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SCP-1306 Safe-doctrina ~ medium confidence
SCP-1306
Expected annual
$420K
One-time setup
$203K
Annual recurring
$399K
Personnel
3.0
One-time setup costs are modest (~$200k) for secure storage, sensors, and lab instrumentation; recurring annual baseline costs are approximately $399,000 driven primarily by staff wages, legal/cover-story screening, and monitoring/analysis.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $203K
Equipment $88K
[#5, #9, #10, #21] Outdoor feeder hardware, observation cameras/housings/high-speed kits, one-time server purchase, and initial cybersecurity/platform integration costs.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $84K
[#11, #8] Capital purchase or instrument access for mass spectrometry/microscopy/eDNA and initial HAZMAT setup (PPE, cabinets) for handling toxic ingredients.
Facilities $18K
[#1, #28] Secure safe/locker upgrades and installation (tamper-evident, biometric, fireproof) plus one-time decommissioning/archival costs.
Personnel Training Initial $8K
[#22] Initial training and SOP development for research staff (non-capture protocols, HAZMAT, reporting).
Personnel Vetting Initial $5K
[#4] Initial background checks and reinvestigations for the three core personnel.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $399K/yr
Staff Wages $175K/yr
[#12, #13, #14, #15] Salaries and benefits for ornithologist/field biologist, technician(s), minimum site security, and a small rapid-response contract team.
Cover Story And Legal $114K/yr
[#3, #18, #19] Restricted-access policy administration/records, routine legal & PR retainer for local-level cover stories, and a domestic media screening/review team.
Research And Monitoring $33K/yr
[#10, #11, #24, #30] Ongoing data storage/annotation, consumables/service contracts for lab analysis, small experimental budget for safe observational R&D, and annual program oversight/compliance reviews.
Cybersecurity And Platforms $25K/yr
[#21] Recurring cybersecurity, platform agreements, and secure takedown/integration maintenance.
Insurance And Contingency $20K/yr
[#23] Annual contingency reserve/insurance for equipment replacement and incident investigations.
Supplies And Consumables $13K/yr
[#6, #7, #16, #8] Feeder maintenance/consumables, ingredients sourcing, budgeted amnestic supply usage, and hazardous waste disposal/refresh.
Facilities Maintenance $6K/yr
[#2, #27] 24/7 alarm subscription and routine maintenance plus utilities/power for cameras/servers/UPS.
Logistics And Transport $5K/yr
[#26] Travel for director/researcher oversight and occasional sample shipments.
Medical Followup And Liability $5K/yr
[#17] Post-amnestic medical checks, occasional treatment, and liability-related costs at a low incident rate.
Training And Sop Refresh $3K/yr
[#22] Annual refresher training and SOP updates for staff.
Incident Public Outreach $0/yr
[#25] Public outreach/false information campaigns are budgeted per-incident; baseline assumes none (costs modeled in incident scenarios).
Global Media Monitoring $0/yr
[#20] Worldwide media/internet monitoring is not part of baseline; costs are contingent and modeled in high-impact scenarios.
Catastrophic Scaleup Response $0/yr
[#29] Large-scale emergency containment (global censorship/mass amnestics) is contingent and modeled separately.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $399K/yr
96.8% probability / year
Localized, uneventful year with no major leaks: routine monitoring, restricted-access admin, modest amnestic usage, and regular research/maintenance.
no leaks low incident rate local monitoring only
🚨 Minor Incident $449K/yr
3.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Small information leak or public report requiring localized amnestics, targeted PR spend, equipment repairs, and additional short-term monitoring.
local leak several public inquiries few amnestic administrations
🚨 Major Breach $5.4M/yr
0.2% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant dissemination of the recipe within a region requiring mass amnestics, broad legal action, expanded monitoring, and heavy PR/cover campaigns.
regional leak viral spread on major platforms multiple public exposures
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $100.4M/yr
0.0% probability / year +$100.0M vs baseline
Widespread global exposure of SCP-1306 necessitating global monitoring, platform-level agreements, mass amnestics, and sustained international cover-up operations.
global leak platform-level viral dissemination public replication
👥 Personnel 3.0 total
Role Count Notes
Ornithologist / Field Biologist 0.75 0.5–1 FTE as recommended to monitor feeder and coordinate experiments; salary included in staff_wages.
Technician / Data Technician 0.75 0.5–1 FTE for sensor maintenance, data ingestion, and preliminary processing; salary included in staff_wages.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 1.0 Minimum on-site guard to enforce restricted area; salary included in staff_wages.
Rapid Response / Field Agent 0.25 On-call/part-time agents for public encounters and amnestic administration; costs folded into staff_wages (partial-year coverage or contract).
Administrative Staff 0.25 Part-time records/admin to manage access requests and audit trails; recurring admin costs also reflected under cover_story_and_legal.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and clear drivers (media monitoring, legal, amnestics), allowing a reasonable estimate, but large uncertainty remains around incident probabilities and scale-dependent media costs which makes full-cost ranges wide.
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