k) (#8); PPE restock ($2k) (#17); chain-of-evidence consumables ($5k) (#20); repair/spare parts for study specimens ($20k) (#21); archival media rotation ($3k) (#28); miscellaneous office/supplies ($80k) (#30).
Undercover Intel Ops $150K/yr
[#15] Ongoing undercover/long-term intelligence operational costs (travel, covert ops, monitoring).
Aftercare Medical Support $100K/yr
[#9] Medical and psychiatric aftercare/monitoring for affected civilians and families (~50 families @ $2,000/yr each).
Logistics And Transport $90K/yr
[#6, #7] Vehicle operations (fuel/maintenance) for transport fleet ($30k) (#6); field deployment operational costs for recoveries (~$60k) (#7).
Law Enforcement Liaison $60K/yr
[#26] Covert liaison/coordination costs with local law enforcement and joint-task force expenses.
Facilities Maintenance $25K/yr
[#2, #3, #12, #27] Annual maintenance for UPS/generator & monitoring ($2k) (#2); refrigeration energy & basic maintenance ($8k) (#3); digital storage & vault maintenance ($5k) (#12); comms/secure-systems maintenance ($10k) (#27).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.5M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with routine recoveries and no major incidents.
regular recoveries no major breaches ongoing research and monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $3.7M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized forced recovery or resisting civilian requiring overtime, legal attention, and extra deployments.
forceful recoveries increased MTF overtime small legal/medical incident
🚨 Major Breach $4.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Significant operational failure with public exposure, litigation, large-scale recovery, or requirement for rapid reclassification/up‑containment.
public exposure/media escalation civilian casualties or major lawsuit reclassification/up‑containment construction
👥 Personnel 17 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / Guard 6 [#4] 24/7 storage security coverage (4–6 FTE assumed; costed as 6 guards).
MTF Operative 8 [#5] MTF Omega-8 dedicated operational recovery team (operators, medics, team leader).
Administrative Staff 3 [#16] Administrative officers, records custodians, chain-of-custody clerks (2–3 FTE).
📋 Confidence Notes
Line items are detailed and many costs are specific (high confidence in item-level estimates); uncertainty remains around low-probability high-cost events (reclassification, large settlements) and scaling with incident rate, so overall confidence is medium.
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